An investment counselor calls with a hot stock tip. He believes that if the economy remains strong, the investment will result in a profit of $60,000. If the economy grows at a moderate pace, the investment will result in a profit of $10,000.However, if the economy goes into recession, the investment will result in a loss of $60,000. You contact an economist who believes there is a 20% probability the economy will remain strong, a 60% probability the economy will grow at amoderate pace, and a 20% probability the economy will slip into recession. What is the expected profit from this investment?... ..The expected profit is $1. (Type an integer or a decimal.)O Time Remaining: 01:25:44NextG00DOOF4F11FBF5escF3%23$434.LeftRahE

Random variables are of 2 types, discrete and continuous. A discrete random variable can only take…

Answered: An investment counselor calls with a…

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications

6th Edition

ISBN:9781119256830

Author:Amos Gilat

Publisher:Amos Gilat

Chapter1: Starting With Matlab

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 1P

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There is an option of paying $100 to have research conducted to better predict which state of nature will occur. When the true state of nature is High, the research will accurately predict High 70% of the time. When the true state of nature is Low, the research will accurately predict Low 75% of the time. Given that the research is conducted, what is the joint probability that the state of nature is High and the research predicts Low?
You have inherited a lottery ticket which might be a $10,000 winner. You have a 0.25 chance of winning the $10,000 and a 0.75 chance of winning $0. You have an opportunity to sell the lottery ticket for $2,500 - What is your expected return and what should you do if are risk averse?
Your insurance company has a policy to ensure personal property. Assume you have a laptop worth $2,400 and there's a 4% chance that the laptop will be lost or stolen during the next year. What would be a fair premium for the insurance? We are assuming that the insurance company earns no profit
Suppose that you just bought a painting for $1million. You plan to sell it exactly one year fromnow. You don’t know what the exact price will bewhen you sell. Nevertheless, you believe thatthere’s a 65% chance that you can sell it for$1.2million, and a 35% chance that you can sell itfor only $900,000. What is your expected gain orloss for this investment?
United Healthcare is setting plan prices for cancer survivors in the upcoming plan year. It is estimated that 26% of survivors of a particular cancer will redevelop cancer in the next year, and that the treatment will cost about $350,000. United would like to maintain an expected value of $550 per plan; how much do they need to charge each person in order to attain this expected value?
Charlie buys a one-year term home insurance policy for $p, that will pay $200,000 in the event of a major catastrophe and $35,000 in the event of a minor catastrophe. Charlie's home has a 0.2% chance of a major catastrophe and a 0.7% of a minor catastrophe during the one year term. What did the insurance company charge Charlie for this policy if the company expected to break even?
An investment counselor calls with a hot stock tip. He believes that if the economy remains strong, the investment will result in a profit of $40,000. If the economy grows at a moderate pace, the investment will result in a profit of $10,000. However, if the economy goes into recession, the investment will result in a loss of $40,000. You contact an economist who believes there is a 20% probability the economy will remain strong, a 70% probability the economy will grow at a moderate pace, and a 10% probability the economy will slip into recession. What is the expected profit from this investment?
You have inherited a lottery ticket that may be a $5,000 winner. You have a 35% chance of winning the $5,000 and a 65% chance of winning $0. You have an opportunity to sell the lottery ticket for $1,500. What is your expected return and what should you do if are risk neutral?
It is the beginning of September and you have been offered the following deal to go heli-skiing. If you pick the first week in January and pay for your vacation now, you can get a week of heli-skiing for $2,900. However, if you cannot ski because the helicopters cannot fly due to bad weather, there is no snow, or you get sick, you do not get a refund. There is a 30% probability that you will not be able to ski. If you wait until the last minute and go only if you know that the conditions are perfect and you are well, the vacation will cost you $4,600. You estimate that the pleasure you get from heli-skiing is worth $6,700 per week to you (if you had to pay more than that, you would choose not to go). If your cost of capital is 11% per year, should you book ahead or wait? You should because the NPV of this choice is $ book ahead wait (Round to two decimal places.)
An option to buy a stock is priced at $150. If the stock closes above 30 next Thursday, the option willbe worth $1000. If it closes below 20, the option will be worth nothing, and if it closes between 20and 30, the option will be worth $200. A trader thinks there is a 50% chance that the stock will closein the 20-30 range, a 20% chance that it will close above 30, and a 30% chance that it will fall below20. a) Create a valid probability table.b) How much should the trader expect to gain or lose?c) Should the trader buy the stock? Why?
Dystopia county has three bridges. In the next year, the Elder bridge has a 10% chance of collapse, the Younger bridge has a 2% chance of collapse, and the Ancient bridge has a 16% chance of collapse. What is the probability that exactly one of these bridges will collapse in the next year? (Round your final answer to four decimal places. Do not round intermediate calculations.)
An investment counselor calls with a hot stock tip. He believes that if the economy remains strong, the investment will result in a profit of $40,000. If the economy grows at a moderate pace, the investment will result in a profit of $20,000. However, if the economy goes into recession, the investment will result in a loss of $40,000. You contact an economist who believes there is a 20% probability the economy will remain strong, a 70% probability the economy will grow at a moderate pace, and a 10% probability the economy will slip into recession. What is the expected profit from this investment?

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