Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337671989
Author: WINSTON
Publisher: Cengage
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Videos
Question
Chapter 11.3, Problem 12P
Summary Introduction
To run: The simulation with given minimum required cash balances.
Introduction: Simulation model is the digital prototype of the physical model that helps to
Expert Solution & Answer
Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
You have been employed by a tier one Automotive company who is planning on developing a new production line. The company has a number of different options available. The senior Management are slightly confused and very undecided on which option will be the most effective. A suggestion has been made on developing a simulation model to evaluate all options.
The senior management team are reluctant to invest in such an exercise, please put together a coherent discussion detailing the advantages and disadvantages of developing such a model
What are the pros and cons of starting a simulation with the system empty? With the system in equilibrium?
The CEO of Absa, Arrie Rautenbach together with the executive team have requested you to submit a report highlightinghow simulation methods can be embraced in the banking sector. Your response should provide recommendations on theoptions to be explored in positively adopting simulations in modelling risks. Discuss the contents of your submission.
Chapter 11 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 11.2 - If the number of competitors in Example 11.1...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.1, the possible profits vary from...Ch. 11.2 - Referring to Example 11.1, if the average bid for...Ch. 11.2 - See how sensitive the results in Example 11.2 are...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.2, the gamma distribution was used...Ch. 11.2 - Prob. 6PCh. 11.2 - In Example 11.3, suppose you want to run five...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.3, if a batch fails to pass...Ch. 11.3 - Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4,...Ch. 11.3 - Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4,...
Ch. 11.3 - In the cash balance model from Example 11.5, the...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 12PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 13PCh. 11.3 - The simulation output from Example 11.6 indicates...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 15PCh. 11.3 - Referring to the retirement example in Example...Ch. 11.3 - A European put option allows an investor to sell a...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 18PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 19PCh. 11.3 - Based on Kelly (1956). You currently have 100....Ch. 11.3 - Amanda has 30 years to save for her retirement. At...Ch. 11.3 - In the financial world, there are many types of...Ch. 11.3 - Suppose you currently have a portfolio of three...Ch. 11.3 - If you own a stock, buying a put option on the...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 25PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 26PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 27PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 28PCh. 11.4 - Prob. 29PCh. 11.4 - Seas Beginning sells clothing by mail order. An...Ch. 11.4 - Based on Babich (1992). Suppose that each week...Ch. 11.4 - The customer loyalty model in Example 11.9 assumes...Ch. 11.4 - Prob. 33PCh. 11.4 - Suppose that GLC earns a 2000 profit each time a...Ch. 11.4 - Prob. 35PCh. 11.5 - A martingale betting strategy works as follows....Ch. 11.5 - The game of Chuck-a-Luck is played as follows: You...Ch. 11.5 - You have 5 and your opponent has 10. You flip a...Ch. 11.5 - Assume a very good NBA team has a 70% chance of...Ch. 11.5 - Consider the following card game. The player and...Ch. 11.5 - Prob. 42PCh. 11 - You now have 5000. You will toss a fair coin four...Ch. 11 - You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a...Ch. 11 - Suppose you have invested 25% of your portfolio in...Ch. 11 - Prob. 47PCh. 11 - Based on Marcus (1990). The Balboa mutual fund has...Ch. 11 - Prob. 50PCh. 11 - Prob. 52PCh. 11 - The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drug...Ch. 11 - Prob. 54PCh. 11 - The DC Cisco office is trying to predict the...Ch. 11 - A common decision is whether a company should buy...Ch. 11 - Suppose you begin year 1 with 5000. At the...Ch. 11 - You are considering a 10-year investment project....Ch. 11 - Play Things is developing a new Lady Gaga doll....Ch. 11 - An automobile manufacturer is considering whether...Ch. 11 - It costs a pharmaceutical company 75,000 to...Ch. 11 - Prob. 65PCh. 11 - Rework the previous problem for a case in which...Ch. 11 - Prob. 68PCh. 11 - The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the...Ch. 11 - Prob. 70PCh. 11 - In this version of dice blackjack, you toss a...Ch. 11 - Prob. 76PCh. 11 - It is January 1 of year 0, and Merck is trying to...Ch. 11 - Suppose you are an HR (human resources) manager at...Ch. 11 - You are an avid basketball fan, and you would like...Ch. 11 - Suppose you are a financial analyst and your...Ch. 11 - Software development is an inherently risky and...Ch. 11 - Health care is continually in the news. Can (or...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- A martingale betting strategy works as follows. You begin with a certain amount of money and repeatedly play a game in which you have a 40% chance of winning any bet. In the first game, you bet 1. From then on, every time you win a bet, you bet 1 the next time. Each time you lose, you double your previous bet. Currently you have 63. Assuming you have unlimited credit, so that you can bet more money than you have, use simulation to estimate the profit or loss you will have after playing the game 50 times.arrow_forwardBased on Marcus (1990). The Balboa mutual fund has beaten the Standard and Poors 500 during 11 of the last 13 years. People use this as an argument that you can beat the market. Here is another way to look at it that shows that Balboas beating the market 11 out of 13 times is not unusual. Consider 50 mutual funds, each of which has a 50% chance of beating the market during a given year. Use simulation to estimate the probability that over a 13-year period the best of the 50 mutual funds will beat the market for at least 11 out of 13 years. This probability turns out to exceed 40%, which means that the best mutual fund beating the market 11 out of 13 years is not an unusual occurrence after all.arrow_forwardAssume a very good NBA team has a 70% chance of winning in each game it plays. During an 82-game season what is the average length of the teams longest winning streak? What is the probability that the team has a winning streak of at least 16 games? Use simulation to answer these questions, where each iteration of the simulation generates the outcomes of all 82 games.arrow_forward
- If you own a stock, buying a put option on the stock will greatly reduce your risk. This is the idea behind portfolio insurance. To illustrate, consider a stock that currently sells for 56 and has an annual volatility of 30%. Assume the risk-free rate is 8%, and you estimate that the stocks annual growth rate is 12%. a. Suppose you own 100 shares of this stock. Use simulation to estimate the probability distribution of the percentage return earned on this stock during a one-year period. b. Now suppose you also buy a put option (for 238) on the stock. The option has an exercise price of 50 and an exercise date one year from now. Use simulation to estimate the probability distribution of the percentage return on your portfolio over a one-year period. Can you see why this strategy is called a portfolio insurance strategy? c. Use simulation to show that the put option should, indeed, sell for about 238.arrow_forwardYou have 5 and your opponent has 10. You flip a fair coin and if heads comes up, your opponent pays you 1. If tails comes up, you pay your opponent 1. The game is finished when one player has all the money or after 100 tosses, whichever comes first. Use simulation to estimate the probability that you end up with all the money and the probability that neither of you goes broke in 100 tosses.arrow_forwardYour answer is partially correct. An independent contractor for a transportation company needs to determine whether she should upgrade the vehicle she currently owns or trade her vehicle in to lease a new vehicle. If she keeps her vehicle, she will need to invest in immediate upgrades that cost $5,200 and it will cost $1,300 per year to operate at the end of year that follows. She will keep the vehicle for 5 years; at the end of this period, the upgraded vehicle will have a salvage value of $3,800. Alternatively, she could trade in her vehicle to lease a new vehicle. She estimates that her current vehicle has a trade-in value of $9,800 and that there will be $4,100 due at lease signing. She further estimates that it will cost $2,900 per year to lease and operate the vehicle. The independent contractor's MARR is 11%. Compute the EUAC of both the upgrade and lease alternatives using the insider perspective. Click here to access the TVM Factor Table Calculator. 1943.56 EUAC(keep): $…arrow_forward
- If $ 650 is deposited at the end of each quarter into an account paying 11% compounded quarterly, how much money will be in that account after 6 years? Round your answer to two digits!arrow_forwardImplement a financial simulation model for a new product proposal and determine a distribution of profits using the provided discrete distributions for the unit cost, demand, and fixed costs. Price is fixed at $1,000. Simulate this model for 50 trials and a production quantity of 140. What is the average profit? Click here to view the discrete distributions. Click here to view a sample of 50 simulation trial results. Set up a lookup table for the unit cost. (Type integers or decimals. Do not round. Use ascending order.) Unit Cost Probability Lower Limit Upper Limit $400 0.25 $600 0.40 $700 0.15 $800 0.20 0.25 0.25 0.65 $400 $600 $700 $800arrow_forwardAn electric vehicle company is debating whether to replace its original model, Model X, with a new model, Model Y, which would appeal to a younger audience. Whatever vehicle is chosen, it will be produced for the next four years, after which time a reevaluation will be necessary. Develop a four-year Monte Carlo simulation model using 5050 trials to recommend the best decision using a net present value discount rate of 44%. Click here to view the descriptions of the two models. LOADING... Click here to view a sample of 50 simulation trial results. LOADING... Question content area bottom Part 1 Set up a spreadsheet model and calculate the difference in the net present values in thousands of dollars (NPV) for producing Model X or producing Model Y using the means for uncertain values with normal distributions and the most likely values for uncertain values with triangular distributions. NPV(Model Y)minus−NPV(Model X)equals=$enter your response here…arrow_forward
- A young computer engineer has $12,000 to invest and three different investment options (funds) to choose from. Type 1 guaranteed investment funds offer an expected rate of return of 7%, Type 2 mixed funds (part is guaranteed capital) have an expected rate of return of 8%, while an investment on the Stock Exchange involves an expected rate of return of 12%, but without guaranteed investment capital. Computer engineer has decided not to invest more than $2,000 on the Stock Exchange in order to minimize the risk. Moreover for tax reasons, she needs to invest at least three times more in guaranteed investment funds than in mixed funds. Assume that at the end of the year the returns are those expected; she is trying to determine the optimum investment amounts. (a) Express this problem as a linear programming model with two decision variables.(b) Solve the problem with the graphical solution procedure and define the optimum solution.arrow_forwardWilliams Auto has a machine that installs tires. The machine is now in need of repair. The machineoriginally cost $10,000 and the repair will cost $1,000, but the machine will then last two years.The labor cost of operating the machine is $0.50 per tire. Instead of repairing the old machine,Williams could buy a new machine at a cost of $5,000 that would also last two years; the labor costwould then be reduced to $0.25 per tire. Should Williams repair or replace the machine if it expectsto install 10,000 tires in the next two years?arrow_forwardBarbara Flynn sells papers at a newspaper stand for $0.40. The papers cost her $0.30, giving her a $0.10 profit on each one she sells. From past experience Barbara knows that: a) 20% of the time she sells 150 papers. b) 20% of the time she sells 200 papers. c) 30% of the time she sells 250 papers. d) 30% of the time she sells 300 papers. Assuming that Barbara believes the cost of a lost sale to be $0.05 and any unsold papers cost her $0.30 and she orders 250 papers. Use the following random numbers: 14, 4, 13, 9, and 25 for simulating Barbara's profit. (Note: Assume the random number interval begins at 01 and ends at 00.) Based on the given probability distribution and the order size, for the given random number Barbara's sales and profit are (enter your responses for sales as integers and round all profit responses to two decimal places): Random Number Sales Profit 14 4 13 9 25arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,
Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,
Single Exponential Smoothing & Weighted Moving Average Time Series Forecasting; Author: Matt Macarty;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjETktmL4Kg;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Introduction to Forecasting - with Examples; Author: Dr. Bharatendra Rai;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98K7AG32qv8;License: Standard Youtube License