LSC CUMBERLAND EC202 MICRO>PKG<
LSC CUMBERLAND EC202 MICRO>PKG<
21st Edition
ISBN: 9781260586992
Author: McConnell
Publisher: MCG
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Chapter 19, Problem 5DQ
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11:44 Fri Apr 4 Would+You+Take+the+Bird+in+the+Hand Would You Take the Bird in the Hand, or a 75% Chance at the Two in the Bush? BY VIRGINIA POSTREL WOULD you rather have $1,000 for sure or a 90 percent chance of $5,000? A guaranteed $1,000 or a 75 percent chance of $4,000? In economic theory, questions like these have no right or wrong answers. Even if a gamble is mathematically more valuable a 75 percent chance of $4,000 has an expected value of $3,000, for instance someone may still prefer a sure thing. People have different tastes for risk, just as they have different tastes for ice cream or paint colors. The same is true for waiting: Would you rather have $400 now or $100 every year for 10 years? How about $3,400 this month or $3,800 next month? Different people will answer differently. Economists generally accept those differences without further explanation, while decision researchers tend to focus on average behavior. In decision research, individual differences "are regarded…
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