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Module Code: MATH380202 3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2. Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof) conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible. Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q) process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the AR and MA orders of this representation. (b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto- correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of this question.) Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa- rameters of your model. X₁ = 15.51, s² = 317.43. k 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pk 0.981 0.974 0.968 akk 0.981 0.327 8 9 0.927 0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935 0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012 Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48. k 1 2 Pk -0.360 3 0.066 4 5 0.012 0.053 -0.025 0.052 0.006 kk -0.360 -0.135 -0.129 -0.023 -0.026 0.040 0.052 6 7 8 9 -0.016 -0.004 0.015 0.007

Module Code: MATH380202 3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2. Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof) conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible. Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q) process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the AR and MA orders of this representation. (b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto- correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of this question.) Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa- rameters of your model. X₁ = 15.51, s² = 317.43. k 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pk 0.981 0.974 0.968 akk 0.981 0.327 8 9 0.927 0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935 0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012 Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48. k 1 2 Pk -0.360 3 0.066 4 5 0.012 0.053 -0.025 0.052 0.006 kk -0.360 -0.135 -0.129 -0.023 -0.026 0.040 0.052 6 7 8 9 -0.016 -0.004 0.015 0.007

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1RQ
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Module Code: MATH380202 3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2. Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof) conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible. Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q) process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the AR and MA orders of this representation. (b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto- correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of this question.) Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa- rameters of your model. X₁ = 15.51, s² = 317.43. k 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pk 0.981 0.974 0.968 akk 0.981 0.327 8 9 0.927 0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935 0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012 Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48. k 1 2 Pk -0.360 3 0.066 4 5 0.012 0.053 -0.025 0.052 0.006 kk -0.360 -0.135 -0.129 -0.023 -0.026 0.040 0.052 6 7 8 9 -0.016 -0.004 0.015 0.007
Transcribed Image Text:Module Code: MATH380202 3. (a) Let {} be a white noise process with variance σ2. Define an ARMA(p,q) process {X} in terms of {+} and state (without proof) conditions for {X} to be (i) weakly stationary and (ii) invertible. Define what is meant by an ARIMA (p, d, q) process. Let {Y} be such an ARIMA(p, d, q) process and show how it can also be represented as an ARMA process, giving the AR and MA orders of this representation. (b) The following tables show the first nine sample autocorrelations and partial auto- correlations of X and Y₁ = VX+ for a series of n = 1095 observations. (Notice that the notation in this part has no relationship with the notation in part (a) of this question.) Identify a model for this time series and obtain preliminary estimates for the pa- rameters of your model. X₁ = 15.51, s² = 317.43. k 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Pk 0.981 0.974 0.968 akk 0.981 0.327 8 9 0.927 0.963 0.957 0.951 0.943 0.935 0.121 0.104 0.000 0.014 -0.067 -0.068 -0.012 Y₁ = VX : y = 0.03, s² = 11.48. k 1 2 Pk -0.360 3 0.066 4 5 0.012 0.053 -0.025 0.052 0.006 kk -0.360 -0.135 -0.129 -0.023 -0.026 0.040 0.052 6 7 8 9 -0.016 -0.004 0.015 0.007
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