Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics, 16th Edition
16th Edition
ISBN: 9780078020520
Author: Douglas A. Lind, William G Marchal, Samuel A. Wathen
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 18, Problem 17CE
a.
To determine
Obtain the estimation of linear trend equation for the production series by drawing a straight line through the data.
b.
To determine
Calculate the average annual decrease in production.
c.
To determine
Obtain the forecast for the year 2019.
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Could you please answer this question using excel.Thanks
Questions
An insurance company's cumulative incurred claims for the last 5 accident years are given
in the following table:
Development Year
Accident Year 0
2018
1 2 3 4
245 267 274 289 292
2019
255 276 288 294
2020
265 283 292
2021
263 278
2022
271
It can be assumed that claims are fully run off after 4 years. The premiums received for
each year are:
Accident Year Premium
2018
306
2019
312
2020
318
2021
326
2022
330
You do not need to make any allowance for inflation.
1. (a) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the basic chain ladder method.
(b) Calculate the reserve at the end of 2022 using the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method.
2. Comment on the differences in the reserves produced by the methods in Part 1.
Calculate the correlation coefficient r, letting Row 1 represent the x-values and Row 2 the y-values. Then calculate
it again, letting Row 2 represent the x-values and Row 1 the y-values. What effect does switching the variables have
on r?
Row 1
Row 2
13
149
25
36
41
60
62
78
S
205
122
195
173
133
197
24
Calculate the correlation coefficient r, letting Row 1 represent the x-values and Row 2 the y-values.
r=0.164 (Round to three decimal places as needed.)
S
24
Chapter 18 Solutions
Statistical Techniques in Business and Economics, 16th Edition
Ch. 18 - Prob. 1SRCh. 18 - Calculate a four-quarter weighted moving average...Ch. 18 - Prob. 2ECh. 18 - Prob. 2SRCh. 18 - Prob. 3ECh. 18 - Prob. 4ECh. 18 - Prob. 5ECh. 18 - Prob. 6ECh. 18 - Sales at Tomlin Manufacturing from 2009 to 2013...Ch. 18 - Prob. 7E
Ch. 18 - Prob. 8ECh. 18 - Prob. 4SRCh. 18 - Prob. 9ECh. 18 - Prob. 10ECh. 18 - Prob. 5SRCh. 18 - Prob. 11ECh. 18 - Prob. 12ECh. 18 - Refer to Exercise 9 regarding the absences at...Ch. 18 - Prob. 14ECh. 18 - Prob. 15ECh. 18 - Prob. 16ECh. 18 - Prob. 17CECh. 18 - Prob. 18CECh. 18 - Prob. 19CECh. 18 - Prob. 20CECh. 18 - Prob. 21CECh. 18 - Prob. 22CECh. 18 - Prob. 23CECh. 18 - Prob. 24CECh. 18 - Prob. 25CECh. 18 - Prob. 26CECh. 18 - Prob. 27CECh. 18 - The quarterly production of pine lumber, in...Ch. 18 - Prob. 29CECh. 18 - Sales of roof material, by quarter, for 2007...Ch. 18 - Blueberry Farms Golf and Fish Club of Hilton Head,...Ch. 18 - Prob. 32CECh. 18 - Ray Anderson, owner of Anderson Ski Lodge in...Ch. 18 - Prob. 34CECh. 18 - Prob. 35CECh. 18 - Prob. 36CECh. 18 - Consider the variable mean amount per transaction...Ch. 18 - Prob. 38CECh. 18 - Prob. 39DECh. 18 - Prob. 1PCh. 18 - Prob. 2PCh. 18 - Prob. 3PCh. 18 - Prob. 1.1PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.2PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.3PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.4PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.5PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.6PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.7PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.8PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.9PTCh. 18 - Prob. 1.10PTCh. 18 - Prob. 2.1PTCh. 18 - Listed below are the price and quantity of several...Ch. 18 - Prob. 2.3PT
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