APPLIED STAT.IN BUS.+ECONOMICS
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781259957598
Author: DOANE
Publisher: RENT MCG
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Chapter 14.2, Problem 2SE
(a) Make an Excel graph of the data on the number of certified organic farms in the United States. (b) Discuss the underlying causes that might explain the trend or pattern. (c) Fit three trends (linear, quadratic, exponential) to the time series. (d) Which trend model do you think is best to make forecasts for the next three years? Why? (e) Use each of the three fitted trend equations to make numerical forecasts for the next three years. How similar are the three models’ forecasts?
Source: www.faa.gov.
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Microsoft Excel snapshot for random sampling: Also note the formula used for the last
column
02
x✓ fx =INDEX(5852:58551, RANK(C2, $C$2:$C$51))
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Rand No.
0.925957526
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2
ALASKA
0.372999976
4
3
ARIZONA
0.941323044
5
4 ARKANSAS
0.071266381
Random Sample
CALIFORNIA
NORTH CAROLINA
ARKANSAS
WASHINGTON
G7
Microsoft Excel snapshot for systematic sampling:
xfx INDEX(SD52:50551, F7)
A
B
E
F
G
1
No.
States
Rand No. Random Sample
population
50
2
1 ALABAMA
0.5296685 NEW HAMPSHIRE
sample
10
3
2 ALASKA
0.4493186 OKLAHOMA
k
5
4
3 ARIZONA
0.707914 KANSAS
5
4 ARKANSAS 0.4831379 NORTH DAKOTA
6
5 CALIFORNIA 0.7277162 INDIANA
Random Sample
Sample Name
7
6 COLORADO 0.5865002 MISSISSIPPI
8
7:ONNECTICU 0.7640596 ILLINOIS
9
8 DELAWARE 0.5783029 MISSOURI
525
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INDIANA
MARYLAND
COLORADO
Suppose the Internal Revenue Service reported that the mean tax refund for the year 2022 was $3401. Assume the standard deviation is $82.5 and that the amounts refunded follow a normal probability distribution. Solve the following three parts? (For the answer to question 14, 15, and 16, start with making a bell curve. Identify on the bell curve where is mean, X, and area(s) to be determined.
1.What percent of the refunds are more than $3,500?
2. What percent of the refunds are more than $3500 but less than $3579?
3. What percent of the refunds are more than $3325 but less than $3579?
A normal distribution has a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 4. Solve the following three parts?
1. Compute the probability of a value between 44.0 and 55.0.
(The question requires finding probability value between 44 and 55. Solve it in 3 steps.
In the first step, use the above formula and x = 44, calculate probability value.
In the second step repeat the first step with the only difference that x=55.
In the third step, subtract the answer of the first part from the answer of the second part.)
2. Compute the probability of a value greater than 55.0.
Use the same formula, x=55 and subtract the answer from 1.
3. Compute the probability of a value between 52.0 and 55.0.
(The question requires finding probability value between 52 and 55. Solve it in 3 steps.
In the first step, use the above formula and x = 52, calculate probability value.
In the second step repeat the first step with the only difference that x=55.
In the third step, subtract the answer of the first part from the…
Chapter 14 Solutions
APPLIED STAT.IN BUS.+ECONOMICS
Ch. 14.2 - (a) Make an Excel graph of the data on the number...Ch. 14.2 - Prob. 3SECh. 14.2 - Prob. 4SECh. 14.2 - Prob. 5SECh. 14.4 - (a) Make an Excel line graph of the exchange rate...Ch. 14.5 - (a) Make an Excel line graph of the following bond...Ch. 14 - Explain the difference between (a) stocks and...Ch. 14 - (a) What is periodicity? (b) Give original...Ch. 14 - (a) What are the distinguishing features of each...Ch. 14 - Name four criteria for assessing a trend forecast.
Ch. 14 - Name two advantages and two disadvantages of each...Ch. 14 - When would the exponential trend model be...Ch. 14 - Explain how to obtain the compound percent growth...Ch. 14 - (a) When might a quadratic model be useful? (b)...Ch. 14 - Name five measures of fit for a trend, and state...Ch. 14 - Prob. 10CRCh. 14 - Prob. 11CRCh. 14 - Prob. 12CRCh. 14 - (a) Why is seasonality irrelevant for annual data?...Ch. 14 - Prob. 14CRCh. 14 - (a) Explain how seasonal binaries can be used to...Ch. 14 - What is the purpose of index numbers?Ch. 14 - (a) Make a line chart for JetBlues revenue. (b)...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot both Swiss watch time series on the same...Ch. 14 - (a) Make a line graph of the U.S. civilian labor...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot the voter participation rate. (b)...Ch. 14 - For each of the following fitted trends, make a...Ch. 14 - (a) Make a line graph of consumer credit...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot the data on U.S. general aviation...Ch. 14 - Prob. 17CECh. 14 - (a) Plot either receipts and outlays or federal...Ch. 14 - Prob. 19CECh. 14 - (a) Plot the data on leisure and hospitality...Ch. 14 - Prob. 21CECh. 14 - Prob. 22CECh. 14 - (a) Plot the data on skier/snowboard visits. (b)...Ch. 14 - Prob. 24CECh. 14 - (a) Plot U.S. petroleum imports on a graph. (b)...Ch. 14 - (a) Make a line chart and fit an m-period moving...Ch. 14 - Refer to exercise 14.26. (a) Plot the dollar/pound...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot the data on natural gas bills. (b) Can...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot the data on air travel delays. (b) Can...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot the data on airplane shipments. (b) Can...Ch. 14 - (a) Plot the data on revolving credit (credit...Ch. 14 - The following seasonal regression was fitted with...Ch. 14 - The following seasonal regression was fitted with...
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