Theme Park (5S-7A) The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to Renew the lease for another 10 years or to Relocate near the site of a proposed new motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.20 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Options Renew Relocate Alternative 0-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate". Renew Relocate Motel Approved $ 400,000 2,000,000 Motel Rejected $4,000,000 100,000 O Renew O Relocate Expected Value a-2. Which alternative should it choose? b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning board considers the motel's application. would you advise management to sign the lease? The lease will cost $20,000. because the cost is than EVPI of

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Theme Park (5S-7A)
The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to Renew the lease for another 10 years or to
Relocate near the site of a proposed new motel.
The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present
value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below.
Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.20 probability that the motel's application will be
approved.
Options
Renew
Relocate
Alternative
Renew
Relocate
Motel
Approved
a-1.
If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the
alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate"!
$ 400,000
2,000,000
O Renew
O Relocate
Motel
Rejected
$4,000,000
100,000
Expected Value
a-2. Which alternative should it choose?
b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning board considers the motel's application.
would you advise management to sign the lease? The lease will cost $20,000.
because the cost is
than EVPI of
Transcribed Image Text:Theme Park (5S-7A) The lease of Theme Park, Inc., is about to expire. Management must decide whether to Renew the lease for another 10 years or to Relocate near the site of a proposed new motel. The town planning board is currently debating the merits of granting approval to the motel. A consultant has estimated the net present value of Theme Park's two alternatives under each state of nature as shown below. Suppose that the management of Theme Park, Inc., has decided that there is a 0.20 probability that the motel's application will be approved. Options Renew Relocate Alternative Renew Relocate Motel Approved a-1. If management uses maximum expected monetary value as the decision criterion, calculate expected monetary value for the alternatives "Renew" and "Relocate"! $ 400,000 2,000,000 O Renew O Relocate Motel Rejected $4,000,000 100,000 Expected Value a-2. Which alternative should it choose? b. If management has been offered the option of a temporary lease while the town planning board considers the motel's application. would you advise management to sign the lease? The lease will cost $20,000. because the cost is than EVPI of
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