Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337406659
Author: WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher: Cengage,
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Question
thumb_up100%
Chapter 6, Problem 96P
Summary Introduction
To determine: The products that the firm should produce to maximize the profit.
Introduction: The variation between the present value of the
Expert Solution & Answer
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Students have asked these similar questions
Long-Life Insurance developed a linear model to determine the amount of term life insurance a family of four should have, based on the head of the household's current age.
The equation is: y = 163 -0.45xwherey = Insurance needed ($000)x = Current age of head of household
Calculate the amount of term life insurance you would recommend for a family of four if the head of the household is 53 years old. (Round your answer to 2 decimal places.)
Please see attached file.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTIONS
An ecommerce company decides to send a gift voucher worth $1000 to a set of customers they believe would make a
purchase of at least $5000. They develop a model to identify potential customers who can make a purchase of $5000 if
we send the $1000 voucher. Which of the following is more critical about the model?
O False negative is worse than False positive if voucher amount crosses $5000
O Both False positive and negative are acceptable
O False positive is worse than a False negative
O False negative is worse than a False positive
Which of the following statements is TRUE?
O Tree based models are normally not affected by outliers
O Presence of outliers in the data has no effect on Regression models
O Standard scaler performs well on features that have outliers
O Tree-based models do not rely on dividing the feature space into sub-sections
Chapter 6 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 1PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 2PCh. 6.3 - Solve Problem 1 with the extra assumption that the...Ch. 6.3 - Prob. 4PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 5PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 6PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 7PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 8PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 9PCh. 6.3 - Prob. 10P
Ch. 6.4 - Prob. 11PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 12PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 13PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 14PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 15PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 16PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 17PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 18PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 19PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 20PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 21PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 22PCh. 6.4 - Prob. 23PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 24PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 25PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 26PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 28PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 29PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 30PCh. 6.5 - In the optimal solution to the Green Grass...Ch. 6.5 - Prob. 32PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 33PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 34PCh. 6.5 - Prob. 35PCh. 6.6 - Prob. 36PCh. 6.6 - Prob. 37PCh. 6.6 - Prob. 38PCh. 6 - Prob. 39PCh. 6 - Prob. 40PCh. 6 - Prob. 41PCh. 6 - Prob. 42PCh. 6 - Prob. 43PCh. 6 - Prob. 44PCh. 6 - Prob. 45PCh. 6 - Prob. 46PCh. 6 - Prob. 47PCh. 6 - Prob. 48PCh. 6 - Prob. 49PCh. 6 - Prob. 50PCh. 6 - Prob. 51PCh. 6 - Prob. 52PCh. 6 - Prob. 53PCh. 6 - Prob. 54PCh. 6 - Prob. 55PCh. 6 - Prob. 56PCh. 6 - Prob. 57PCh. 6 - Prob. 58PCh. 6 - Prob. 59PCh. 6 - Prob. 60PCh. 6 - Prob. 61PCh. 6 - Prob. 62PCh. 6 - Prob. 63PCh. 6 - Prob. 64PCh. 6 - Prob. 65PCh. 6 - Prob. 66PCh. 6 - Prob. 67PCh. 6 - Prob. 68PCh. 6 - Prob. 69PCh. 6 - Prob. 70PCh. 6 - Prob. 71PCh. 6 - Prob. 72PCh. 6 - Prob. 73PCh. 6 - Prob. 74PCh. 6 - Prob. 75PCh. 6 - Prob. 76PCh. 6 - Prob. 77PCh. 6 - Prob. 78PCh. 6 - Prob. 79PCh. 6 - Prob. 80PCh. 6 - Prob. 81PCh. 6 - Prob. 82PCh. 6 - Prob. 83PCh. 6 - Prob. 84PCh. 6 - Prob. 85PCh. 6 - Prob. 86PCh. 6 - Prob. 87PCh. 6 - Prob. 88PCh. 6 - Prob. 89PCh. 6 - Prob. 90PCh. 6 - Prob. 91PCh. 6 - Prob. 92PCh. 6 - This problem is based on Motorolas online method...Ch. 6 - Prob. 94PCh. 6 - Prob. 95PCh. 6 - Prob. 96PCh. 6 - Prob. 97PCh. 6 - Prob. 98PCh. 6 - Prob. 99PCh. 6 - Prob. 100PCh. 6 - Prob. 1CCh. 6 - Prob. 2CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.1CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.2CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.3CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.4CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.5CCh. 6 - Prob. 3.6C
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- You want to take out a 450,000 loan on a 20-year mortgage with end-of-month payments. The annual rate of interest is 3%. Twenty years from now, you will need to make a 50,000 ending balloon payment. Because you expect your income to increase, you want to structure the loan so at the beginning of each year, your monthly payments increase by 2%. a. Determine the amount of each years monthly payment. You should use a lookup table to look up each years monthly payment and to look up the year based on the month (e.g., month 13 is year 2, etc.). b. Suppose payment each month is to be the same, and there is no balloon payment. Show that the monthly payment you can calculate from your spreadsheet matches the value given by the Excel PMT function PMT(0.03/12,240, 450000,0,0).arrow_forwardThe eTech Company is a fairly recent entry in the electronic device area. The company competes with Apple. Samsung, and other well-known companies in the manufacturing and sales of personal handheld devices. Although eTech recognizes that it is a niche player and will likely remain so in the foreseeable future, it is trying to increase its current small market share in this huge competitive market. Jim Simons, VP of Production, and Catherine Dolans, VP of Marketing, have been discussing the possible addition of a new product to the companys current (rather limited) product line. The tentative name for this new product is ePlayerX. Jim and Catherine agree that the ePlayerX, which will feature a sleeker design and more memory, is necessary to compete successfully with the big boys, but they are also worried that the ePlayerX could cannibalize sales of their existing productsand that it could even detract from their bottom line. They must eventually decide how much to spend to develop and manufacture the ePlayerX and how aggressively to market it. Depending on these decisions, they must forecast demand for the ePlayerX, as well as sales for their existing products. They also realize that Apple. Samsung, and the other big players are not standing still. These competitors could introduce their own new products, which could have very negative effects on demand for the ePlayerX. The expected timeline for the ePlayerX is that development will take no more than a year to complete and that the product will be introduced in the market a year from now. Jim and Catherine are aware that there are lots of decisions to make and lots of uncertainties involved, but they need to start somewhere. To this end. Jim and Catherine have decided to base their decisions on a planning horizon of four years, including the development year. They realize that the personal handheld device market is very fluid, with updates to existing products occurring almost continuously. However, they believe they can include such considerations into their cost, revenue, and demand estimates, and that a four-year planning horizon makes sense. In addition, they have identified the following problem parameters. (In this first pass, all distinctions are binary: low-end or high-end, small-effect or large-effect, and so on.) In the absence of cannibalization, the sales of existing eTech products are expected to produce year I net revenues of 10 million, and the forecast of the annual increase in net revenues is 2%. The ePIayerX will be developed as either a low-end or a high-end product, with corresponding fixed development costs (1.5 million or 2.5 million), variable manufacturing costs ( 100 or 200). and selling prices (150 or 300). The fixed development cost is incurred now, at the beginning of year I, and the variable cost and selling price are assumed to remain constant throughout the planning horizon. The new product will be marketed either mildly aggressively or very aggressively, with corresponding costs. The costs of a mildly aggressive marketing campaign are 1.5 million in year 1 and 0.5 million annually in years 2 to 4. For a very aggressive campaign, these costs increase to 3.5 million and 1.5 million, respectively. (These marketing costs are not part of the variable cost mentioned in the previous bullet; they are separate.) Depending on whether the ePlayerX is a low-end or high-end produce the level of the ePlayerXs cannibalization rate of existing eTech products will be either low (10%) or high (20%). Each cannibalization rate affects only sales of existing products in years 2 to 4, not year I sales. For example, if the cannibalization rate is 10%, then sales of existing products in each of years 2 to 4 will be 10% below their projected values without cannibalization. A base case forecast of demand for the ePlayerX is that in its first year on the market, year 2, demand will be for 100,000 units, and then demand will increase by 5% annually in years 3 and 4. This base forecast is based on a low-end version of the ePlayerX and mildly aggressive marketing. It will be adjusted for a high-end will product, aggressive marketing, and competitor behavior. The adjustments with no competing product appear in Table 2.3. The adjustments with a competing product appear in Table 2.4. Each adjustment is to demand for the ePlayerX in each of years 2 to 4. For example, if the adjustment is 10%, then demand in each of years 2 to 4 will be 10% lower than it would have been in the base case. Demand and units sold are the samethat is, eTech will produce exactly what its customers demand so that no inventory or backorders will occur. Table 2.3 Demand Adjustments When No Competing Product Is Introduced Table 2.4 Demand Adjustments When a Competing Product Is Introduced Because Jim and Catherine are approaching the day when they will be sharing their plans with other company executives, they have asked you to prepare an Excel spreadsheet model that will answer the many what-if questions they expect to be asked. Specifically, they have asked you to do the following: You should enter all of the given data in an inputs section with clear labeling and appropriate number formatting. If you believe that any explanations are required, you can enter them in text boxes or cell comments. In this section and in the rest of the model, all monetary values (other than the variable cost and the selling price) should be expressed in millions of dollars, and all demands for the ePlayerX should be expressed in thousands of units. You should have a scenario section that contains a 0/1 variable for each of the binary options discussed here. For example, one of these should be 0 if the low-end product is chosen and it should be 1 if the high-end product is chosen. You should have a parameters section that contains the values of the various parameters listed in the case, depending on the values of the 0/1 variables in the previous bullet For example, the fixed development cost will be 1.5 million or 2.5 million depending on whether the 0/1 variable in the previous bullet is 0 or 1, and this can be calculated with a simple IF formula. You can decide how to implement the IF logic for the various parameters. You should have a cash flows section that calculates the annual cash flows for the four-year period. These cash flows include the net revenues from existing products, the marketing costs for ePlayerX, and the net revenues for sales of ePlayerX (To calculate these latter values, it will help to have a row for annual units sold of ePlayerX.) The cash flows should also include depreciation on the fixed development cost, calculated on a straight-line four-year basis (that is. 25% of the cost in each of the four years). Then, these annual revenues/costs should be summed for each year to get net cash flow before taxes, taxes should be calculated using a 32% tax rate, and taxes should be subtracted and depreciation should be added back in to get net cash flows after taxes. (The point is that depreciation is first subtracted, because it is not taxed, but then it is added back in after taxes have been calculated.) You should calculate the company's NPV for the four-year horizon using a discount rate of 10%. You can assume that the fixed development cost is incurred now. so that it is not discounted, and that all other costs and revenues are incurred at the ends of the respective years. You should accompany all of this with a line chart with three series: annual net revenues from existing products; annual marketing costs for ePlayerX; and annual net revenues from sales of ePlayerX. Once all of this is completed. Jim and Catherine will have a powerful tool for presentation purposes. By adjusting the 0/1 scenario variables, their audience will be able to see immediately, both numerically and graphically, the financial consequences of various scenarios.arrow_forwardSuppose that GLC earns a 2000 profit each time a person buys a car. We want to determine how the expected profit earned from a customer depends on the quality of GLCs cars. We assume a typical customer will purchase 10 cars during her lifetime. She will purchase a car now (year 1) and then purchase a car every five yearsduring year 6, year 11, and so on. For simplicity, we assume that Hundo is GLCs only competitor. We also assume that if the consumer is satisfied with the car she purchases, she will buy her next car from the same company, but if she is not satisfied, she will buy her next car from the other company. Hundo produces cars that satisfy 80% of its customers. Currently, GLC produces cars that also satisfy 80% of its customers. Consider a customer whose first car is a GLC car. If profits are discounted at 10% annually, use simulation to estimate the value of this customer to GLC. Also estimate the value of a customer to GLC if it can raise its customer satisfaction rating to 85%, to 90%, or to 95%. You can interpret the satisfaction value as the probability that a customer will not switch companies.arrow_forward
- An automobile manufacturer is considering whether to introduce a new model called the Racer. The profitability of the Racer depends on the following factors: The fixed cost of developing the Racer is triangularly distributed with parameters 3, 4, and 5, all in billions. Year 1 sales are normally distributed with mean 200,000 and standard deviation 50,000. Year 2 sales are normally distributed with mean equal to actual year 1 sales and standard deviation 50,000. Year 3 sales are normally distributed with mean equal to actual year 2 sales and standard deviation 50,000. The selling price in year 1 is 25,000. The year 2 selling price will be 1.05[year 1 price + 50 (% diff1)] where % diff1 is the number of percentage points by which actual year 1 sales differ from expected year 1 sales. The 1.05 factor accounts for inflation. For example, if the year 1 sales figure is 180,000, which is 10 percentage points below the expected year 1 sales, then the year 2 price will be 1.05[25,000 + 50( 10)] = 25,725. Similarly, the year 3 price will be 1.05[year 2 price + 50(% diff2)] where % diff2 is the percentage by which actual year 2 sales differ from expected year 2 sales. The variable cost in year 1 is triangularly distributed with parameters 10,000, 12,000, and 15,000, and it is assumed to increase by 5% each year. Your goal is to estimate the NPV of the new car during its first three years. Assume that the company is able to produce exactly as many cars as it can sell. Also, assume that cash flows are discounted at 10%. Simulate 1000 trials to estimate the mean and standard deviation of the NPV for the first three years of sales. Also, determine an interval such that you are 95% certain that the NPV of the Racer during its first three years of operation will be within this interval.arrow_forwardSeas Beginning sells clothing by mail order. An important question is when to strike a customer from the companys mailing list. At present, the company strikes a customer from its mailing list if a customer fails to order from six consecutive catalogs. The company wants to know whether striking a customer from its list after a customer fails to order from four consecutive catalogs results in a higher profit per customer. The following data are available: If a customer placed an order the last time she received a catalog, then there is a 20% chance she will order from the next catalog. If a customer last placed an order one catalog ago, there is a 16% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order two catalogs ago, there is a 12% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order three catalogs ago, there is an 8% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order four catalogs ago, there is a 4% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. If a customer last placed an order five catalogs ago, there is a 2% chance she will order from the next catalog she receives. It costs 2 to send a catalog, and the average profit per order is 30. Assume a customer has just placed an order. To maximize expected profit per customer, would Seas Beginning make more money canceling such a customer after six nonorders or four nonorders?arrow_forwardA company manufacturers a product in the United States and sells it in England. The unit cost of manufacturing is 50. The current exchange rate (dollars per pound) is 1.221. The demand function, which indicates how many units the company can sell in England as a function of price (in pounds) is of the power type, with constant 27556759 and exponent 2.4. a. Develop a model for the companys profit (in dollars) as a function of the price it charges (in pounds). Then use a data table to find the profit-maximizing price to the nearest pound. b. If the exchange rate varies from its current value, does the profit-maximizing price increase or decrease? Does the maximum profit increase or decrease?arrow_forward
- A textbook publisher for books used in business schools believes that the number of books sold is related to the number of campus visits to decision makers made by their sales force. A sampling of the number of sales calls made and the number of books sold is shown in the following table. NUMBER OF SALES CALLS MADE 25 15 25 45 35 25 25 35 25 15 NUMBER OF BOOKS SOLD 375 250 525 825 550 575 550 575 400 400 a. Plot the data in excel and generate the linear regression model. b. What percent in the variation of the variable Books Sold is explained by the value of the variable Sales Calls Made? c. For every sale call made, the number of books sold increases by how much? d. In order to realize the sale of 700 books, how many sales calls will the sales representative have to make?arrow_forwardBelow shown is a logical representation of an index table built on columnA SearchKey Record Location G005234 1 G098967 3 G099537 9 G136790 13 Based on the provided information, which one of the following statements is correct? O a. There is not enough information to conclude the nature of this index O b. It is definitely a sparse index O c. It is definitely a dense index O d. It is most likely a dense index, but could possibly be sparse ◇ e. It is most likely a sparse index, but could possibly be densearrow_forwardThe following table gives the density D (in gm/cm³) of the earth at a depth x km below the earth's surface. The radius of the earth is about 6370 km. i Find an upper bound for the earth's mass that you can give based on this data. Round your answer to two decimal places. i 7.06 x1027 g Find the best lower bound for the earth's mass that you can give based on this data. Round your answer to two decimal places. X1027 5.38 0 D 3.3 4.5 5.1 1000 2000 2900 3000 4000 5000 6000 6370 5.6 10.1 11.4 12.6 13.0 13.0 garrow_forward
- with the information given draw a graph, On the x-axis, you would have the number of units sold (from 0 to 800,000 in increments of 100, 000) and on the y-axis, you would have the dollar amount (from 0 to $3,200,000 in increments of $ 400,000). Draw a line from the origin with a slope equal to the variable cost per unit ($2.5) to represent total variable costs. Draw a horizontal line at $600,000 to represent total fixed costs. The sum of these two lines gives the total cost line. Draw another line from the origin with a slope equal to the selling price per unit ($4) to represent total sales. The point where the total sales line intersects the total cost linearrow_forwardPorter five forces model, developed by Michael E. Porter of Harvard University in 1979, holds the purpose to analyse theindustry in order to determine the level of intensity regarding the competition and attractiveness of the industry. Theattractiveness of an industry is measured in terms of profit; more profitability means a more attractive industry and lowprofitability means a low attractive industry. Porter’s Five Forces model is a powerful management tool for analysing thecurrent industry profitability and attractiveness by using the outside-in perspective. Within the last decades, the model hasattracted some criticism because of the developing Internet economy. Due to an increasing significance of Digitalization,Globalization and Deregulation, the industry structure of the ‘Old Economy’ changed fundamentally. The ‘New Economy’ isnot comparable with the ‘Old Economy’, which is the basis of the Five Forces model. Moreover, the last decades haveshown that Information Technology…arrow_forwardPorter five forces model, developed by Michael E. Porter of Harvard University in 1979, holds the purpose to analyse theindustry in order to determine the level of intensity regarding the competition and attractiveness of the industry. Theattractiveness of an industry is measured in terms of profit; more profitability means a more attractive industry and lowprofitability means a low attractive industry. Porter’s Five Forces model is a powerful management tool for analysing thecurrent industry profitability and attractiveness by using the outside-in perspective. Within the last decades, the model hasattracted some criticism because of the developing Internet economy. Due to an increasing significance of Digitalization,Globalization and Deregulation, the industry structure of the ‘Old Economy’ changed fundamentally. The ‘New Economy’ isnot comparable with the ‘Old Economy’, which is the basis of the Five Forces model. Moreover, the last decades haveshown that Information Technology…arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,