Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Office Excel (with XLSTAT Education Edition Printed Access Card)
6th Edition
ISBN: 9780357191484
Author: David R. Anderson; Dennis J. Sweeney; Thomas A. Williams
Publisher: Cengage Learning US
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Textbook Question
Chapter 4.5, Problem 41E
A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large research project. The firm’s management initially felt they had a 50–50 chance of getting the project. However, the agency to which the bid was submitted subsequently requested additional information on the bid. Past experience indicates that for 75% of the successful bids and 40% of the unsuccessful bids the agency requested additional information.
- a. What is the prior
probability of the bid being successful (that is, prior to the request for additional information)? - b. What is the conditional probability of a request for additional information given that the bid will ultimately be successful?
- c. Compute the posterior probability that the bid will be successful given a request for additional information.
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Question 4
An article in Quality Progress (May 2011, pp. 42-48) describes the use of factorial experiments to improve a
silver powder production process. This product is used in conductive pastes to manufacture a wide variety of
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(cm/g) are the two critical characteristics of this product. The experiments involved three factors: reaction
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replicated twice. The design is shown in Table 3.
A222222222222233
Stir Rate
(RPM)
Ammonium
(%)
Table 3: Silver Powder Experiment from Exercise 13.23
Temperature
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Density
Surface Area
100
8
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100
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15.12
0.42
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17.48
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7.54
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8
6.66
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12.46
0.52
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-
+
++
Table 2: Crack Experiment for Exercise 2
A B C D Treatment Combination
(1)
Replicate
I II
7.037
6.376
14.707 15.219
|++++ 1
བྱ॰༤༠སྦྱོ སྦྱོཋཏྟཱུ
a
b
ab
11.635 12.089
17.273 17.815
с
ас
10.403 10.151
4.368 4.098
bc
abc
9.360 9.253
13.440 12.923
d
8.561 8.951
ad
16.867 17.052
bd
13.876 13.658
abd
19.824 19.639
cd
11.846 12.337
acd
6.125
5.904
bcd
11.190 10.935
abcd
15.653 15.053
Question 3
Continuation of Exercise 2. One of the variables in the experiment described in Exercise 2, heat treatment
method (C), is a categorical variable. Assume that the remaining factors are continuous.
(a) Write two regression models for predicting crack length, one for each level of the heat treatment method
variable. What differences, if any, do you notice in these two equations?
(b) Generate appropriate response surface contour plots for the two regression models in part (a).
(c) What set of conditions would you recommend for the factors A, B, and D if you use heat treatment method
C = +?
(d) Repeat…
Chapter 4 Solutions
Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Office Excel (with XLSTAT Education Edition Printed Access Card)
Ch. 4.1 - 1. An experiment has three steps with three...Ch. 4.1 - 2. How many ways can three items be selected from...Ch. 4.1 - 3. How many permutations of three items can be...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 4.1 - 5. Suppose an experiment has five equally likely...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 4.1 - Prob. 7ECh. 4.1 - 8. In the city of Milford, applications for zoning...Ch. 4.1 - Prob. 9ECh. 4.1 - 10. The following table shows the percentage of...
Ch. 4.1 - Tri-State Smokers. A Gallup Poll of U.S. adults...Ch. 4.1 - 12. The Powerball lottery is played twice each...Ch. 4.1 - 13. A company that manufactures toothpaste is...Ch. 4.2 - 14. An experiment has four equally likely...Ch. 4.2 - 15. Consider the experiment of selecting a playing...Ch. 4.2 - 16. Consider the experiment of rolling a pair of...Ch. 4.2 - 17. Refer to the KP&L sample points and sample...Ch. 4.2 - Prob. 18ECh. 4.2 - 19. Do you think global warming will have an...Ch. 4.2 - 20. Junior Achievement USA and the Allstate...Ch. 4.2 - 21. Data on U.S. work-related fatalities by cause...Ch. 4.3 - 22. Suppose that we have a sample space with five...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 4.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 4.3 - 25. The Eco Pulse survey from the marketing...Ch. 4.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 4.3 - Social Media Use. A marketing firm would like to...Ch. 4.3 - 28. A survey of magazine subscribers showed that...Ch. 4.3 - 29. High school seniors with strong academic...Ch. 4.4 - 30. Suppose that we have two events, A and B, with...Ch. 4.4 - 31. Assume that we have two events, A and B, that...Ch. 4.4 - Living with Family. Consider the following example...Ch. 4.4 -
Students taking the Graduate Management...Ch. 4.4 - Prob. 34ECh. 4.4 - 35. To better understand how husbands and wives...Ch. 4.4 - 36. Jamal Crawford of the National Basketball...Ch. 4.4 - 37. A joint survey by Parade magazine and Yahoo!...Ch. 4.4 - 38. The Institute for Higher Education Policy, a...Ch. 4.5 - 39. The prior probabilities for events A1 and A2...Ch. 4.5 - 40. The prior probabilities for events A1, A2, and...Ch. 4.5 - 41. A consulting firm submitted a bid for a large...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 42ECh. 4.5 - 43. In August 2012, tropical storm Isaac formed in...Ch. 4.5 - Prob. 44ECh. 4.5 - 45. The percentage of adult users of the Internet...Ch. 4 - 46. A survey of adults aged 18 and older conducted...Ch. 4 - Prob. 47SECh. 4 -
Below are the results of a survey of 1364...Ch. 4 - 49. A study of 31,000 hospital admissions in New...Ch. 4 - 50. A telephone survey to determine viewer...Ch. 4 - 51. The U.S. Census Bureau serves as the leading...Ch. 4 - 52. An MBA new-matriculants survey provided the...Ch. 4 - Prob. 53SECh. 4 - 54. In February 2012, the Pew Internet & American...Ch. 4 - 55. A large consumer goods company ran a...Ch. 4 - Prob. 56SECh. 4 - 57. A company studied the number of lost-time...Ch. 4 - Prob. 58SECh. 4 - 59. An oil company purchased an option on land in...Ch. 4 - 60. The five most common words appearing in spam...Ch. 4 - Rob’s Market (RM) is a regional food store chain...
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