The star quarterback of a university football team has decided to return for one more season. He tells one person, who in turn tells someone else, and so on, with each person talking to someone who has not heard the news. At each step in this chain, if the message heard is "yes" (he is returning) then there is a 5% chance it will be changed to "no," and if the message heard is "no," then there is a 15% chance that it will be changed to "yes." Determine the probability that the fourth person in the chain hears the correct news. (A graphing calculator is recommended. Assume that the quarterback is not part of the chain. Round your answer to one decimal place.)

Advanced Engineering Mathematics
10th Edition
ISBN:9780470458365
Author:Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:Erwin Kreyszig
Chapter2: Second-order Linear Odes
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1RQ
icon
Related questions
Question
The star quarterback of a university football team has decided to return for one more season. He tells one person, who in turn tells someone else, and so on, with each person talking to someone who has not
heard the news. At each step in this chain, if the message heard is "yes" (he is returning) then there is a 5% chance it will be changed to "no," and if the message heard is "no," then there is a 15% chance that it
will be changed to "yes." Determine the probability that the fourth person in the chain hears the correct news. (A graphing calculator is recommended. Assume that the quarterback is not part of the chain. Round
your answer to one decimal place.)
%
Transcribed Image Text:The star quarterback of a university football team has decided to return for one more season. He tells one person, who in turn tells someone else, and so on, with each person talking to someone who has not heard the news. At each step in this chain, if the message heard is "yes" (he is returning) then there is a 5% chance it will be changed to "no," and if the message heard is "no," then there is a 15% chance that it will be changed to "yes." Determine the probability that the fourth person in the chain hears the correct news. (A graphing calculator is recommended. Assume that the quarterback is not part of the chain. Round your answer to one decimal place.) %
Expert Solution
Step 1

Given that:

If the message heard is Yes then there is a 5% chance it will be changed to no so the remaining  95% is yes.

If the message heard is No then there is a 15% chance it will be changed to Yes so the remaining 85% is no.

To get the probability we need to find the M4x by using the Markov matrix.

M represents yesno and x represents 10.

Multiple M by x and repeat this process till M4x.

 

trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 4 steps with 4 images

Blurred answer
Similar questions
  • SEE MORE QUESTIONS
Recommended textbooks for you
Advanced Engineering Mathematics
Advanced Engineering Mathematics
Advanced Math
ISBN:
9780470458365
Author:
Erwin Kreyszig
Publisher:
Wiley, John & Sons, Incorporated
Numerical Methods for Engineers
Numerical Methods for Engineers
Advanced Math
ISBN:
9780073397924
Author:
Steven C. Chapra Dr., Raymond P. Canale
Publisher:
McGraw-Hill Education
Introductory Mathematics for Engineering Applicat…
Introductory Mathematics for Engineering Applicat…
Advanced Math
ISBN:
9781118141809
Author:
Nathan Klingbeil
Publisher:
WILEY
Mathematics For Machine Technology
Mathematics For Machine Technology
Advanced Math
ISBN:
9781337798310
Author:
Peterson, John.
Publisher:
Cengage Learning,
Basic Technical Mathematics
Basic Technical Mathematics
Advanced Math
ISBN:
9780134437705
Author:
Washington
Publisher:
PEARSON
Topology
Topology
Advanced Math
ISBN:
9780134689517
Author:
Munkres, James R.
Publisher:
Pearson,