EBK PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
EBK PRODUCTION AND OPERATIONS ANALYSIS
7th Edition
ISBN: 9781478628385
Author: Olsen
Publisher: WAVELAND PRESS (ECONTENT)
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Chapter 2.7, Problem 22P

a.

Summary Introduction

To calculate:The one-step forecasts for February through May with the use of exponential smoothing.

Introduction:Exponential smoothing of time series involves assigning datain exponentially decreasing weights fromlatest to oldest observations. Simply by putting the older data, less priority is given to the data. The newer data becomes more relevant to which more weight is assigned.

b.

Summary Introduction

To calculate:The difference in forecasts if value of α is 0.40.

Introduction: Exponential smoothing of time series involves assigning datain exponentially decreasing weights from latest to oldest observations. Simply by putting the older data, less priority is given to the data. The newer data becomes more relevant to which more weight is assigned.

c.

Summary Introduction

To calculate: The MSEs for the forecasts obtained in parts ( a ) and ( b ) for February through April and to find out the more accurate forecasts for the value of α , based on the MSE.

Introduction: Exponential smoothing of time series involves assigning datain exponentially decreasing weights from latest to oldest observations. Simply by putting the older data, less priority is given to the data. The newer data becomes more relevant to which more weight is assigned.

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Single Exponential Smoothing & Weighted Moving Average Time Series Forecasting; Author: Matt Macarty;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjETktmL4Kg;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
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