The following are historical demand data: YEAR 2 years ago last year SEASON Spring Summer Fall Winter Spring Summer Fall Winter ACTUAL DEMAND 203 144 382 565 471 271 686 955 Use regression analysis and seasonal indexes to forecast this summer's demand. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest whole number. Forecast for this summer's demand

Practical Management Science
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ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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The following are historical demand data:
YEAR
2 years ago
last year
SEASON
Spring
Summer
Fall
Winter
Spring
Summer
Fall
Winter
ACTUAL
DEMAND
203*
144
382
565
471
271
686
955
Use regression analysis and seasonal indexes to forecast this summer's demand.
Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest whole number.
Forecast for this summer's demand
Transcribed Image Text:The following are historical demand data: YEAR 2 years ago last year SEASON Spring Summer Fall Winter Spring Summer Fall Winter ACTUAL DEMAND 203* 144 382 565 471 271 686 955 Use regression analysis and seasonal indexes to forecast this summer's demand. Note: Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to the nearest whole number. Forecast for this summer's demand
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Step 1

The seasonal index, also known as seasonal effect or seasonal component, is a gauge of how a given season generally stacks up against the cycle's mean. A value called the seasonal index can be expressed as a percentage or as a decimal. We have two uses for seasonal indices: (1) They may be used to deseasonalize data, a method that smoothes out data. (2) They may be applied to time series data to aid with score prediction. The seasonal index is used to adjust an initial projected value from a smoothed line up or down based on the season we are projecting for.

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