Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780134685113
Author: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, David F. Stephan, Kathryn Szabat
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 16, Problem 27PS
a.
To determine
Fit a third order auto regressive model and test for significance of model.
b.
To determine
Fit a second order auto regressive model and test for significance of model.
c.
To determine
Fit a first order auto regressive model and test for significance of model.
d.
To determine
Forecast the value of single-family homes sold in 2017.
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In this problem, we consider a Brownian motion (W+) t≥0. We consider a stock model (St)t>0
given (under the measure P) by
d.St 0.03 St dt + 0.2 St dwt,
with So 2. We assume that the interest rate is r = 0.06. The purpose of this problem is to
price an option on this stock (which we name cubic put). This option is European-type, with
maturity 3 months (i.e. T = 0.25 years), and payoff given by
F = (8-5)+
(a) Write the Stochastic Differential Equation satisfied by (St) under the risk-neutral measure
Q. (You don't need to prove it, simply give the answer.)
(b) Give the price of a regular European put on (St) with maturity 3 months and strike K = 2.
(c) Let X =
S. Find the Stochastic Differential Equation satisfied by the process (Xt)
under the measure Q.
(d) Find an explicit expression for X₁ = S3 under measure Q.
(e) Using the results above, find the price of the cubic put option mentioned above.
(f) Is the price in (e) the same as in question (b)? (Explain why.)
Chapter 16 Solutions
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
Ch. 16 - If you are using exponential smoothing for...Ch. 16 - Consider a nine-year moving average used to smooth...Ch. 16 - You are using exponential smoothing on an annual...Ch. 16 - Prob. 4PSCh. 16 - Prob. 5PSCh. 16 - How have stocks performed in the past? The...Ch. 16 - Prob. 7PSCh. 16 - Prob. 8PSCh. 16 - Prob. 9PSCh. 16 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 16 - The linear trend forecasting equation for an...Ch. 16 - There has been much publicity about bounces paid...Ch. 16 - Prob. 13PSCh. 16 - Prob. 14PSCh. 16 - Prob. 15PSCh. 16 - The data shown in the following table and stored...Ch. 16 - Prob. 17PSCh. 16 - Prob. 18PSCh. 16 - Prob. 19PSCh. 16 - Prob. 20PSCh. 16 - Prob. 21PSCh. 16 - Prob. 22PSCh. 16 - You are given an annual time series with 40...Ch. 16 - Prob. 24PSCh. 16 - Prob. 25PSCh. 16 - Prob. 26PSCh. 16 - Prob. 27PSCh. 16 - Prob. 28PSCh. 16 - Prob. 29PSCh. 16 - Using the average baseball salary from 200 through...Ch. 16 - Using the yearly amount of solar power generated...Ch. 16 - The following residuals are from a linear trend...Ch. 16 - Prob. 33PSCh. 16 - Prob. 34PSCh. 16 - Prob. 35PSCh. 16 - Prob. 36PSCh. 16 - Prob. 37PSCh. 16 - Prob. 38PSCh. 16 - Prob. 39PSCh. 16 - Prob. 40PSCh. 16 - In forecasting daily time-series data, how many...Ch. 16 - In forecasting a quarterly time series over the...Ch. 16 - Prob. 43PSCh. 16 - Prob. 44PSCh. 16 - Are gasoline prices higher during the height of...Ch. 16 - Prob. 46PSCh. 16 - Prob. 47PSCh. 16 - The file Silver-Q contains the price in London for...Ch. 16 - Prob. 49PSCh. 16 - What is a time series?Ch. 16 - What are the different components of a time-series...Ch. 16 - What is the difference between moving average and...Ch. 16 - Prob. 53PSCh. 16 - How does the least-squares linear trend...Ch. 16 - How does autoregressive modelling differ from the...Ch. 16 - What are the different approaches to choosing an...Ch. 16 - What is the major difference between using SYX and...Ch. 16 - How does forecasting for monthly or quarterly data...Ch. 16 - Prob. 60PSCh. 16 - The monthly commercial and residential prices for...Ch. 16 - The data stored in McDonalds represent the gross...Ch. 16 - Teachers’ Retirement System of the City of New...Ch. 16 - Prob. 64PS
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- Problem 4. Margrabe formula and the Greeks (20 pts) In the homework, we determined the Margrabe formula for the price of an option allowing you to swap an x-stock for a y-stock at time T. For stocks with initial values xo, yo, common volatility σ and correlation p, the formula was given by Fo=yo (d+)-x0Þ(d_), where In (±² Ꭲ d+ õ√T and σ = σ√√√2(1 - p). дго (a) We want to determine a "Greek" for ỡ on the option: find a formula for θα (b) Is дго θα positive or negative? (c) We consider a situation in which the correlation p between the two stocks increases: what can you say about the price Fo? (d) Assume that yo< xo and p = 1. What is the price of the option?arrow_forwardWe consider a 4-dimensional stock price model given (under P) by dẴ₁ = µ· Xt dt + йt · ΣdŴt where (W) is an n-dimensional Brownian motion, π = (0.02, 0.01, -0.02, 0.05), 0.2 0 0 0 0.3 0.4 0 0 Σ= -0.1 -4a За 0 0.2 0.4 -0.1 0.2) and a E R. We assume that ☑0 = (1, 1, 1, 1) and that the interest rate on the market is r = 0.02. (a) Give a condition on a that would make stock #3 be the one with largest volatility. (b) Find the diversification coefficient for this portfolio as a function of a. (c) Determine the maximum diversification coefficient d that you could reach by varying the value of a? 2arrow_forwardQuestion 1. Your manager asks you to explain why the Black-Scholes model may be inappro- priate for pricing options in practice. Give one reason that would substantiate this claim? Question 2. We consider stock #1 and stock #2 in the model of Problem 2. Your manager asks you to pick only one of them to invest in based on the model provided. Which one do you choose and why ? Question 3. Let (St) to be an asset modeled by the Black-Scholes SDE. Let Ft be the price at time t of a European put with maturity T and strike price K. Then, the discounted option price process (ert Ft) t20 is a martingale. True or False? (Explain your answer.) Question 4. You are considering pricing an American put option using a Black-Scholes model for the underlying stock. An explicit formula for the price doesn't exist. In just a few words (no more than 2 sentences), explain how you would proceed to price it. Question 5. We model a short rate with a Ho-Lee model drt = ln(1+t) dt +2dWt. Then the interest rate…arrow_forward
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