
Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN: 9781337671989
Author: WINSTON
Publisher: Cengage
expand_more
expand_more
format_list_bulleted
Concept explainers
Textbook Question
Chapter 11, Problem 45P
You now have $10,000, all of which is invested in a sports team. Each year there is a 60% chance that the value of the team will increase by 60% and a 40% chance that the value of the team will decrease by 60%. Estimate the mean and median value of your investment after 50 years. Explain the large difference between the estimated mean and median.
Expert Solution & Answer

Want to see the full answer?
Check out a sample textbook solution
Students have asked these similar questions
I did the first half correct! Please help me with the second half, not quite sure of the naive approach. Thanks in advance!
Because my tutor and I didnt get it right
Operations Management
Chapter 11 Solutions
Practical Management Science
Ch. 11.2 - If the number of competitors in Example 11.1...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.1, the possible profits vary from...Ch. 11.2 - Referring to Example 11.1, if the average bid for...Ch. 11.2 - See how sensitive the results in Example 11.2 are...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.2, the gamma distribution was used...Ch. 11.2 - Prob. 6PCh. 11.2 - In Example 11.3, suppose you want to run five...Ch. 11.2 - In Example 11.3, if a batch fails to pass...Ch. 11.3 - Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4,...Ch. 11.3 - Rerun the new car simulation from Example 11.4,...
Ch. 11.3 - In the cash balance model from Example 11.5, the...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 12PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 13PCh. 11.3 - The simulation output from Example 11.6 indicates...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 15PCh. 11.3 - Referring to the retirement example in Example...Ch. 11.3 - A European put option allows an investor to sell a...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 18PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 19PCh. 11.3 - Based on Kelly (1956). You currently have 100....Ch. 11.3 - Amanda has 30 years to save for her retirement. At...Ch. 11.3 - In the financial world, there are many types of...Ch. 11.3 - Suppose you currently have a portfolio of three...Ch. 11.3 - If you own a stock, buying a put option on the...Ch. 11.3 - Prob. 25PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 26PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 27PCh. 11.3 - Prob. 28PCh. 11.4 - Prob. 29PCh. 11.4 - Seas Beginning sells clothing by mail order. An...Ch. 11.4 - Based on Babich (1992). Suppose that each week...Ch. 11.4 - The customer loyalty model in Example 11.9 assumes...Ch. 11.4 - Prob. 33PCh. 11.4 - Suppose that GLC earns a 2000 profit each time a...Ch. 11.4 - Prob. 35PCh. 11.5 - A martingale betting strategy works as follows....Ch. 11.5 - The game of Chuck-a-Luck is played as follows: You...Ch. 11.5 - You have 5 and your opponent has 10. You flip a...Ch. 11.5 - Assume a very good NBA team has a 70% chance of...Ch. 11.5 - Consider the following card game. The player and...Ch. 11.5 - Prob. 42PCh. 11 - You now have 5000. You will toss a fair coin four...Ch. 11 - You now have 10,000, all of which is invested in a...Ch. 11 - Suppose you have invested 25% of your portfolio in...Ch. 11 - Prob. 47PCh. 11 - Based on Marcus (1990). The Balboa mutual fund has...Ch. 11 - Prob. 50PCh. 11 - Prob. 52PCh. 11 - The annual demand for Prizdol, a prescription drug...Ch. 11 - Prob. 54PCh. 11 - The DC Cisco office is trying to predict the...Ch. 11 - A common decision is whether a company should buy...Ch. 11 - Suppose you begin year 1 with 5000. At the...Ch. 11 - You are considering a 10-year investment project....Ch. 11 - Play Things is developing a new Lady Gaga doll....Ch. 11 - An automobile manufacturer is considering whether...Ch. 11 - It costs a pharmaceutical company 75,000 to...Ch. 11 - Prob. 65PCh. 11 - Rework the previous problem for a case in which...Ch. 11 - Prob. 68PCh. 11 - The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the...Ch. 11 - Prob. 70PCh. 11 - In this version of dice blackjack, you toss a...Ch. 11 - Prob. 76PCh. 11 - It is January 1 of year 0, and Merck is trying to...Ch. 11 - Suppose you are an HR (human resources) manager at...Ch. 11 - You are an avid basketball fan, and you would like...Ch. 11 - Suppose you are a financial analyst and your...Ch. 11 - Software development is an inherently risky and...Ch. 11 - Health care is continually in the news. Can (or...
Knowledge Booster
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, operations-management and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.Similar questions
- How does wellness reflect and impact the past and the future of our health as a workout routine? What are the obstacles during the workout routine, and how do you overcome the obstacles? What are the best solutions to plan and accomplish the wellness?arrow_forwardMy last question! Thank you all for helping me better understand how OM works. If you can assist me for this one I'd be very thankful. Can you explain it step by step?I know now that LS is late start, and ES is early start. - •Activities on the critical path are? •The total project completion time for Rafay Ishfaq's software firm is how many weeks?•Determine the slack time for each of the activities for A-F •What is the total slack for the non critical paths in Rafays project?arrow_forwardThank you so much! I was able to answer C without help! Can you assist me with slack time for A-F? I believe A=0arrow_forward
- There's 8 parts, but I need some help with them. I always get confused on which is most critical of a patharrow_forwardMenu Item Sales and Cost Data Taco Salad: Number Sold: 127; Item Cost: $0.71; Selling Price: $3.25 Lasagna: Number Sold: 48; Item Cost: $0.92; Selling Price: $4.67 Chicken: Number Sold: 31; Item Cost: $1.20; Selling Price: $3.00 Green Beans: Number Sold: 14; Item Cost: $0.20; Selling Price: $1.00 Corn: Number Sold: 13; Item Cost: $0.24; Selling Price: $1.00 Rice: Number Sold: 9;Item Cost: $0.13; Selling Price: $1.00 Menu Item Classification: Low contribution margin, low menu mix % DOG High contribution margin, low menu mix % PUZZLE Low contribution margin, high menu mix % PLOWHORSE High contribution margin, high menu mix o/o STAR QUESTION 1 Complete the menu analyses worksheet below. Calculations will be done using the information above. Restaurant: Date: MealPeriod: (A) ☐ (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) (G) (H) (1) (J) Menu Mix Popularity % Item Item Sold/(Menu Mix Menu Menu Item Food Menu Contribution Contribution Contribution Category Item Mix %): (B/K) Cost Selling Margin Price Margin (E-D)…arrow_forward1) Around the Clock Production of Fire Nozzles View the videos Around the Clock Production of Fire Nozzles 1 https://media.gaspar.mheducation.com/GASPARPlayer/play.html?id=132KoZwS0yMEgsToDUsZjJe (9.44 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link) and Around the Clock Production of Fire Nozzles 2 https://media.gaspar.mheducation.com/GASPARPlayer/play.html?id=44JM0cKtFLqHP5bad6KOHAm (7.43 minutes, Ctrl+Click on the link); what are your key takeaways (tie to one or more of the topics discussed in Chapters 12 and/or 13) after watching these videos. Note: As a rough guideline, please try to keep the written submission to one or two paragraphs. 2) Cyberdyne Systems stocks and sells Cyberdyne glucose meters. The firm gathered the following information from its South Pasadena office: Demand = 19,500 units per year Ordering cost = $25 per order Holding cost = $4 per unit per year The firm’s operations manager wants to calculate the: a) EOQ for the glucose meters. b) Annual holding costs for the…arrow_forward
- In the following problems assume, unless otherwise stated, that S = $40, σ = 30%, r =8%,and δ =0. 13.1 Suppose you sell a 45-strike call with 91 days to expiration. What is delta? If the option is on 100 shares, what investment is required for a delta-hedged portfolio? What is your overnight profit if the stock tomorrow is $39? What if the stock price is $40.50?arrow_forwardQuestion 1 M&H company ltd. sells television sets and has collected monthly sales data (in units) for the past 12 months as shown in table 1below: TABLE 1 Month Sales (Units) 1 120 2 135 3 150 4 165 5 180 6 200 7 195 8 210 9 225 10 240 11 255 12 270 Using the data provided, answer the following questions: a. Using a 3-month weighted moving average with weights 0.5, 0.3, and 0.2 (most recent month having the highest weight), calculate the forecast for month 13. [2 marks] b. If the company applies an exponential smoothing method with a smoothing constant (a) = 02, and assumes an initial forecast of 120 units for Month 1, calculate the forecast for month 13. [6 marks] c. Calculate the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD) for the exponential smoothing method and weighted moving average method using the actual sales data for Months 4 to 12 and determine which method is more accurate. [8 marks] d. Compute the values of a (intercept) and b (slope) using the least squares method. [7 marks] e. Use the…arrow_forwardQuestion 4 MGM12026 Production and Operations Management semester il 2024 A company operates a manufacturing plant that produces two products, A and B. The plant has the following capacity data: . . Design Capacity: 15,000 machine hours per month Effective Capacity: 12,000 machine hours per month Actual Output (Utilized Capacity): 10,000 machine hours per month Additionally, the plant produces Product A and Product B, with the following production data: Product Demand (Units) Processing Time Contribution Margin ($ (hours per unit) per unit) A 3,000 2.5 40 B 4,000 1.5 30 a. Calculate the plant's i. Capacity Utilization [3 marks] ii. Effective Capacity Utilization [3 marks] iii. Efficiency. Interpret the results. [3 marks] b. Compute the total machine hours required to meet full demand for both products. [5 marks] c. Determine whether the plant has sufficient capacity to meet full demand. If not, calculate the shortfall in machine hours. [3 marks] d. Using the contribution margin per…arrow_forward
- Question 3 i. Using the Center of Gravity method, determine the optimal location (X, Y) for the new distribution center. [7 marks] [TOTAL 25 MARKS] Time (sec.) Power steering assembly firm wants to set up an assembly line which must have an output of 60 units per hour. The work elements, task times and their precedence relationships are shown in Table 2: Table 1 Work Element Immediate Predecessor(s) A 30 NONE B 26 A C 50 A D 44 B E 10 с F 20 с G 15 D.E H 30 E,G,F Required: a. Draw the precedence diagram showing the task precedence and their times b. Determine the cycle time associated with the rate of output required. [3 marks] c. What is the theoretical number of work stations required to satisfy this output rate? [3 marks] [4 marks] d. Allocate the tasks to work stations taking into consideration the precedence requirements and using the LOT rule to break ties between feasible tasks. e. Calculate the total idle time [8 marks] [3 marks] f. What is the efficiency of the line and the…arrow_forwardQuestion 2 MGMT2026 Production and Operations Management Semester II 2024-2025 a. Aman ltd. desires to locate a new facility. Based on preliminary analysis, the choice has been reduced to four locations: A, B, C, and D. These four locations were rated on a scale from 1 (worst) to 10 (best) on each of four criteria. Each criterion was also weighted to indicate its importance (i.e., the higher the weight, the more important). The list of ratings and weights follows in the Table 2 below: Table 2 Factor Score Evaluation by Location Criterion Weights A B с D Wages 25 4 5 3 4 Government Policies 30 8 7 6 5 Unionisation Weather 15 6 4 3 2 30 3 4 6 5 i. Based on weighted scores, where should Acme locate its new facility? [6 marks] b. An operations manager has narrowed down the search for a new factory to three locations. The fixed and variable costs associated with each location is given in the table below. i. Table 3 Location Fixed Cost Variable Cost A $100,000 $10 B $150,000 $7 с $200,000 $5…arrow_forwardThe University of the West Indies GLOBAL CAMPUS MGMT 2026 Production and Operations Management - Problem Sheet Assignment Semester II 2024/2025 Note: Although this assignment is being currently assessed out of 100 marks it would be prorated to Contribute a maximum of 40% towards your final course marks. M&H company ltd. sells television sets and has collected monthly sales data (in units) for the past 12 months as shown in table 1below: TABLE 1 Month Sales (Units) 1 120 2 135 3 150 165 5 180 200 7 195 8 210 225 10 240 11 255 12 270 This Assignment is comprised of four (4) Questions - All questions must be attempted Using the data provided, answer the following questions: a. Using a 3-month weighted moving average with weights 0.5, 0.3, and 0.2 (most recent month having the highest weight), calculate the forecast for month 13. [2 marks] Screens 5-7 of 7arrow_forward
arrow_back_ios
SEE MORE QUESTIONS
arrow_forward_ios
Recommended textbooks for you
- Practical Management ScienceOperations ManagementISBN:9781337406659Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.Publisher:Cengage,

Practical Management Science
Operations Management
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:Cengage,
Single Exponential Smoothing & Weighted Moving Average Time Series Forecasting; Author: Matt Macarty;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjETktmL4Kg;License: Standard YouTube License, CC-BY
Introduction to Forecasting - with Examples; Author: Dr. Bharatendra Rai;https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=98K7AG32qv8;License: Standard Youtube License