The occurrence of floods in a county follows a Poisson distribution with a return period of 20 years. The damage in each flood is log-normally distributed with a mean of $2 million and a coefficient of variation of 25%. Assume that damage in any one flood is statistically independent of the damage in any other flood. (a) What is the probability of more than two floods occurring in the county during the next 10 years? (b) What is the probability that damage in the next flood will exceed $3 million? (c) What is the probability than none of the floods that could occur in the next 10 years will cause damage exceeding $3 million?
The occurrence of floods in a county follows a Poisson distribution with a return period of 20 years. The damage in each flood is log-normally distributed with a mean of $2 million and a coefficient of variation of 25%. Assume that damage in any one flood is statistically independent of the damage in any other flood. (a) What is the probability of more than two floods occurring in the county during the next 10 years? (b) What is the probability that damage in the next flood will exceed $3 million? (c) What is the probability than none of the floods that could occur in the next 10 years will cause damage exceeding $3 million?
A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
10th Edition
ISBN:9780134753119
Author:Sheldon Ross
Publisher:Sheldon Ross
Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 1.1P: a. How many different 7-place license plates are possible if the first 2 places are for letters and...
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The occurrence of floods in a county follows a Poisson distribution with a return
period of 20 years. The damage in each flood is log-
of $2 million and a coefficient of variation of 25%. Assume that damage in any one
flood is statistically independent of the damage in any other flood.
(a) What is the probability of more than two floods occurring in the county during the next 10 years?
(b) What is the probability that damage in the next flood will exceed $3 million?
(c)
What is the probability than none of the floods that could occur in the next 10 years
will cause damage exceeding $3 million?
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