ENGINEERING ECONOMIC ENHANCED EBOOK
14th Edition
ISBN: 9780190931940
Author: NEWNAN
Publisher: OXF
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Chapter 10, Problem 9P
To determine
To construct: Probability distribution for next year’s discount rate.
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The management of Brinkley Corporation is interested in using simulation to estimate the profit per unit for a new product. The selling price for the product will be $45 per unit. Probability distributions for the purchase cost, the labor cost, and the transportation cost
are estimated as follows:
Procurement
Cost($)
10
$
11
12
Probability
0.25
0.45
0.30
Labor
Cost ($)
20
22
24
25
Probability
0.10
0.25
0.35
0.30
Transportation
Cost ($)
3
5
(a) Compute profit per unit for the base-case, worst-case, and best-case scenarios.
Base Case using most likely costs
Profit = $
/unit
Worst Case
Profit = $
/unit
Best Case
Profit = $
/unit
Probability
0.75
0.25
(b) Construct a simulation model to estimate the mean profit per unit. (Use at least 1,000 trials.)
(c) Why is the simulation approach to risk analysis preferable to generating a variety of what-if scenarios?
Simulation will provide ---Select---
of the profit per unit values which can then be used to find ---Select--- ◆ of an unacceptably low…
D2
The Kwik Klean car wash loses $250 on rainy days and gains $1200 on non rainy days. If the probability of rain is 0.13, what is the expected net profit?
Chapter 10 Solutions
ENGINEERING ECONOMIC ENHANCED EBOOK
Ch. 10 - Prob. 1QTCCh. 10 - Prob. 2QTCCh. 10 - Prob. 3QTCCh. 10 - Prob. 1PCh. 10 - Prob. 2PCh. 10 - Prob. 3PCh. 10 - Prob. 4PCh. 10 - Prob. 5PCh. 10 - Prob. 6PCh. 10 - Prob. 7P
Ch. 10 - Prob. 8PCh. 10 - Prob. 9PCh. 10 - Prob. 10PCh. 10 - Prob. 11PCh. 10 - Prob. 12PCh. 10 - Prob. 13PCh. 10 - Prob. 14PCh. 10 - Prob. 15PCh. 10 - Prob. 16PCh. 10 - Prob. 17PCh. 10 - Prob. 18PCh. 10 - Prob. 19PCh. 10 - Prob. 20PCh. 10 - Prob. 21PCh. 10 - Prob. 22PCh. 10 - Prob. 23PCh. 10 - Prob. 24PCh. 10 - Prob. 25PCh. 10 - Prob. 26PCh. 10 - Prob. 27PCh. 10 - Prob. 28PCh. 10 - Prob. 29PCh. 10 - Prob. 30PCh. 10 - Prob. 31PCh. 10 - Prob. 32PCh. 10 - Prob. 33PCh. 10 - Prob. 34PCh. 10 - Prob. 35PCh. 10 - Prob. 36PCh. 10 - Prob. 37PCh. 10 - Prob. 38PCh. 10 - Prob. 39PCh. 10 - Prob. 40PCh. 10 - Prob. 41PCh. 10 - Prob. 42PCh. 10 - Prob. 43PCh. 10 - Prob. 44PCh. 10 - Prob. 45PCh. 10 - Prob. 46PCh. 10 - Prob. 47PCh. 10 - Prob. 48PCh. 10 - Prob. 49PCh. 10 - Prob. 50PCh. 10 - Prob. 51PCh. 10 - Prob. 52PCh. 10 - Prob. 53PCh. 10 - Prob. 54PCh. 10 - Prob. 55PCh. 10 - Prob. 56PCh. 10 - Prob. 57PCh. 10 - Prob. 58PCh. 10 - Prob. 59PCh. 10 - Prob. 60PCh. 10 - Prob. 61PCh. 10 - Prob. 62PCh. 10 - Prob. 63PCh. 10 - Prob. 64PCh. 10 - Prob. 65P
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