Operations Management
Operations Management
13th Edition
ISBN: 9781259667473
Author: William J Stevenson
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
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Chapter 15, Problem 11DRQ
Summary Introduction

To determine: Some trade-offs that might be factors in designing a supply chain.

Introduction: Supply chain defined as a sequence of associations, their offices, capacities, and actions that are engaged with manufacturing and conveying a product or administration. The chain starts with essential providers of raw materials and stretches out the distance to the last client. The supply chain fragment required with getting the completed item from the producer to the purchaser is known as distribution channel. A supply chain is a sequence starts with essential providers or raw materials and stretches out the distance to an item or administration. No business association can exist without the two operations and supply chain.

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Scenario You have been given a task to create a demand forecast for the second year of sales of a premium outdoor grill. Accurate forecasts are important for many reasons, including for the company to ensure they have the materials they need to create the products required in a certain period of time. Your objective is to minimize the forecast error, which will be measured using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) with a goal of being below 25%. You have historical monthly sales data for the past year and access to software that provides forecasts based on five different forecasting techniques (Naïve, 3-Month Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing for .2, Exponential Smooth for .5, and Seasonal) to help determine the best forecast for that particular month. Based on the given data, you will identify trends and patterns to create a more accurate forecast. Approach Consider the previous month's forecast to identify which technique is most effective. Use that to forecast the next…
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