Practical Management Science
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305250901
Author: Wayne L. Winston, S. Christian Albright
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 7.6, Problem 34P
The method for rating teams in Example 7.8 is based on actual and predicted point spreads. This method can be biased if some teams run up the score in a few games. An alternative possibility is to base the ratings only on wins and losses. For each game, you observe whether the home team wins. Then from the proposed ratings, you predict whether the home team will win. (You predict the home team will win if the home team advantage plus the home team’s rating is greater than the visitor team’s rating.) You want the ratings such that the number of predictions that match the actual outcomes is maximized. Try modeling this. Do you run into difficulties? (Remember that Solver doesn’t like IF functions.)
EXAMPLE 7.8 RATING NFL TEAMS9
We obtained the results of the 256 regular-season NFL games from the 2015 season (the 2016 season was still ongoing as we wrote this) and entered the data into a spreadsheet, shown at the bottom of Figure 7.38. See the file NFL Ratings Finished.xlsx. (Some of these results are hidden in Figure 7.38 to conserve space.) The teams are indexed 1 to 32, as shown at the top of the sheet. For example, team 1 is Arizona, team 2 is Atlanta, and so on. The first game entered (row 6) is team 19 New England versus team 25 Pittsburgh, played at New England. New England won the game by a score of 28 to 21, and the point spread (home team score minus visitor team score) is calculated in column J. A positive point spread in column J means that the home team won; a negative point spread indicates that the visiting team won. The goal is to determine a set of ratings for the 32 NFL teams that most accurately predicts the actual outcomes of the games played.
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Chapter 7 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 1PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 2PCh. 7.3 - Pricing Decisions at Madison The Madison Company...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 6PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 8PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 9PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 11PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 12PCh. 7.3 - Prob. 13PCh. 7.3 - PRICING SUITS AT SULLIVANS Sullivans is a retailer...Ch. 7.3 - Prob. 15PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 16PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 17PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 18PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 19PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 20PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 21PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 22PCh. 7.4 - Prob. 23PCh. 7.5 - Prob. 24PCh. 7.5 - Prob. 25PCh. 7.5 - Prob. 26PCh. 7.5 - Prob. 27PCh. 7.6 - Prob. 28PCh. 7.6 - Prob. 29PCh. 7.6 - Prob. 30PCh. 7.6 - Prob. 31PCh. 7.6 - The method for rating teams in Example 7.8 is...Ch. 7.7 - Prob. 35PCh. 7.7 - Prob. 36PCh. 7.7 - Prob. 37PCh. 7.7 - The stocks in Example 7.9 are all positively...Ch. 7.7 - Prob. 39PCh. 7.7 - Prob. 40PCh. 7.7 - Prob. 41PCh. 7.7 - Prob. 42PCh. 7.8 - Given the data in the file Stock Beta.xlsx,...Ch. 7.8 - Prob. 44PCh. 7 - Prob. 45PCh. 7 - Prob. 46PCh. 7 - Another way to derive a demand function is to...Ch. 7 - Prob. 48PCh. 7 - If a monopolist produces q units, she can charge...Ch. 7 - Prob. 50PCh. 7 - Prob. 51PCh. 7 - Prob. 52PCh. 7 - Prob. 53PCh. 7 - Prob. 54PCh. 7 - Prob. 55PCh. 7 - Prob. 56PCh. 7 - A beer company has divided Bloomington into two...Ch. 7 - Prob. 58PCh. 7 - Prob. 59PCh. 7 - Prob. 60PCh. 7 - Prob. 61PCh. 7 - Prob. 62PCh. 7 - Prob. 63PCh. 7 - Prob. 64PCh. 7 - Prob. 65PCh. 7 - Prob. 66PCh. 7 - Prob. 67PCh. 7 - Prob. 68PCh. 7 - Prob. 69PCh. 7 - Prob. 70PCh. 7 - Based on Grossman and Hart (1983). A salesperson...Ch. 7 - Prob. 73PCh. 7 - Prob. 74PCh. 7 - Prob. 75PCh. 7 - Prob. 76PCh. 7 - Prob. 77PCh. 7 - Prob. 78PCh. 7 - Prob. 79PCh. 7 - Prob. 80PCh. 7 - Prob. 81PCh. 7 - Prob. 82PCh. 7 - Prob. 83PCh. 7 - Prob. 84PCh. 7 - Prob. 85PCh. 7 - Prob. 86PCh. 7 - Prob. 1.1CCh. 7 - Prob. 1.2CCh. 7 - Prob. 1.3CCh. 7 - Prob. 1.4C
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