Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780134685113
Author: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, David F. Stephan, Kathryn Szabat
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 5, Problem 43PS

Spurious correlation refers to the apparent relationship between variables that either have no true relationship or are related to other variables that have not been measured. One widely publicized stock market indicator in the United States that is an example of spurious correlation is the relationship between the winner of the National Football League Super Bowl and the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in that year. The “indictor� states that when a team that existed before the National Football League merged with The American Football League wins the Super Bowl, the Dow Jones industrial Average will increase in that year. (Of course, any correlation between these is spurious as one thing has absolutely nothing to do with the other!) Since the first Super Bowl was held in 1967 through 2016, the indicator has been correct 38 out of 50 times. Assuming that this indicator is a random event with no predictive value, you would expect that the indicator would be correct 50% of the time.

a. What is the probability that the indicator would be correct 38 or more times in 50 years?

b. What does this tell you about the usefulness of this indicator?

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Chapter 5 Solutions

Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition

Ch. 5 - The increase or decrease in the price of a stock...Ch. 5 - According to the Pew Research Center, 51 of...Ch. 5 - A student is taking a multiple-choice exam in...Ch. 5 - A manufacturing company regularly conducts quality...Ch. 5 - Past records indicates that the probability of...Ch. 5 - In Example 5.4 on page 209, you and two friends...Ch. 5 - In Example 5.4 on page 209, you and two friends...Ch. 5 - Assume a Poisson distribution....Ch. 5 - Assume a Poisson distribution....Ch. 5 - Assume a Poisson distribution with =5.0. What is...Ch. 5 - Assume that the number of airline customer service...Ch. 5 - The quality control manager of Marilyn’s Cookies...Ch. 5 - Refer to Problem 5.22. How many cookies in a batch...Ch. 5 - Prob. 24PSCh. 5 - The U.S Department of Transportation maintains...Ch. 5 - The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s...Ch. 5 - J.D. Power and Associates calculates and publishes...Ch. 5 - Refer to Problem 5.27. if you purchased a Toyota...Ch. 5 - A toll-free phone number is available from 9 A.M....Ch. 5 - Prob. 30PSCh. 5 - What are the four properties that must be present...Ch. 5 - Prob. 32PSCh. 5 - Darwin Head, a 35-year-old sawmill worker, won 1...Ch. 5 - Between 1896-when the Dow Jones index was...Ch. 5 - Smartphone adoption among American younger adults...Ch. 5 - One theory concerning the Dow jones industrial...Ch. 5 - Prob. 37PSCh. 5 - Prob. 38PSCh. 5 - Social log-ins involve recommending of sharing an...Ch. 5 - The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s...Ch. 5 - Refer to Problem 5.40. In the same time period,...Ch. 5 - One theory concerning the...Ch. 5 - Spurious correlation refers to the apparent...Ch. 5 - The United Auto Courts Reports blog notes that are...
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