You ask someone about their preferences over the following pairs of lotteries: Lottery A Lottery B Payoff Probability Payoff Probability $200 25% $200 5% $100 45% $100 90% $0 30% $0 5% Lottery C Lottery D Payoff Probability Payoff Probability $200 20% $200 0% $100 0% $100 45% $0 80% $0 55% The individual says they prefer lotter A over lottery B, and lottery D over lottery C. Is this person using expected utility theory to evaluate these lotteries? How can you know for certain?

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
14th Edition
ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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You ask someone about their preferences over the following pairs of lotteries:
Lottery A
Lottery B
Payoff
Probability
Payoff
Probability
$200
25%
$200
5%
$100
45%
$100
90%
30%
$0
5%
Lottery C
Lottery D
Payoff
Probability
Payoff
Probability
$200
20%
$200
0%
$100
0%
$100
45%
$0
80%
$0
55%
The individual says they prefer lotter A over lottery B, and lottery D over lottery C. Is this person using expected utility theory to evaluate these lotteries? How can you know for certain?
Transcribed Image Text:You ask someone about their preferences over the following pairs of lotteries: Lottery A Lottery B Payoff Probability Payoff Probability $200 25% $200 5% $100 45% $100 90% 30% $0 5% Lottery C Lottery D Payoff Probability Payoff Probability $200 20% $200 0% $100 0% $100 45% $0 80% $0 55% The individual says they prefer lotter A over lottery B, and lottery D over lottery C. Is this person using expected utility theory to evaluate these lotteries? How can you know for certain?
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