Numerical Analysis
3rd Edition
ISBN: 9780134696454
Author: Sauer, Tim
Publisher: Pearson,
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Chapter 1.2, Problem 20E
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answer number 4
3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
answer number 6
Chapter 1 Solutions
Numerical Analysis
Ch. 1.1 - Use the Intermediate Value Theorem to find an...Ch. 1.1 - Use the Intermediate Value Theorem to find an...Ch. 1.1 - Consider the equations in Exercise 1. Apply two...Ch. 1.1 - Consider the equations in Exercise 2. Apply two...Ch. 1.1 - Consider the equation x4=x3+10 . a. Find an...Ch. 1.1 - Suppose that the Bisection Method with starting...Ch. 1.1 - Prob. 1CPCh. 1.1 - Use the Bisection Method to find the root to eight...Ch. 1.1 - Use the Bisection Method to locate all solutions...Ch. 1.1 - Prob. 4CP
Ch. 1.1 - Prob. 5CPCh. 1.1 - Use the Bisection Method to calculate the solution...Ch. 1.1 - Use the Bisection Method to find the two real...Ch. 1.1 - The Hilbert matrix is the nn matrix whose ijth...Ch. 1.1 - Prob. 9CPCh. 1.1 - A planet orbiting the sun traverses an ellipse....Ch. 1.2 - Find all fixed points of the following gx . a. 3x...Ch. 1.2 - Find all fixed points of the following gx . x+63x2...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 3ECh. 1.2 - Show that -1, 0, and 1 are fixed points of the...Ch. 1.2 - For which of the following gx is r=3 a fixed...Ch. 1.2 - For which of the following is a fixed...Ch. 1.2 - Use Theorem 1.6 to determine whether Fixed-Point...Ch. 1.2 - Use Theorem 1.6 to determine whether Fixed-Point...Ch. 1.2 - Find each fixed point and decide whether...Ch. 1.2 - Find each fixed point and decide whether...Ch. 1.2 - Express each equation as a fixed-point problem...Ch. 1.2 - Consider the Fixed-Point Iteration xgx=x20.24 ....Ch. 1.2 - (a) Find all fixed points of.
(b) To which of the...Ch. 1.2 - Which of the following three Fixed-Point...Ch. 1.2 - Which of the following three Fixed-Point...Ch. 1.2 - Which of the following three Fixed-Point...Ch. 1.2 - Check that and -1 are roots of. Isolate the term...Ch. 1.2 - Prove that the method of Example 1.6 will...Ch. 1.2 - Explore the idea of Example 1.6 for cube roots. Lf...Ch. 1.2 - Improve the cube root algorithm of Exercise 19 by...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 21ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 22ECh. 1.2 - Assume that gx is continuously differentiable and...Ch. 1.2 - Assume that g is a continuously differentiable...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 25ECh. 1.2 - Prove that a continuously differentiable function ...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 27ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 28ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 29ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 30ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 31ECh. 1.2 - Find the set of all initial guesses for which the...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 33ECh. 1.2 - Prob. 1CPCh. 1.2 - Prob. 2CPCh. 1.2 - Calculate the square roots of the following...Ch. 1.2 - Calculate the cube roots of the following numbers...Ch. 1.2 - Prob. 5CPCh. 1.2 - Prob. 6CPCh. 1.2 - Prob. 7CPCh. 1.3 - Find the forward and backward error for the...Ch. 1.3 - Find the forward and backward error for the...Ch. 1.3 - (a) Find the multiplicity of the root r=0 of...Ch. 1.3 - (a) Find the multiplicity of the root of.
(b)...Ch. 1.3 - Find the relation between forward and backward...Ch. 1.3 - Let be a positive integer. The equation defining...Ch. 1.3 - Let be the Wilkinson polynomial. (a) Prove that ...Ch. 1.3 - Let fx=xnaxn1 , and set gx=xn . (a) Use the...Ch. 1.3 - Prob. 1CPCh. 1.3 - Carry' out Computer Problem 1 for fx=sinx3x3 .Ch. 1.3 - Prob. 3CPCh. 1.3 - Prob. 4CPCh. 1.3 - Prob. 5CPCh. 1.3 - Prob. 6CPCh. 1.4 - Apply two steps of Newton’s Method with initial...Ch. 1.4 - Apply two steps of Newton’s Method with initial...Ch. 1.4 - Use Theorem 1.11 or 1.12 to estimate the error...Ch. 1.4 - Estimate
as in Exercise 3.
(a) ; ,
(b) ; ,
Ch. 1.4 - Consider the equation 8x412x3+6x2x=0 . For each of...Ch. 1.4 - Sketch a function f and initial guess for which...Ch. 1.4 - Let fx=x47x3+18x220x+8 . Does Newton’s Method...Ch. 1.4 - Prove that Newton’s Method applied to fx=ax+b...Ch. 1.4 - Show that applying Newton’s Method to fx=x2A...Ch. 1.4 - Find the Fixed-Point Iteration produced by...Ch. 1.4 - Use Newton’s Method to produce a quadratically...Ch. 1.4 - Suppose Newton’s Method is applied to the...Ch. 1.4 - (a) The function has a root at . If the error ...Ch. 1.4 - Let
denote the Newton’s Method iteration for the...Ch. 1.4 - Each equation has one root. Use Newton’s Method to...Ch. 1.4 - Prob. 2CPCh. 1.4 - Apply Newton’s Method to find the only root to as...Ch. 1.4 - Carry out the steps of Computer Problem 3 for (a)...Ch. 1.4 - Prob. 5CPCh. 1.4 - Prob. 6CPCh. 1.4 - Consider the function fx=esin3x+x62x4x31 on the...Ch. 1.4 - Prob. 8CPCh. 1.4 - Prob. 9CPCh. 1.4 - Set fx=54x6+45x5102x469x3+35x2+16x4 . Plot the...Ch. 1.4 - The ideal gas law for a gas at low temperature and...Ch. 1.4 - Prob. 12CPCh. 1.4 - Prob. 13CPCh. 1.4 - Prob. 14CPCh. 1.4 - Prob. 15CPCh. 1.4 - Prob. 16CPCh. 1.4 - Consider the national population growth model...Ch. 1.5 - Prob. 1ECh. 1.5 - Apply two steps of the Method of False Position...Ch. 1.5 - Apply two steps of Inverse Quadratic Interpolation...Ch. 1.5 - A commercial fisher wants to set the net at a...Ch. 1.5 - Prob. 5ECh. 1.5 - If the Secant Method converges to, , and , then...Ch. 1.5 - Consider the following four methods for...Ch. 1.5 - Prob. 1CPCh. 1.5 - Use the Method of False Position to find the...Ch. 1.5 - Prob. 3CPCh. 1.5 - Prob. 4CPCh. 1.5 - Prob. 5CPCh. 1.5 - Prob. 6CPCh. 1.5 - Write a MATLAB function file for f . The...Ch. 1.5 - Plot f on , . You may use the @ symbol as...Ch. 1.5 - Reproduce Figure 1.15. The MATLAB commands and...Ch. 1.5 - Solve the forward kinematics problem for the...Ch. 1.5 - Prob. 5SACh. 1.5 - Find a strut length p2 , with the rest of the...Ch. 1.5 - Calculate the intervals in p2 , with the rest of...Ch. 1.5 - Prob. 8SA
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