The Fed will meet next week to decide the interest rate on the U.S. dollar. The current interest rate is 0.25%. The market's consensus is that the Fed will leave the rate unchanged in the coming meeting. According to the asset market (pricing) approach, the U.S. dollar will appreciate if the Fed raises the interest rate to 0.5%. True False

The Fed will meet next week to decide the interest rate on the U.S. dollar. The current interest rate is 0.25%. The market's consensus is that the Fed will leave the rate unchanged in the coming meeting. According to the asset market (pricing) approach, the U.S. dollar will appreciate if the Fed raises the interest rate to 0.5%. True False

International Financial Management

14th Edition

ISBN:9780357130698

Author:Madura

Publisher:Madura

Chapter8: Relationships Among Inflation, Interest Rates, And Exchange Rates

Section: Chapter Questions

Problem 14QA

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You use today's spot rate of the Brazilian real to forecast the spot rate of the real for one month ahead. Today's spot rate is $0.4524. Assume that you obtain the end-of-month spot exchange rates of the Brazilian real during the end of each of the last 6 months. End of Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 % $ Value of Brazilian real Use the value-at-risk method to determine the maximum percentage loss of the Brazilian real over the next month based on a 95 percent confidence level. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to two decimal places. $0.4231 0.4179 0.4192 0.4542 0.4649 0.4524 Forecast the exchange rate that would exist under these conditions. Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to four decimal places.
You observe the following current rates: Spot exchange rate: $0.01/yen. Annual interest rate on 90-day U.S. dollar–denominated bonds: 4%. Annual interest rate on 90-day yen-denominated bonds: 4%. a. If uncovered interest parity holds, what spot exchange rate do investors expect to exist in 90 days? b. A close U.S. presidential election has just been decided. The candidate whom international investors view as the stronger and more probusiness person won. Because of this, investors expect the exchange rate to be $0.0095/yen in 90 days. What will happen in the foreign exchange market?
Consider a U.S.-based company that exports goods to Switzerland. The U.S. Company expects to receive payment on a shipment of goods in six months. Because the payment will be in Swiss francs, the U.S. Company wants to hedge against a decline in the value of the Swiss franc over the next six months. The U.S. risk-free rate is 1.8 percent, and the Swiss risk-free rate is 0.2 percent. Assume that interest rates are expected to remain fixed over the near future. The current USD/CHF rate is 1.1026. Calculate the price at which the U.S. Company could enter into a forward USD/CHF contract that expires in 180 days (X.XXXX)
Suppose that Mullen Co, a U.S.-based MNC, knows that it will need 200,000 pounds in one year in order to purchase supplies. It is considering a currency call option to hedge this payable. Currency call options on the pound with expiration dates in one year currently have an exercise price of $1.21 and a premium of $0.02. Mullen Co. wishes to use its own forecast of what the spot rate might be for the pound one year from now. • $1.18, with 30.00% probability • • $1.22, with 60.00% probability • $1.24, with 10.00% probability For each scenario in the following table, fill in the dollar amount paid per unit for the call options (5th column), the total dollar amount paid for 200,000 pounds when using the call options (6th column), and whether Mullen would exercise the options (7th column) Pound Spot Rate in 1 Scenario Year Option Premium Per Unit Cost of Owning Option Total Cost of Owning Options, With Premium Dollar Amount Paid for 200,000 Pounds when Owning Call Options Exercise Options?…
The prevailing one-year risk-free interest rate in Argentina is higher than in the U.S. and will continue to be higher over time. Sycamore Co. believes the international Fisher effect (IFE) can be used to derive the best forecast of the peso's exchange rate movement over time. In contrast, you believe that the prevailing spot rate is the best forecast of the future spot rate. Based on your opinion, will Sycamore Co. typically overestimate the future spot rate, underestimate the future spot rate, or create an unbiased forecast (similar chance of overestimating or underestimating the future spot rate) of the Argentine peso? Briefly explain.
Due to the integrated nature of their capital markets, investors in both the U.S. and Switzerland. require the same real interest rate, 2.7%, on their lending. There is a consensus in capital markets that the annual inflation rate is likely to be 2.3% in the U.S. and 3.1% in Switzerland for the next three years. The USD/CHF rate is currently 0.9582. What is your expected future spot for USD/CHF one year from now? (X.XXXX)
Currently, you can exchange $1 for SF 1.14. Assume that the average inflation rate in the U.S. over the next two years will be 2.5 percent annually as compared to 3 percent in Switzerland. Based on this information and relative purchasing power parity, which one of the following assumptions can you make regarding the next two years? A. The Swiss franc will appreciate against all currencies. B. The Swiss franc will appreciate against the U.S. dollar. C. The U.S. dollar will appreciate against all currencies. D. The U.S. dollar will appreciate against the Swiss franc. E. Both the U.S. dollar and the Swiss franc will appreciate against all other currencies.
Suppose current one-year interest rate in Europe is 5%, whereas one-year interest rate in the U.S. is 3%. Assume the current spot price of euro (EUR) is $1.10. Answer questions a) and b) below. If the exchange rate movement is consistent with the international Fisher effect (IFE), what will the spot price of EUR in one year be? Consider a trader who does not believe the IFE holds. The trader has decided to borrow $110,000 to invest in EUR-denominated deposits for one year without hedging. Recall the current EUR spot rate is $1.10. If the EUR spot rate in one year turns out to be $1.09, what will be the percentage return on this trading strategy?
Consider a U.S.-based company that exports goods to Switzerland. The U.S. Company expects to receive payment on a shipment of goods in three months. Because the payment will be in Swiss francs, the U.S. Company wants to hedge against a decline in the value of the Swiss franc over the next three months. The U.S. risk-free rate is 2.9 percent, and the Swiss risk-free rate is 0.9 percent. Assume that interest rates are expected to remain fixed over the near future. The current USD/CHF rate is 1.1059. Calculate the price at which the U.S. Company could enter into a forward USD/CHF contract that expires in 90 days (X.XXXX
Suppose the spot rate of the yen today is $0.0100 while the three-month forward rate is $0.0096. How can a U.S. exporter who is to receive 350,000 yen in three month hedge its foreign exchange risk? What happens if the exporter does not hedge and the spot rate of the yen in three months is $0.0098?
Ghana’s inflation is forecasted to be 10.2% over the coming year whilst that of South Africa is forecasted to be 6.5%. The current exchange rate between Ghana Cedi and the South African Rand is 0.32 ZAR per 1 GHS. a) How should we quote the exchange rate between Ghana Cedi and the South African Rand (ZAR) in a year’s time to avoid arbitrage? b) A Ghanaian company is importing goods worth ZAR 20m in a year’s time, how much GHS will the company require to import the goods? c) If the actual rate at the end of the year is 0.35 ZAR per 1GHS, what is theabsolute forecast error for the forecast in (a)?
Due to the integrated nature of their capital markets, investors in both the U.S. and U.K. require the same real interest rate, 2.1%, on their lending. There is a consensus in capital markets that the annual inflation rate is likely to be 2.5% in the U.S. and 3.5% in the U.K. for the next three years. The GBP/USD rate is currently 1.3016. Compute the nominal interest rate per annum in the U.K., assuming that the Fisher effect holds. (X.XX%)