EP BUSINESS STATISTICS:FIRST COURSE-ACC
8th Edition
ISBN: 9780135179802
Author: Levine
Publisher: PEARSON CO
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Chapter 2, Problem 2.103CRP
a)
To determine
To construct: A time series plot for the provided data set.
b)
To determine
To explain: The pattern of the provided data set.
c)
To determine
To construct: A
d)
To determine
To explain: The conclusion that could be drawn in this case.
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In retail, a store manager uses time series models to understand shopping trends.
Review the scatter plot of the store’s sales from 2010 through 2021 to answer the questions. See attached as image.
Here is the data for Fiscal Year and Sales:
Fiscal Year
Sales
2010
$260,123.00
2011
$256,853.00
2012
$274,366.00
2013
$290,525.00
2014
$322,318.00
2015
$380,921.00
2016
$541,925.00
2017
$909,050.00
2018
$1,817,521.00
2019
$3,206,564.00
2020
$4,921,005.00
2021
$5,686,338.00
Time series decomposition seeks to separate the time series (Y) into 4 components: trend (T), cycle (C), seasonal (S), and irregular (I). What is the difference between these components?
The model can be additive or multiplicative. When do you use each?
Review the scatter plot of the exponential trend of the time series data. Do you observe a trend? If so, what type of trend do you observe?
What predictions might you make about the store’s annual sales over the next few years?
For the Texas Shipping Company, the monthly percentages of all shipments received on time over the past 12 months are 82, 86, 87, 89, 84, 85, 84, 86, 75, 95,
90, and 92.
a. Construct a time series plot (you can include it in the work file question at the end, not here). Identify what type of pattern, if any, exists in the data?
Compare the three-month moving average forecast with an exponential smoothing forecast for alpha= 0.25 and answer the following:
b. MSE for 3-month moving average method
c. MSE for exponential-smoothing method :
d. Which method should be preferred? Answer "3-month MA" or "Exponential Smoothing":
e. What is the forecast for next month using the preferred method?
The following data report total, monthly U.S. gasoline sales in millions of dollars from January 2017 toDecember 2018. (To find the data, go to the site https://www.census.gov/retail/index.html#mrts, find“Monthly Retail Trade Report,” then select “Time Series/Trend Charts.”)Year Month Sales ($ millions)2017 Jan $35,6302017 Feb 33,9722017 Mar 38,6222017 Apr 38,9732017 May 40,7392017 Jun 40,0092017 Jul 39,7972017 Aug 41,2172017 Sep 41,3462017 Oct 41,7172017 Nov 40,1862017 Dec 40,0462018 Jan 39,2232018 Feb 37,3772018 Mar 42,6482018 Apr 43,1092018 May 48,0492018 Jun 47,5462018 Jul…
Chapter 2 Solutions
EP BUSINESS STATISTICS:FIRST COURSE-ACC
Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.1LBCh. 2 - The following data represent the responses to two...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.3ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.5ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.6ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.7ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.8ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.10ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.11LBCh. 2 - Prob. 2.12LB
Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.14LBCh. 2 - The file UTILITY contains the following data about...Ch. 2 - One operation of a mill to cut pieces of steel...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.21ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.23ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.25ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.26ACCh. 2 - The following table indicates the percentage of...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.29ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.30ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.31ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.32ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.33LBCh. 2 - Prob. 2.34LBCh. 2 - Prob. 2.35ACCh. 2 - The file UTILITY contains the following data about...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.39ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.43ACCh. 2 - The data stored in DRINK represents the amount of...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.48LBCh. 2 - Prob. 2.49LBCh. 2 - Prob. 2.50ACCh. 2 - Data were collected on the typical cost of dining...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.53ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.54ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.55ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.56ACCh. 2 - Using the sample of retirement funds stored in...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.59ACCh. 2 - Using the sample of retirement funds stored in...Ch. 2 - Using the sample of retirement funds stored in...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.62ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.70ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.71ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.72ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.73ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.75ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.76ACCh. 2 - Prob. 2.77CYUCh. 2 - Prob. 2.78CYUCh. 2 - What are the advantages and disadvantages of using...Ch. 2 - Compare and contrast the bar chart for categorical...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.81CYUCh. 2 - Prob. 2.82CYUCh. 2 - What are the three different ways to break down...Ch. 2 - How can a multidimensional table differ from a...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.85CYUCh. 2 - Prob. 2.89CRPCh. 2 - The owner of a restaurant that serves...Ch. 2 - Suppose that the owner of the restaurant in...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.94CRPCh. 2 - One of the major measures of the quality of...Ch. 2 - Prob. 2.103CRPCh. 2 - Prob. 2.104CRPCh. 2 - Prob. 2.105CRPCh. 2 - Prob. 2.109RWE
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