The scenario analysis technique is versatile and rich. Of all the forecasting techniques, it may be best positioned to deal with fundamental uncertainty. How is this true?

Essentials Of Investments
11th Edition
ISBN:9781260013924
Author:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Publisher:Bodie, Zvi, Kane, Alex, MARCUS, Alan J.
Chapter1: Investments: Background And Issues
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The scenario analysis technique is versatile and rich. Of all the forecasting techniques, it may be best positioned to deal with fundamental uncertainty. How is this true?

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Scenario analysis - It is mainly used to analyse the pros and cons of  organisational decisions. In scenario analysis, possible events  that could take place in the future are examined and evaluated  and various possible outcomes are predicted and are categorized as a best case scenario and a worst case scenario.

Best case scenario - It is the ideal scenario as it consider a situation where everything does the organisations way i.e., while considering a project, expect the lowest possible discount rate and tax  rate but highest possible rate of growth.

Worst case scenario -The reverse of best case scenario is the worst case scenario, i.e., nothing goes the organisation way. Expect the highest possible discount rate and tax rate or economic recession. 

 

 

 

 

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