Weather forecasts are among the mos: familiar types of Probability modeling we hear regularly. So when the Weather Reporter on the evening news says: "There is a 80% chance of rain tomorrow." O Of all of the days with the atmosphere conditions like tomorrow, tomorrow has a 8 in 10 chance of getting rain and 2 in 10 chance that there will be no rain during the day. O For tomorrow, it will rain 80% of the day (approximately 19.2 in 24 hours out of 24) O That only 8 in 10 of the forecast computer models think it will rain. For example there are 15 computer models that National Hurricane Center uses to predict the path of a hurricane, and 12 of the 15 models show rain tomorrow. O That they are 80% sure that it will rain tomorrow

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Weather forecasts are among the most familiar types of Probability modeling we hear regularly. So when the Weather Reporter on the evening news says: "There is a 80% chance of rain tomorrow."
O Of all of the days with the atmosphere conditions like tomorrow, tomorrow has a 8 in 10 chance of getting rain and 2 in 10 chance that there will be no rain during the day.
O For tomorrow, it will rain 80% of the day (approximately 19.2 in 24 hours out of 24)
O That only 8 in 10 of the forecast computer models think it will rain. For example there are 15 computer models that National Hurricane Center uses to predict the path of a hurricane, and 12 of the 15 models show rain tomorrow.
O That they are 80% sure that it will rain tomorrow
Transcribed Image Text:Weather forecasts are among the most familiar types of Probability modeling we hear regularly. So when the Weather Reporter on the evening news says: "There is a 80% chance of rain tomorrow." O Of all of the days with the atmosphere conditions like tomorrow, tomorrow has a 8 in 10 chance of getting rain and 2 in 10 chance that there will be no rain during the day. O For tomorrow, it will rain 80% of the day (approximately 19.2 in 24 hours out of 24) O That only 8 in 10 of the forecast computer models think it will rain. For example there are 15 computer models that National Hurricane Center uses to predict the path of a hurricane, and 12 of the 15 models show rain tomorrow. O That they are 80% sure that it will rain tomorrow
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