The following table is a payoff matrix associated with a farmer’s decision to purchase a pump for irrigation or to depend on the rains   d) Draw up a regrets table and use it to determine which alternative will be chosen under the minimax regret decision criterion. (e) Estimate the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)

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The following table is a payoff matrix associated with a farmer’s decision to purchase a pump for irrigation or to depend on the rains

 

d) Draw up a regrets table and use it to determine which alternative will be
chosen under the minimax regret decision criterion.
(e) Estimate the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)

The following table is a payoff matrix associated with a farmer's decision to purchase a pump for
irrigation or to depend on the rains.
Future Crop Demand
State of Nature
High
Medium
Low
Decision
0.30
0.45
0.25
Alternative/Prob.
Do not Irrigate
¢9m
¢5m
¢3m
1.5hp Pump
¢11m
¢6m
-¢4m
3.0hp Pump
¢16m
¢8m
-¢6m
5.0hp Pump
¢18m
¢12m
-¢7m
Transcribed Image Text:The following table is a payoff matrix associated with a farmer's decision to purchase a pump for irrigation or to depend on the rains. Future Crop Demand State of Nature High Medium Low Decision 0.30 0.45 0.25 Alternative/Prob. Do not Irrigate ¢9m ¢5m ¢3m 1.5hp Pump ¢11m ¢6m -¢4m 3.0hp Pump ¢16m ¢8m -¢6m 5.0hp Pump ¢18m ¢12m -¢7m
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