Math in Our World
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9780073519678
Author: David Sobecki Professor, Allan G. Bluman
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 15.3, Problem 55E
To determine
To find: All the solutions for the congruence
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
Chapter 15 Solutions
Math in Our World
Ch. 15.1 - Use Table 15-1 to find the result of each...Ch. 15.1 - Which properties does the following system...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 3TTOCh. 15.1 - Prob. 4TTOCh. 15.1 - Prob. 1ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 2ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 3ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 6E
Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 7ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 8ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 9ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 10ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 12ECh. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 19ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 20ECh. 15.1 - For Exercises 724, use the elements C, D, E, and...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 22ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 23ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 24ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 25ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 26ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 27ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 28ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 29ECh. 15.1 - For Exercises 2540, use the elements and the...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 31ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 32ECh. 15.1 - For Exercises 2540, use the elements and the...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 2540, use the elements and the...Ch. 15.1 - For Exercises 2540, use the elements and the...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 36ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 37ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 38ECh. 15.1 - For Exercises 2540, use the elements and the...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 40ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 41ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 42ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 43ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 44ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 45ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 46ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 47ECh. 15.1 - For Exercises 4150, determine which properties the...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 49ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 50ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 51ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 52ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 53ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 54ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 55ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 56ECh. 15.1 - For exercises 5160, determine whether the given...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 58ECh. 15.1 - For exercises 5160, determine whether the given...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 60ECh. 15.1 - Exercises 6166 use the mathematical system...Ch. 15.1 - Prob. 62ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 63ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 64ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 65ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 66ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 67ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 68ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 69ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 70ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 71ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 72ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 73ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 74ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 75ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 76ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 77ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 78ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 79ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 80ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 81ECh. 15.1 - Prob. 82ECh. 15.1 - Exercises 8184 are based on the classic game of...Ch. 15.1 - Exercises 8184 are based on the classic game of...Ch. 15.1 - Suppose that a mathematical system consists of the...Ch. 15.2 - Using the 12-hour clock, find these sums. (a)3+12...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 2TTOCh. 15.2 - Prob. 3TTOCh. 15.2 - Prob. 4TTOCh. 15.2 - Prob. 1ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 2ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 4ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 5ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 6ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 7ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 8ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 9ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 10ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 11ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 12ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 14ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 16ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 920, find the equivalent number on...Ch. 15.2 - For Exercises 920, find the equivalent number on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 19ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 20ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 2130, perform the additions on the...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 22ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 2130, perform the additions on the...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 24ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 2130, perform the additions on the...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 26ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 2130, perform the additions on the...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 2130, perform the additions on the...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 3140, perform the subtractions on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 32ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 3140, perform the subtractions on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 34ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 3140, perform the subtractions on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 36ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 3140, perform the subtractions on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 38ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 3140, perform the subtractions on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 40ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 4150, perform the multiplications on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 42ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 4150, perform the multiplications on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 44ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 4150, perform the multiplications on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 46ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 4150, perform the multiplications on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 48ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 4150, perform the multiplications on...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 50ECh. 15.2 - In Exercises 5162, perform the indicated operation...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 52ECh. 15.2 - In Exercises 5162, perform the indicated operation...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 54ECh. 15.2 - In Exercises 5162, perform the indicated operation...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 56ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 57ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 58ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 59ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 60ECh. 15.2 - In Exercises 5162, perform the indicated operation...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 62ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 6370, find the additive inverse for...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 64ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 65ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 66ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 67ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 6370, find the additive inverse for...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 69ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 6370, find the additive inverse for...Ch. 15.2 - For Exercises 7176, find the multiplicative...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 72ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 7176, find the multiplicative...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 74ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 75ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 76ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 77ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 78ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 79ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 80ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 81ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 82ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 83ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 84ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 85ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 86ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 87ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 88ECh. 15.2 - For Exercises 8190, find the value of y using the...Ch. 15.2 - Prob. 90ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 91ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 92ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 93ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 94ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 95ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 96ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 97ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 98ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 99ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 100ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 101ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 102ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 103ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 104ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 105ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 106ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 107ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 108ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 109ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 110ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 111ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 112ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 113ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 114ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 115ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 116ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 117ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 118ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 119ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 120ECh. 15.2 - Prob. 121ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 1TTOCh. 15.3 - Prob. 2TTOCh. 15.3 - Prob. 3TTOCh. 15.3 - Prob. 4TTOCh. 15.3 - Prob. 5TTOCh. 15.3 - Find all natural number solutions to 4x 24 mod 8.Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 1ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 2ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 3ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 4ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 5ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 6ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 7ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 8ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 9ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 10ECh. 15.3 - For Exercises 516, find the values of each number...Ch. 15.3 - For Exercises 516, find the values of each number...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 13ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 14ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 15ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 16ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 17ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 18ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 19ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 20ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 21ECh. 15.3 - For Exercises 1746, perform the following...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 23ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 24ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 26ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 27ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 29ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 30ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 31ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 32ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 15.3 - For Exercises 1746, perform the following...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 37ECh. 15.3 - For Exercises 1746, perform the following...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 39ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 40ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 41ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 42ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 43ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 44ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 45ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 46ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 47ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 48ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 49ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 50ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 51ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 52ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 53ECh. 15.3 - For Exercises 4754, find all natural number...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 55ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 56ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 57ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 58ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 59ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 60ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 61ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 62ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 63ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 64ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 65ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 66ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 67ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 68ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 69ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 70ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 71ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 72ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 73ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 74ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 75ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 76ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 77ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 78ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 79ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 80ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 81ECh. 15.3 - Write a congruence that solves each conversion...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 83ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 85ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 86ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 87ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 88ECh. 15.3 - Prob. 89ECh. 15.3 - Consider the congruence x2 4 mod 5. (a)Check that...Ch. 15.3 - Prob. 91ECh. 15.3 - For each congruence, find all possible values for...Ch. 15 - For Exercises 111, use the elements A, B, C and...Ch. 15 - Prob. 2RECh. 15 - For Exercises 111, use the elements A, B, C and...Ch. 15 - Prob. 4RECh. 15 - Prob. 5RECh. 15 - Prob. 6RECh. 15 - Prob. 7RECh. 15 - Prob. 8RECh. 15 - Prob. 9RECh. 15 - Prob. 10RECh. 15 - Prob. 11RECh. 15 - Prob. 12RECh. 15 - For Exercises 1216, determine if the given system...Ch. 15 - Prob. 14RECh. 15 - Prob. 15RECh. 15 - Prob. 16RECh. 15 - Prob. 17RECh. 15 - Prob. 18RECh. 15 - Prob. 19RECh. 15 - Prob. 20RECh. 15 - Prob. 21RECh. 15 - Prob. 22RECh. 15 - For Exercises 2328, perform the indicated...Ch. 15 - Prob. 24RECh. 15 - Prob. 25RECh. 15 - Prob. 26RECh. 15 - Prob. 27RECh. 15 - Prob. 28RECh. 15 - Prob. 29RECh. 15 - Prob. 30RECh. 15 - Prob. 31RECh. 15 - Prob. 32RECh. 15 - Prob. 33RECh. 15 - Prob. 34RECh. 15 - For Exercises 3142, find the equivalent number for...Ch. 15 - Prob. 36RECh. 15 - Prob. 37RECh. 15 - Prob. 38RECh. 15 - Prob. 39RECh. 15 - Prob. 40RECh. 15 - Prob. 41RECh. 15 - Prob. 42RECh. 15 - Prob. 43RECh. 15 - Prob. 44RECh. 15 - Prob. 45RECh. 15 - Prob. 46RECh. 15 - Prob. 47RECh. 15 - Prob. 48RECh. 15 - Prob. 49RECh. 15 - Prob. 50RECh. 15 - Prob. 51RECh. 15 - Prob. 52RECh. 15 - Prob. 53RECh. 15 - Prob. 54RECh. 15 - Prob. 55RECh. 15 - Prob. 56RECh. 15 - Prob. 57RECh. 15 - Prob. 58RECh. 15 - Prob. 59RECh. 15 - Prob. 60RECh. 15 - Prob. 61RECh. 15 - Prob. 62RECh. 15 - Prob. 63RECh. 15 - Prob. 64RECh. 15 - Prob. 65RECh. 15 - Prob. 66RECh. 15 - Prob. 1CTCh. 15 - Prob. 2CTCh. 15 - Prob. 3CTCh. 15 - Prob. 4CTCh. 15 - Prob. 5CTCh. 15 - Prob. 6CTCh. 15 - Prob. 7CTCh. 15 - Prob. 8CTCh. 15 - Prob. 9CTCh. 15 - Prob. 10CTCh. 15 - Prob. 11CTCh. 15 - Prob. 12CTCh. 15 - Prob. 13CTCh. 15 - Prob. 14CTCh. 15 - Prob. 15CTCh. 15 - Prob. 16CTCh. 15 - Prob. 17CTCh. 15 - Prob. 18CTCh. 15 - Prob. 19CTCh. 15 - Prob. 20CTCh. 15 - Prob. 21CTCh. 15 - Prob. 22CTCh. 15 - Prob. 23CTCh. 15 - Prob. 24CTCh. 15 - An entire baseball league is signed up for an...Ch. 15 - Prob. 26CT
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