Concept explainers
Special Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated.
Mortality Versus Age. One study of morality versus age used the following model to give the probability P of death from measles It contracted at age t years:
Here we assume that t is at least
a. What is the limiting value for this logistic function? (Note: In other contexts, this would be known as the carrying capacity.)
b. Explain in practical terms the meaning of the limiting value you found in part a.
c. At what age does the model predict that mortality due to measles is
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- Special Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. Natural Gas Production The following table shows natural gas production N in trillions of cubic feet in the United states t years after 1940. t=yearssince1940 N=cubicft.intrilliions 0 3.75 10 8.48 20 15.09 30 23.79 40 21.87 50 21.52 60 24.15 a. Make a logistic model for N as a function of t. b. Graph the data and the logistic model. c. Which years production was farthest from the prediction of the logistic model? d. What does the logistic model predict for the amount of natural gas that will be produced in the long run? Note: In other contexts, this would be known as the carrying capacity..arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. An Epidemic In a city of half a million, there are initially 800 cases of a particularly virulent strain of flu. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in Atlanta claims that the cumulative number of infections with this flu strain will increase by 40 per week if there are no limiting factors. Make a logistic model of the potential cumulative number of cases of flu as a function of weeks from initial outbreak, and determine how long it will be before 100, 000 people are infected.arrow_forwardCable TV The following table shows the number C. in millions, of basic subscribers to cable TV in the indicated year These data are from the Statistical Abstract of the United States. Year 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 C 9.8 17.5 35.4 50.5 60.6 60.6 a. Use regression to find a logistic model for these data. b. By what annual percentage would you expect the number of cable subscribers to grow in the absence of limiting factors? c. The estimated number of subscribers in 2005 was 65.3million. What light does this shed on the model you found in part a?arrow_forward
- Special Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Cell phones The following table shows the number, in millions, of cell phone subscribers in the United States at the end of the given year. Year Subscribersmillions 2010 296.3 2011 316.0 2012 326.5 2013 335.6 2014 355.4 a.Plot the data points. b.Use exponential regression to construct an exponential model for the subscriber data. c.Add the graph of the exponential model to the plot in part a. d.What was the yearly percentage growth rate from the end of 2010 through the end of 2014 for cell phone subscribership? e.In 2014, an executive had a plan that could make money for the company, provided that there would be at least 380million cell phone subscribers by the end of 2016. Solely on the basis of an exponential model for the data in the table, would it be reasonable for the executive to implement the plan?arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Household IncomeThe following table shows the median income, in thousands of dollars, of American families for 2003 through 2008. Year Incomethousands of dollars 2003 52.68 2004 54.06 2005 56.19 2006 58.41 2007 61.36 2008 61.52 a.Plot the data. b.Use exponential regression to construct an exponential model for the income data. c.What was the yearly percentage growth rate in median family income during this period? d.From 2003 through 2008, inflation was about 3 per year. Did median family income keep pace with inflation during this period?arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and the other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimal places unless other-wise indicated. Fluorescent Bulbs Compact fluorescent light bulbs save energy when compared with traditional incandescent bulbs. Our green energy campaign includes efforts to get local residents to exchange their incandescent bulbs fur fluorescent bulbs. Initially 200 households make the change. Market studies suggest that, in the absence of limiting factors, we could increase that number by 25 each month. In our target area, there are 250,000 households, which we take as the limiting value. Make a logistic model that gives the number of households converting to fluorescent bulbs after t months.arrow_forward
- Special Rounding instructions When you perform logistic regression, round the r value to three decimal places and other parameters to two decimal places. Round all answers to two decimals places unless otherwise indicated. Ebola Figure 5.14 shows a plot of the total number E of Ebola cases in West Africa reported to the centers for Diseases control and Prevention from April 1, 2014, through December 1, 2015. A logistic fit for these data is given by, E=27,841.421+134.65e0.646t. Where t is the time in months since April 1, 2014. In figure 5.15, we have added the graph of this model. a.Does Figure 5.14 show a continuing epidemic or a health crisis that is under control by December 2015? b.According to the model, what was the total number of cases when the disease was spreading at the fastest rate? Round your answer to the nearest whole number. c.Use the crossing- graphs method to determine when the disease was growing at the fastest rate. Round your answer, in months, to one decimal place.arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Gray Wolves in WisconsinGray wolves were among the first mammals protected under the Endangered Species Act in the 1970s. Wolves recolonized in Wisconsin beginning in 1980.Their population grew reliably after 1985 as follows: Year Wolves Year Wolves 1985 15 1993 40 1986 16 1994 57 1987 18 1995 83 1988 28 1996 99 1989 31 1997 145 1990 34 1998 178 1991 40 1999 197 1992 45 2000 266 a. Explain why an exponential model may be appropriate. b. Are these data exactly exponential? Explain. c. Find an exponential model for these data. d. Plot the data and the exponential model. e. Comment on your graph in part d. Which data points are below or above the number predicted by the exponential model?arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Cost of Scientific periodicals The table below shows the average cost C, in dollars, of chemistry and physics periodicals tyears after 1980. 29 t=yearssince1980 C=cost,indollars 0 140 5 250 10 410 15 780 20 1300 22 1520 a.Make an exponential model of C as a function of t. b.Plot the data and the exponential model. c.What was the yearly percentage growth rate of the cost of chemistry and physics periodicals? d.If this exponential trend continues, what will be the expected average cost of physics and chemistry periodicals in 2020? Round your answer to the nearest dollar.arrow_forward
- Special Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Design Patents The following table shows the number P of design patents awarded by the U.S. Patents and Trademark Office from 1950 through 2010. t = years since 1950 P = patents 0 4718 10 2543 20 3214 30 3949 40 8024 50 17,413 60 22,799 a.Use exponential regression to model P as a function of t. b.Plot the data along with the regression equation. c.In what years were there more patents awarded than might be expected from the model?arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Postal RatesThe table below shows the cost s, in cents, of a domestic first-class postage stamp in the United States tyears after 1900. t=time,inyearssince1900 s=costofstamp 19 2 32 3 58 4 71 8 78 15 85 22 95 32 102 37 109 44 116 47 a.Use exponential regression to model s as an exponential function of t. b.What cost does your model give for a 1988 stamp? Report your answer to the nearest cent. The actual cost was 25cents. c.Plot the data and the exponential model.arrow_forwardSpecial Rounding Instructions. For this exercise set, round all regression parameters to three decimal places, but round all other answers to two decimal places unless otherwise indicated. Growth in Length of HaddockA study by Raitt showed that the maximum length that a haddock could be expected to grow is about 53centimeters.Let D=D(t) denote the difference between 53centimeters and the length at age t years. The table below gives experimentally collected values for D. Age t Difference D 2 28.2 5 16.1 7 9.5 13 3.3 19 1.0 a.Find an exponential model of D as a function of t. b.Let L=L(t) denote the length in centimeters of a haddock at age t years. Find the model for L as a function of t. c.Plot the graph of the experimentally gathered data for the length L at ages 2,5,7,13, and 19years along with the graph of the model you made for L. Does this graph show that the 5year old haddock is a bit shorter or a bit longer than would be expected? d.A fisherman has caught a haddock that measures 41centimeters. What is the approximate age of the haddock?arrow_forward
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