CFIN
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305661639
Author: Scott Besley, Eugene Brigham
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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1) Suppose that today's one-year interest rate is 5%. Consider the following one-year interest rates expected to occur over the next four years: 6%, 7%, 8% and 9%.a. Calculate the interest rate for two-year bonds, based on the expectations theory.b. What about five-year bonds?
Suppose you can observe that 1-year bond
interest rate is 4%, 2-year bond interest rate is
8%, and 3-year bond interest rate is 10% at
time t. It is also known that the term premium
on a 2-year bond is 1% and the term premium
on a 3-year bond is 1.5%.
a) What are the market's expected 1-year
bond interest rates for the next two years
from time t?
b) How to interpret those expected short-term
interest rates? (what would be the "possible"
economic meanings in the expected short-
term interest rates?) Discuss as least two
"candidates" to explain them.
Suppose the current interest rate on a one-year bond is 2% and the current interest rate on a two-year bond
is 4%. The term premium on a two-year bond is 1%. According to the expectations hypothesis, what interest
rate should we expect on a one-year bond next year? Answer as a percentage to one decimal place and do
not include symbols (e.g. $, %, commas) in your answer.
Answer:
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- Today, interest rates on 1-year T-bonds yield 1.2%, interest rates on 2-year T-bonds yield 2%, and interest rates on 3-year T-bonds yield 3.3%. a. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places.arrow_forwardSuppose that the interest rate on one-year bonds is currently 4 percent and is expected to be 5 percent in one year and 6 percent in two years. Using the expectations hypothesis, compute the yields on two- and three-year bonds and plot the yield curve.arrow_forwardToday, interest rates on 1-year T-bonds yield 1.7%, interest rates on 2-year T-bonds yield 2.5%, and interest rates on 3-year T-bonds yield 3.7%.a. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. b. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 2-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. c. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds two years from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places.arrow_forward
- Suppose the yield on a two-year-old Treasury bond is 5 percent and the yield on a one-year Treasury bond is a 4 percent. If the maturity risk premium (MRP) on these bonds is zero (0), what is the expected one-year interest rate during the second year (Year 2)?arrow_forwardAccording to the expectations theory of the term structure of interest, if the 1-year bond rate today is 6.50% p.a., the 2-year bond rate today is 6.70% p.a., and the 3-year bond rate today is 7.00%, what will be the 2-year bond rate next year?arrow_forwardThe current 1-year, 2-year, and 3 year bond interest rates are 4%, 5%, and 6%, respectively. The expectations theory of the term structure predicts that the expected 1-year bond interest rate is ___% next year and _____% the year after.arrow_forward
- Today, interest rates on 1-year T-bonds yield 1.2%, interest rates on 2-year T-bonds yield 2.6%, and interest rates on 3-year T-bonds yield 3.7%.a. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations. b. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 2-year T-bonds one year from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations. c. If the pure expectations theory is correct, what is the yield on 1-year T-bonds two years from now? Be sure to use a geometric average in your calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations.arrow_forwardForecasting interest rates Assume the current interest rate on a one-year treasury bond(1R1) is 4.50 percent, the current rate on a two-year treasury bond (1R2) is 5.25 percent, and the current rate on a three-year treasury bond (1R3) is 6.50 percent. If the unbiased expectations theory of the term structure of interest rates is correct, what is the one-year forward rate expected on treasury bills during year 3, 3f1?arrow_forwardA Treasury bond that you own at the beginning of the year is worth $1,100. During the year, it pays $48 in interest payments and ends the year valued at $1,110.What was your dollar return and percent return?arrow_forward
- Suppose that the yield curve shows that the one-year bond yield is 8 percent, the two-year yield is 7 percent, and the three-year yield is 7 percent. Assume that the risk premium on the one-year bond is zero, the risk premium on the two-year bond is 1 percent, and the risk premium on the three-year bond is 2 percent. a. What are the expected one-year interest rates next year and the following year? The expected one-year interest rate next year = The expected one-year interest rate the following year b. If the risk premiums were all zero, as in the expectations hypothesis, what would the slope of the yield curve be? The slope of the yield curve would be (Click to select) % %arrow_forward3. Assume that as of today, the annualized interest rate for a seven-year bond is 10percent, while the annualized interest rate for a three-year bond is 7 percent. Use onlythis information to estimate the annualized interest rate for a four-year bond expectedin three years. Use the geometric average method. Make sure to show your work.arrow_forwardIf the real rate of interest is 2%, inflation is expected to be 3% during the coming year, and the default risk premium, illiquidity risk premium, and maturity risk premium for the Bonds-R-Us Corporation are all 1% each, what would be the yield (stated rate) on a Bonds-R-Us bond?arrow_forward
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