Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780134685113
Author: Mark L. Berenson, David M. Levine, David F. Stephan, Kathryn Szabat
Publisher: PEARSON
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Chapter 16, Problem 26PS
a.
To determine
Test the appropriateness of fitted model.
b.
To determine
Suggest the steps to proceed to forecast the values.
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For unemployed persons in the United States, the average number of months of unemployment at the end of December 2009 was approximately seven months (Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 2010). Suppose the following data are for a particular region in upstate New York. The values in the first column show the number of
months unemployed and the values in the second column show the corresponding number of unemployed persons.
Months
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1
1029
2
1686
3
2269
4
2675
5
3487
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3587
9
2325
10
1120
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(x)
f(x)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
b. Show that your probability distribution satisfies the conditions for a valid discrete probability distribution.
The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor.
blank
c. What is the probability that a…
West Virginia has one of the highest divorce rates in the nation, with an annual rate of approximately 5 divorces per 1000 people (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website, January 12, 2012). The Marital Counseling Center, Inc. (MCC) thinks that the high divorce rate in the state may require them to hire additional staff.
Working with a consultant, the management of MCC has developed the following probability distribution for x = the number of new clients for marriage counseling for the next year.
Excel File: data05-19.xls
x
10
f(x)
.05
20
30
.10
.10
40
.20
50
60
.35
.20
a. Is this probability distribution valid?
- Select your answer-
Explain.
f(x)
Σf(x)
Select your answer
Select your answer
b. What is the probability MCC will obtain more than 30 new clients (to 2 decimals)?
c. What is the probability MCC will obtain fewer than 20 new clients (to 2 decimals)?
d. Compute the expected value and variance of x.
Expected value
Variance
clients per year
squared clients per year
For unemployed persons in the United States, the average number of months of unemployment at the end of December 2009 was approximately seven months (Bureau of Labor Statistics, January 2010). Suppose the following data are for a particular region in upstate New York. The values in the first column show the number of
months unemployed and the values in the second column show the corresponding number of unemployed persons.
Months
Unemployed
Number
Unemployed
1
1029
2
1686
3
2269
4
2675
5
3487
6
4652
7
4145
8
3587
9
2325
10
1120
Let x be a random variable indicating the number of months a person is unemployed.
a. Use the data to develop an empirical discrete probability distribution for x (to 4 decimals).
(x)
f(x)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
b. Show that your probability distribution satisfies the conditions for a valid discrete probability distribution.
The input in the box below will not be graded, but may be reviewed and considered by your instructor.
c. What is the probability that a person…
Chapter 16 Solutions
Basic Business Statistics, Student Value Edition
Ch. 16 - If you are using exponential smoothing for...Ch. 16 - Consider a nine-year moving average used to smooth...Ch. 16 - You are using exponential smoothing on an annual...Ch. 16 - Prob. 4PSCh. 16 - Prob. 5PSCh. 16 - How have stocks performed in the past? The...Ch. 16 - Prob. 7PSCh. 16 - Prob. 8PSCh. 16 - Prob. 9PSCh. 16 - Prob. 10PS
Ch. 16 - The linear trend forecasting equation for an...Ch. 16 - There has been much publicity about bounces paid...Ch. 16 - Prob. 13PSCh. 16 - Prob. 14PSCh. 16 - Prob. 15PSCh. 16 - The data shown in the following table and stored...Ch. 16 - Prob. 17PSCh. 16 - Prob. 18PSCh. 16 - Prob. 19PSCh. 16 - Prob. 20PSCh. 16 - Prob. 21PSCh. 16 - Prob. 22PSCh. 16 - You are given an annual time series with 40...Ch. 16 - Prob. 24PSCh. 16 - Prob. 25PSCh. 16 - Prob. 26PSCh. 16 - Prob. 27PSCh. 16 - Prob. 28PSCh. 16 - Prob. 29PSCh. 16 - Using the average baseball salary from 200 through...Ch. 16 - Using the yearly amount of solar power generated...Ch. 16 - The following residuals are from a linear trend...Ch. 16 - Prob. 33PSCh. 16 - Prob. 34PSCh. 16 - Prob. 35PSCh. 16 - Prob. 36PSCh. 16 - Prob. 37PSCh. 16 - Prob. 38PSCh. 16 - Prob. 39PSCh. 16 - Prob. 40PSCh. 16 - In forecasting daily time-series data, how many...Ch. 16 - In forecasting a quarterly time series over the...Ch. 16 - Prob. 43PSCh. 16 - Prob. 44PSCh. 16 - Are gasoline prices higher during the height of...Ch. 16 - Prob. 46PSCh. 16 - Prob. 47PSCh. 16 - The file Silver-Q contains the price in London for...Ch. 16 - Prob. 49PSCh. 16 - What is a time series?Ch. 16 - What are the different components of a time-series...Ch. 16 - What is the difference between moving average and...Ch. 16 - Prob. 53PSCh. 16 - How does the least-squares linear trend...Ch. 16 - How does autoregressive modelling differ from the...Ch. 16 - What are the different approaches to choosing an...Ch. 16 - What is the major difference between using SYX and...Ch. 16 - How does forecasting for monthly or quarterly data...Ch. 16 - Prob. 60PSCh. 16 - The monthly commercial and residential prices for...Ch. 16 - The data stored in McDonalds represent the gross...Ch. 16 - Teachers’ Retirement System of the City of New...Ch. 16 - Prob. 64PS
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- In Gallup's Annual Consumption Habits Poll, telephone interviews were conducted for a random sample of 1014 adults aged 18 and over. One of the questions was "How many cups of coffee, if any, do you drink on an average day?" The following table shows the results obtained (Gallup website, August 6, 2012). Excel File: data05-23.xls Number of Cups per Day Number of Responses 0 365 264 193 3 4 or more 91 101 Define a random variable x = number of cups of coffee consumed on an average day. Let x = 4 represent four or more cups. Round your answers to four decimal places. a. Develop a probability distribution for x. x 0 1 2 3 4 f(x) b. Compute the expected value of x. cups of coffee c. Compute the variance of x. cups of coffee squared d. Suppose we are only interested in adults that drink at least one cup of coffee on an average day. For this group, let y = the number of cups of coffee consumed on an average day. Compute the expected value of y. Compare it to the expected value of x. The…arrow_forwardIn Gallup's Annual Consumption Habits Poll, telephone interviews were conducted for a random sample of 1014 adults aged 18 and over. One of the questions was "How many cups of coffee, if any, do you drink on an average day?" The following table shows the results obtained (Gallup website, August 6, 2012). Excel File: data05-23.xls Number of Cups per Day Number of Responses 0 365 264 193 2 3 4 or more 91 101 Define a random variable x = number of cups of coffee consumed on an average day. Let x = 4 represent four or more cups. Round your answers to four decimal places. a. Develop a probability distribution for x. x 0 1 2 3 f(x) b. Compute the expected value of x. cups of coffee c. Compute the variance of x. cups of coffee squared d. Suppose we are only interested in adults that drink at least one cup of coffee on an average day. For this group, let y = the number of cups of coffee consumed on an average day. Compute the expected value of y. Compare it to the expected value of x. The…arrow_forwardA technician services mailing machines at companies in the Phoenix area. Depending on the type of malfunction, the service call can take 1, 2, 3, or 4 hours. The different types of malfunctions occur at about the same frequency. Develop a probability distribution for the duration of a service call. Duration of Call x f(x) 1 2 3 4 Which of the following probability distribution graphs accurately represents the data set? Consider the required conditions for a discrete probability function, shown below.Does this probability distribution satisfy equation (5.1)?Does this probability distribution satisfy equation (5.2)? What is the probability a service call will take three hours? A service call has just come in, but the type of malfunction is unknown. It is 3:00 P.M. and service technicians usually get off at 5:00 P.M. What is the probability the service technician will have to work overtime to fix the machine today?arrow_forward
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