Which of the following statements about scenario analysis is NOT correct? Scenario analysis can help managers make insightful decision. Scenario analysis can be used to analyze the value of a utilization program. Scenario analysis can be used to find minimum PMPM rate for breakeven. By using scenario analysis, we can definitely accept a lower PMPM rate than the rate at breakeven since scenario analysis is a tool for control cost.
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?The Tinkan Company produces one-pound cans for the Canadian salmon industry. Each year the salmon spawn during a 24-hour period and must be canned immediately. Tinkan has the following agreement with the salmon industry. The company can deliver as many cans as it chooses. Then the salmon are caught. For each can by which Tinkan falls short of the salmon industrys needs, the company pays the industry a 2 penalty. Cans cost Tinkan 1 to produce and are sold by Tinkan for 2 per can. If any cans are left over, they are returned to Tinkan and the company reimburses the industry 2 for each extra can. These extra cans are put in storage for next year. Each year a can is held in storage, a carrying cost equal to 20% of the cans production cost is incurred. It is well known that the number of salmon harvested during a year is strongly related to the number of salmon harvested the previous year. In fact, using past data, Tinkan estimates that the harvest size in year t, Ht (measured in the number of cans required), is related to the harvest size in the previous year, Ht1, by the equation Ht = Ht1et where et is normally distributed with mean 1.02 and standard deviation 0.10. Tinkan plans to use the following production strategy. For some value of x, it produces enough cans at the beginning of year t to bring its inventory up to x+Ht, where Ht is the predicted harvest size in year t. Then it delivers these cans to the salmon industry. For example, if it uses x = 100,000, the predicted harvest size is 500,000 cans, and 80,000 cans are already in inventory, then Tinkan produces and delivers 520,000 cans. Given that the harvest size for the previous year was 550,000 cans, use simulation to help Tinkan develop a production strategy that maximizes its expected profit over the next 20 years. Assume that the company begins year 1 with an initial inventory of 300,000 cans.
- A method of estimating future demand usedfor decision making in order to set reasonable targets and control orlimit uncertainties or risks.3. A toy manufacturer makes stuffed kittens and puppies which have relatively lifelike motions. There are three different mechanisms that can be installed in these "pets." These toys will sell for the same price regardless of the mechanism installed, but each mechanism has its own variable cost and setup cost. Profit, therefore, is dependent upon the choice of mechanism and upon the level of demand. The manufacturer has in hand a forecast of demand that suggests a 0.2 probability of light demand, a 0.45 probability of moderate demand, and a probability of 0.35 of heavy demand. Payoffs for each mechanism-demand combination appear in the table below. Wind-up action Pneumatic action Electronic action Demand Light Moderate $250,000 $90,000 -$100,000 400,000 440,000 400,000 Heavy 650,000 740,000 780,000 Construct the appropriate decision tree to analyze this problem. Use standard symbols for the tree. Analyze the tree to select the optimal decision for the manufacturer.As part of their application for a loan to buy Lakeside Farm, a property they hope to develop as a bed-and-breakfast operation, the prospective owners have projected: Monthly fixed cost (loan payment, taxes, insurance, maintenance) $6000 Variable cost per occupied room per night $ 20 Revenue per occupied room per night $ 75 Write the expression for total cost per month. Assume 30 days per month. Write the expression for total revenue per month. How many rooms they need to sell per night in order to break even? Suppose 5 rooms can be sold per night, how much they should charge per night in order to breakeven?
- Adele Weiss manages the campus flower shop. Flowers must be ordered three days in advance from her supplier in Mexico. Although Valentine’s Day is fast approaching, sales are almost entirely last-minute, impulse purchases. Advance sales are so small that Weiss has no way to estimate the probability of low (25 dozen), medium (60 dozen), or high (130 dozen) demand for red roses on the big day. She buys roses for $15 per dozen and sells them for $40 per dozen. Construct a payoff table. Which decision is indicated by each of the following decision criteria?a. Maximinb. Maximaxc. Laplaced. Minimax regretScenario 3: Falsifying Attendance Jason, a Junior System Administrator with the Management Information Systems Department, clocked in 4 minutes and 27 seconds late for work this morning. While he won’t get fired for it, being late this once means that he will not receive the perfect attendance incentive which he needs to make ends meet, given his daughter’s recent series of hospitalizations. It’s not that Jason didn’t make an effort to be there on time. He actually arrived in the office five minutes early but was unable to clock in immediately because his direct superior, Raffy, asked him for an informal project progress report as soon as he walked in the door. As a Junior System Administrator, Jason has access and the capability to edit the company’s attendance records. He figures that since he was unable to punch in only because of his boss, it wouldn’t hurt to edit the timestamp on his attendance for today. What is the Business Ethics Principles that suit to this case study?…The number of hybrid cars that have be requested for rental from a car rental office during a 50 day sample period is given in the following table. Demand for Cars Number of Days Probability 3 3 0.06 4 7 0.14 5 12 0.24 6 14 0.28 7 10 0.20 8 4 0.08 50 1.00What is the expected (mean) number of hybrid rentals per day? Compute to one decimal place.
- Aqua Man Company manufactures and sells a single product. Planned and actual production in its first year of operation was 100,000 units. Planned and actual costs for the year were as follows: Manufacturing Non-manufacturing Variable P600,000 P500,000 Fixed P400,000 P300,000 The company sold 85,000 units of product at a selling price of P30 per unit. Using absorption costing, the company’s operating profit was Select one: a. P1,020,000 b. P975,000 c. P900,000 d. P750,000B& Co. is a large manufacturer if an electronic product (NM65). It is the market leader in the particular product segment. The market size is increasing due to increasing popularity of its product. B& Co. has received an offer from a manufacturer of electronic products to produce NM 65 on half of B& Co. and directly supply to the customers of the Northern region. The billing on the customer will done by B& Co. The offer is economically attractive. Required: Write a note on what qualitative factors should be considered before deciding in favour or against accepting the offer.Betty, the chief of nursing executive, need to make a decision about buying 340 new hospital beds for patient rooms. After she interviewed nurse managers at the units where the beds were going to be placed, Betty compiled her findings and decided to contact a well-known equipment company to obtain prices and a bid. No bids from other companies were obtained. The equipment company’s executive salesperson, Jim, discussed options at length with her and invited her and her significant other to an upcoming all-expense-paid, lavish junket at a five-star hotel in Hawaii to see demonstrations of the beds and experience a comprehensive sales program. Betty thought, “We badly need some relaxations and stress relief. Hawaii would be so much fun. Would it be wrong for us to go? If you were Betty, what would you do? Justify your answer with ethical framework: theory, approach or principle. Discuss the ethical principles at stake. What breaches are possible? Do you consider this situation a conflict…