One measure of the risk or volatility of an individual stock is the standard deviation of the total return (capital appreciation plus dividends) over several periods of time. Although the standard deviation is easy to compute, it does not take into account the extent to which the price of a given stock varies as a
Betas for individual stocks are determined by simple linear regression. The dependent variable is the total return for the stock and the independent variable is the total return for the stock market.* For this case problem we will use the S&P 500 index as the measure of the total return for the stock market, and an estimated regression equation will be developed using monthly data. The beta for the stock is the slope of the estimated regression equation (b1). The data contained in the file named Beta provides the total return (capital appreciation plus dividends) over 36 months for eight widely traded common stocks and the S&P 500.
The value of beta for the stock market will always be 1; thus, stocks that tend to rise and fall with the stock market will also have a beta close to 1. Betas greater than 1 indicate that the stock is more volatile than the market, and betas less than 1 indicate that the stock is less volatile than the market. For instance, if a stock has a beta of 1.4, it is 40% more volatile than the market, and if a stock has a beta of .4, it is 60% less volatile than the market.
You have been assigned to analyze the risk characteristics of these stocks. Prepare a report that includes but is not limited to the following items.
- a. Compute
descriptive statistics for each stock and the S&P 500. Comment on your results. Which stocks are the most volatile? - b. Compute the value of beta for each stock. Which of these stocks would you expect to perform best in an up market? Which would you expect to hold their value best in a down market?
- c. Comment on how much of the return for the individual stocks is explained by the market.
Trending nowThis is a popular solution!
Chapter 14 Solutions
Modern Business Statistics with Microsoft Excel (MindTap Course List)
- - + ++ Table 2: Crack Experiment for Exercise 2 A B C D Treatment Combination (1) Replicate I II 7.037 6.376 14.707 15.219 |++++ 1 བྱ॰༤༠སྦྱོ སྦྱོཋཏྟཱུ a b ab 11.635 12.089 17.273 17.815 с ас 10.403 10.151 4.368 4.098 bc abc 9.360 9.253 13.440 12.923 d 8.561 8.951 ad 16.867 17.052 bd 13.876 13.658 abd 19.824 19.639 cd 11.846 12.337 acd 6.125 5.904 bcd 11.190 10.935 abcd 15.653 15.053 Question 3 Continuation of Exercise 2. One of the variables in the experiment described in Exercise 2, heat treatment method (C), is a categorical variable. Assume that the remaining factors are continuous. (a) Write two regression models for predicting crack length, one for each level of the heat treatment method variable. What differences, if any, do you notice in these two equations? (b) Generate appropriate response surface contour plots for the two regression models in part (a). (c) What set of conditions would you recommend for the factors A, B, and D if you use heat treatment method C = +? (d) Repeat…arrow_forwardQuestion 2 A nickel-titanium alloy is used to make components for jet turbine aircraft engines. Cracking is a potentially serious problem in the final part because it can lead to nonrecoverable failure. A test is run at the parts producer to determine the effect of four factors on cracks. The four factors are: pouring temperature (A), titanium content (B), heat treatment method (C), amount of grain refiner used (D). Two replicates of a 24 design are run, and the length of crack (in mm x10-2) induced in a sample coupon subjected to a standard test is measured. The data are shown in Table 2. 1 (a) Estimate the factor effects. Which factor effects appear to be large? (b) Conduct an analysis of variance. Do any of the factors affect cracking? Use a = 0.05. (c) Write down a regression model that can be used to predict crack length as a function of the significant main effects and interactions you have identified in part (b). (d) Analyze the residuals from this experiment. (e) Is there an…arrow_forwardA 24-1 design has been used to investigate the effect of four factors on the resistivity of a silicon wafer. The data from this experiment are shown in Table 4. Table 4: Resistivity Experiment for Exercise 5 Run A B с D Resistivity 1 23 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 I+I+I+I+Oooo 0 0 ||++TI++o000 33.2 4.6 31.2 9.6 40.6 162.4 39.4 158.6 63.4 62.6 58.7 0 0 60.9 3 (a) Estimate the factor effects. Plot the effect estimates on a normal probability scale. (b) Identify a tentative model for this process. Fit the model and test for curvature. (c) Plot the residuals from the model in part (b) versus the predicted resistivity. Is there any indication on this plot of model inadequacy? (d) Construct a normal probability plot of the residuals. Is there any reason to doubt the validity of the normality assumption?arrow_forward
- Stem1: 1,4 Stem 2: 2,4,8 Stem3: 2,4 Stem4: 0,1,6,8 Stem5: 0,1,2,3,9 Stem 6: 2,2 What’s the Min,Q1, Med,Q3,Max?arrow_forwardAre the t-statistics here greater than 1.96? What do you conclude? colgPA= 1.39+0.412 hsGPA (.33) (0.094) Find the P valuearrow_forwardA poll before the elections showed that in a given sample 79% of people vote for candidate C. How many people should be interviewed so that the pollsters can be 99% sure that from 75% to 83% of the population will vote for candidate C? Round your answer to the whole number.arrow_forward
- Suppose a random sample of 459 married couples found that 307 had two or more personality preferences in common. In another random sample of 471 married couples, it was found that only 31 had no preferences in common. Let p1 be the population proportion of all married couples who have two or more personality preferences in common. Let p2 be the population proportion of all married couples who have no personality preferences in common. Find a95% confidence interval for . Round your answer to three decimal places.arrow_forwardA history teacher interviewed a random sample of 80 students about their preferences in learning activities outside of school and whether they are considering watching a historical movie at the cinema. 69 answered that they would like to go to the cinema. Let p represent the proportion of students who want to watch a historical movie. Determine the maximal margin of error. Use α = 0.05. Round your answer to three decimal places. arrow_forwardA random sample of medical files is used to estimate the proportion p of all people who have blood type B. If you have no preliminary estimate for p, how many medical files should you include in a random sample in order to be 99% sure that the point estimate will be within a distance of 0.07 from p? Round your answer to the next higher whole number.arrow_forward
- A clinical study is designed to assess the average length of hospital stay of patients who underwent surgery. A preliminary study of a random sample of 70 surgery patients’ records showed that the standard deviation of the lengths of stay of all surgery patients is 7.5 days. How large should a sample to estimate the desired mean to within 1 day at 95% confidence? Round your answer to the whole number.arrow_forwardA clinical study is designed to assess the average length of hospital stay of patients who underwent surgery. A preliminary study of a random sample of 70 surgery patients’ records showed that the standard deviation of the lengths of stay of all surgery patients is 7.5 days. How large should a sample to estimate the desired mean to within 1 day at 95% confidence? Round your answer to the whole number.arrow_forwardIn the experiment a sample of subjects is drawn of people who have an elbow surgery. Each of the people included in the sample was interviewed about their health status and measurements were taken before and after surgery. Are the measurements before and after the operation independent or dependent samples?arrow_forward
- Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897...AlgebraISBN:9780079039897Author:CarterPublisher:McGraw HillBig Ideas Math A Bridge To Success Algebra 1: Stu...AlgebraISBN:9781680331141Author:HOUGHTON MIFFLIN HARCOURTPublisher:Houghton Mifflin Harcourt
- College Algebra (MindTap Course List)AlgebraISBN:9781305652231Author:R. David Gustafson, Jeff HughesPublisher:Cengage LearningLinear Algebra: A Modern IntroductionAlgebraISBN:9781285463247Author:David PoolePublisher:Cengage Learning