There are a thousand men in a cohort for which prostate cancer prevalence is 2.1%. The test we're using for prostate cancer has a sensitivity of 0.8 (gets the diagnosis right 80% of the time if a patient has prostate cancer) specificity of 0.85 (gets the diagnosis right 85% of the time if a patient does not have prostate cancer) Fill in the tree with the correct number of patients in each cell, and give the probability that a man actually has prostate cancer, given a positive test result. Probability =

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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There are a thousand men in a cohort for which prostate cancer prevalence is 2.1%.

The test we're using for prostate cancer has a

  • sensitivity of 0.8 (gets the diagnosis right 80% of the time if a patient has prostate cancer)
  • specificity of 0.85 (gets the diagnosis right 85% of the time if a patient does not have prostate cancer)

Fill in the tree with the correct number of patients in each cell, and give the probability that a man actually has prostate cancer, given a positive test result.

Probability =    

 

 

1000
B+
B
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Preview
T+
T
Preview
Preview
Preview
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Transcribed Image Text:1000 B+ B Preview Preview T+ T Preview Preview Preview Preview
Expert Solution
Step 1

Given ,

Prevalence =P(patient has prostate cancer) = P( B+ )2.1% = 0.021

P(patient does not have prostate cancer) =P( B- )1 - 0.021 = 0.979

sensitivity =P( positive test | patient has prostate cancer ) =P( T+ | B+ ) = 0.8

specificity = P( Negative test | patient dose not prostate cancer )=P( T- | B- ) = 0.85

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