Practical Management Science
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305250901
Author: Wayne L. Winston, S. Christian Albright
Publisher: Cengage Learning
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Chapter 11.3, Problem 9P
Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4, but now introduce uncertainty into the fixed development cost. Let it be triangularly distributed with parameters $600 million, $650 million, and $850 million. (You can check that the mean of this distribution is $700 million, the same as the cost given in the example.) Comment on the differences between your output and those in the example. Would you say these differences are important for the company?
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1) View the video Service Processing at BuyCostumes (10.41 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapter 3) after watching this video. (viddler.com/embed/a6b7054c)
Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs.
2) Orkhon Foods makes hand-held pies (among other products). The firm’s weekly sales of hand-held pies over the past seven weeks are given in the table. The firm’s operations manager, Amarjargal, wants to forecast sales for week 8.
Weeks
Sales of hand-held pies(000s)
1
19
2
18
3
17
4
20
5
18
6
22
7
20
Forecast the week 8 sales using the following approaches:
a) Naïve approach
b) 5-month moving average
c) 3-month weighted moving average using the following weights: 0.50 for week 7, 0.30 for week 6, and 0.20 for week 5.
d) Exponential smoothing using a smoothing constant of 0.30, assume a…
Answer all parts to question 4 and show all working
Chapter 11 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 11.2 - If the number of competitors in Example 11.1...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.1, the possible profits vary from...Ch. 11.2 - Referring to Example 11.1, if the average bid for...Ch. 11.2 - See how sensitive the results in Example 11.2 are...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.2, the gamma distribution was used...Ch. 11.2 - Prob. 6PCh. 11.2 - In Example 11.3, suppose you want to run five...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.3, if a batch fails to pass...Ch. 11.3 - Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4,...Ch. 11.3 - Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4,...
Ch. 11.3 - In the cash balance model from Example 11.5, the...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 12PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 13PCh. 11.3 - The simulation output from Example 11.6 indicates...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 15PCh. 11.3 - Referring to the retirement example in Example...Ch. 11.3 - A European put option allows an investor to sell a...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 18PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 19PCh. 11.3 - Based on Kelly (1956). You currently have 100....Ch. 11.3 - Amanda has 30 years to save for her retirement. At...Ch. 11.3 - In the financial world, there are many types of...Ch. 11.3 - Suppose you currently have a portfolio of three...Ch. 11.3 - If you own a stock, buying a put option on the...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 25PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 26PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 27PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 28PCh. 11.4 - Prob. 29PCh. 11.4 - Seas Beginning sells clothing by mail order. An...Ch. 11.4 - Based on Babich (1992). Suppose that each week...Ch. 11.4 - The customer loyalty model in Example 11.9 assumes...Ch. 11.4 - Prob. 33PCh. 11.4 - Suppose that GLC earns a 2000 profit each time a...Ch. 11.4 - Prob. 35PCh. 11.5 - A martingale betting strategy works as follows....Ch. 11.5 - The game of Chuck-a-Luck is played as follows: You...Ch. 11.5 - You have 5 and your opponent has 10. You flip a...Ch. 11.5 - Assume a very good NBA team has a 70% chance of...Ch. 11.5 - Consider the following card game. The player and...Ch. 11.5 - Prob. 42PCh. 11 - Prob. 44PCh. 11 - You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a...Ch. 11 - Prob. 46PCh. 11 - Prob. 47PCh. 11 - Based on Marcus (1990). The Balboa mutual fund has...Ch. 11 - Prob. 50PCh. 11 - Prob. 52PCh. 11 - The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drug...Ch. 11 - Prob. 54PCh. 11 - The DC Cisco office is trying to predict the...Ch. 11 - Prob. 56PCh. 11 - Prob. 58PCh. 11 - You are considering a 10-year investment project....Ch. 11 - Prob. 61PCh. 11 - An automobile manufacturer is considering whether...Ch. 11 - Prob. 63PCh. 11 - Prob. 65PCh. 11 - Rework the previous problem for a case in which...Ch. 11 - Prob. 68PCh. 11 - The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the...Ch. 11 - Prob. 70PCh. 11 - In this version of dice blackjack, you toss a...Ch. 11 - Prob. 76PCh. 11 - It is January 1 of year 0, and Merck is trying to...Ch. 11 - Suppose you are an HR (human resources) manager at...Ch. 11 - You are an avid basketball fan, and you would like...Ch. 11 - Suppose you are a financial analyst and your...Ch. 11 - Software development is an inherently risky and...Ch. 11 - Health care is continually in the news. Can (or...
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- 1) View the video Service Processing at BuyCostumes (10.41 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapter 3) after watching this video. (viddler.com/embed/a6b7054c) Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs. 2) Orkhon Foods makes hand-held pies (among other products). The firm’s weekly sales of hand-held pies over the past seven weeks are given in the table. The firm’s operations manager, Amarjargal, wants to forecast sales for week 8. Weeks Sales of hand-held pies(000s) 1 19 2 18 3 17 4 20 5 18 6 22 7 20 Forecast the week 8 sales using the following approaches: a) Naïve approach b) 5-month moving average c) 3-month weighted moving average using the following weights: 0.50 for week 7, 0.30 for week 6, and 0.20 for week 5. d) Exponential smoothing using a smoothing constant of 0.30, assume a week 2…arrow_forwardWhat area of emotional intelligence refers to the ability to manage your emotions, particularly in stressful situations, and maintain a positive outlook despite setbacks? relationship management self awareness social awareness self managementarrow_forwardWhat area of emotional intelligence refers to the ability to manage your emotions, particularly in stressful situations, and maintain a positive outlook despite setbacks? relationship management self awareness social awareness self managementarrow_forward
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