An international pension fund manager, uses the concepts of purchasing power parity (PPP) and the International Fisher Effect (IFE) to forecast spot exchange rates. Omni gathers the financial information as follows: Base price level 100 Current U.S. price level 105 Current South African price level 111 Base rand spot exchange rate $ 0.194 Current rand spot exchange rate $ 0.177 Expected annual U.S. inflation 7 % Expected annual South African inflation 5 % Expected U.S. one-year interest rate 10 % Expected South African one-year interest rate 8 % Calculate the following exchange rates (ZAR and USD refer to the South African rand and U.S. dollar, respectively): a. The current ZAR spot rate in USD that would have been forecast by PPP. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.) b. Using the IFE, the expected ZAR spot rate in USD one year from now. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.) c. Using PPP, the expected ZAR spot rate in USD four years from now. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.)
An international pension fund manager, uses the concepts of
Base price level | 100 | ||
Current U.S. price level | 105 | ||
Current South African price level | 111 | ||
Base rand spot exchange rate | $ | 0.194 | |
Current rand spot exchange rate | $ | 0.177 | |
Expected annual U.S. inflation | 7 | % | |
Expected annual South African inflation | 5 | % | |
Expected U.S. one-year interest rate | 10 | % | |
Expected South African one-year interest rate | 8 | % | |
Calculate the following exchange rates (ZAR and USD refer to the South African rand and U.S. dollar, respectively):
a. The current ZAR spot rate in USD that would have been forecast by PPP. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.)
b. Using the IFE, the expected ZAR spot rate in USD one year from now. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.)
c. Using PPP, the expected ZAR spot rate in USD four years from now. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 4 decimal places.)
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