What is a hockey stick forecast, what are the issues related to this, and can you provide a clear example of how analysis based on this type of forecast led to the wrong conclusion
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- Forecasting that uses subjective analysis of subjective inputs is called O Judgmental forecast C Associative Models O Time Series O Hypothesis Testing O Descriptive StatisticsWhy do you believe that data can be inaccurate?Can time series be an effective forecasting tool? Identify two of the most common mistakes made in completing a time series forecast and share an example of each mistake.
- Which of the following is NOT true about simulation models? Option- a. Simulations can be used to analyze processes that cannot be evaluated well analytically. b. A simulation model is used to get estimates; an analytical model provides detailed analysis. c. Simulations can use actual probability rates for both demand and service rates. d. Analytical and simulation models are often used in combination.6. Which of the following is NOT an advantage of using sensitivity analysis? A It identifies the impact a change in an estimate would have on the result B It gives an idea of the worst possible outcome C It shows where further investigation might be useful D It provides useful information for decision makingWhat is a scenario analysis? What is it designed to show, and how does it differ froma sensitivity analysis?
- For ethical reasons, researchers can begin analyzing data prior to establishing the p-value criteria to be used in determining whether to accept or reject their null hypothesis. True FalseThe "what-if" technique of altering certain key variables to assess the impact on the original outcome is called a break-even analysis least squares analysis regression analysis sensitivity analysisWhich of the following statements is false regarding planning analytical procedures in the revenue cycle? a. As revenue is typically regarded as a high-risk account, planning analytical procedures related to revenue are not required. b. The first step in planning analytical procedures includes developing an expectation of recorded amounts or ratios, and evaluating whether that expectation is precise enough to accomplish the relevant objective. c. Trend analysis would not be appropriate as a plan-fling analytical procedure in the revenue cycle. d. All of the above statements are false.
- The scenario analysis technique is versatile and rich. Of all the forecasting techniques, it may be best positioned to deal with fundamental uncertainty. How is this true?Which of the following is true about sensitivity analysis? O Sensitivity analysis determines which probability estimates to use in order to make the best possible decision among alternatives. O Sensitivity analysis determines which regret strategy (minimax, maximax, or maximin) should be used. O The rankings of the decision alternatives are frequently not highly sensitive to changes within a plausible range for probability estimates. O Sensitivity analysis is another term for the decision tree technique. nWhat are the assumptions and criticisms of Gordon’s model?