Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
5th Edition
ISBN: 9781305115347
Author: Roxy Peck; Chris Olsen; Jay L. Devore
Publisher: Brooks Cole
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Chapter 10.2, Problem 19E
Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the consequences of a Type I error are very serious. Would you want to carry out the test using a small significance level α (such as 0.01) or a larger significance level (such as 0.10)? Explain the reason for your choice. (Hint: Sec discussion just before Example 10.7.)
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3. Bayesian Inference – Updating Beliefs
A medical test for a rare disease has the following characteristics:
Sensitivity (true positive rate): 99%
Specificity (true negative rate): 98%
The disease occurs in 0.5% of the population.
A patient receives a positive test result.
Questions:
a) Define the relevant events and use Bayes’ Theorem to compute the probability that the patient actually has the disease.b) Explain why the result might seem counterintuitive, despite the high sensitivity and specificity.c) Discuss how prior probabilities influence posterior beliefs in Bayesian inference.d) Suppose a second, independent test with the same accuracy is conducted and is also positive. Update the probability that the patient has the disease.
4. Linear Regression - Model Assumptions and Interpretation
A real estate analyst is studying how house prices (Y) are related to house size in square feet (X). A simple
linear regression model is proposed:
The analyst fits the model and obtains:
•
Ŷ50,000+150X
YBoB₁X + €
•
R² = 0.76
• Residuals show a fan-shaped pattern when plotted against fitted values.
Questions:
a) Interpret the slope coefficient in context.
b) Explain what the R² value tells us about the model's performance.
c) Based on the residual pattern, what regression assumption is likely violated? What might be the
consequence?
d) Suggest at least two remedies to improve the model, based on the residual analysis.
5. Probability Distributions – Continuous Random Variables
A factory machine produces metal rods whose lengths (in cm) follow a continuous uniform distribution on the interval [98, 102].
Questions:
a) Define the probability density function (PDF) of the rod length.b) Calculate the probability that a randomly selected rod is shorter than 99 cm.c) Determine the expected value and variance of rod lengths.d) If a sample of 25 rods is selected, what is the probability that their average length is between 99.5 cm and 100.5 cm? Justify your answer using the appropriate distribution.
Chapter 10 Solutions
Introduction to Statistics and Data Analysis
Ch. 10.1 - Explain why the statement x=50 is not a legitimate...Ch. 10.1 - For the following pairs, indicate which do not...Ch. 10.1 - To determine whether the pipe welds in a nuclear...Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 4ECh. 10.1 - Prob. 5ECh. 10.1 - Prob. 6ECh. 10.1 - Prob. 7ECh. 10.1 - A researcher speculates that because of...Ch. 10.1 - A county commissioner must vote on a resolution...Ch. 10.1 - A cruise ship charges passengers 3 for a can of...
Ch. 10.1 - Prob. 11ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 12ECh. 10.2 - Prob. 13ECh. 10.2 - Medical personnel are required to report suspected...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 15ECh. 10.2 - A television manufacturer claims that (at least)...Ch. 10.2 - A manufacturer of hand-held calculators receives...Ch. 10.2 - Water specimens are taken from water used for...Ch. 10.2 - Suppose that for a particular hypothesis test, the...Ch. 10.2 - Suppose that you arc an inspector for the Fish and...Ch. 10.2 - Prob. 21ECh. 10.2 - An automobile manufacturer is considering using...Ch. 10.3 - Use the definition of the P-value to explain the...Ch. 10.3 - For which of the following P-values will the null...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 25ECh. 10.3 - Let p denote the proportion of students at a...Ch. 10.3 - Assuming a random sample from a large population,...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 28ECh. 10.3 - In a survey of 1000 women age 22 to 35 who work...Ch. 10.3 - The paper Debt Literacy, Financial Experiences and...Ch. 10.3 - "Most Like it Hot" is the title of a press release...Ch. 10.3 - In a survey of 1005 adult Americans, 46% indicated...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 33ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 34ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 35ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 36ECh. 10.3 - Prob. 37ECh. 10.3 - The article Cops Get Screened for Digital Dirt...Ch. 10.3 - Refer back to the previous exercise. The actual...Ch. 10.3 - The report 2007 Electronic Monitoring ...Ch. 10.3 - Prob. 41ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 42ECh. 10.4 - Give as much information as you can about the...Ch. 10.4 - Paint used to paint lines on roads must reflect...Ch. 10.4 - A certain pen has been designed so that actual...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 46ECh. 10.4 - The paper Playing Active Video Games Increases...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 48ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 49ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 50ECh. 10.4 - Prob. 51ECh. 10.4 - Medical research has shown that repeated wrist...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 53ECh. 10.4 - A comprehensive study conducted by the National...Ch. 10.4 - Prob. 55ECh. 10.4 - The paper titled Music for Pain Relief (The...Ch. 10.4 - Many consumers pay careful attention to stated...Ch. 10.4 - Much concern has been expressed regarding the...Ch. 10.5 - The power of a test is influenced by the sample...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 60ECh. 10.5 - Let denote the mean lifetime (in hours) for a...Ch. 10.5 - The city council in a large city has become...Ch. 10.5 - The amount of shaft wear after a fixed mileage was...Ch. 10.5 - Optical fibers are used in telecommunications to...Ch. 10.5 - Prob. 65ECh. 10.6 - In 2006, Boston Scientific sought approval for a...Ch. 10.6 - The article Boy or Girl: Which Gender Baby Would...Ch. 10 - Prob. 68CRCh. 10 - In a national survey of 2013 adults, 1590...Ch. 10 - Students at the Akademia Podlaka conducted an...Ch. 10 - Prob. 71CRCh. 10 - Prob. 72CRCh. 10 - A number of initiatives on the topic of legalized...Ch. 10 - Prob. 74CRCh. 10 - Prob. 75CRCh. 10 - Prob. 76CRCh. 10 - Prob. 77CRCh. 10 - Duck hunting in populated areas faces opposition...Ch. 10 - Past experience has indicated that the response...Ch. 10 - An automobile manufacturer who wishes to advertise...Ch. 10 - A student organization uses the proceeds from a...Ch. 10 - A hot tub manufacturer advertises that with its...Ch. 10 - Prob. 1CRECh. 10 - Prob. 2CRECh. 10 - Prob. 3CRECh. 10 - Prob. 4CRECh. 10 - Prob. 5CRECh. 10 - The article Should Canada Allow Direct-to-Consumer...Ch. 10 - Prob. 7CRECh. 10 - It probably wouldnt surprise you to know that...Ch. 10 - The article Doctors Cite Burnout in Mistakes (San...Ch. 10 - The National Geographic Society conducted a study...Ch. 10 - Heinz Plays Catch-up After Under-Filling Ketchup...Ch. 10 - In a survey conducted by Yahoo Small Business,...Ch. 10 - In an AP-AOL sports poll (Associated Press,...Ch. 10 - Prob. 14CRECh. 10 - A survey of teenagers and parents in Canada...Ch. 10 - The same survey referenced in the previous...
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