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- Suppose that the invester of GMO has an extra cash reserveof $700,000 to invest in Mexico. The expected inflation rate is 1.29% in US and 3.37% in Mexico. The expected interest rate is 1.49% per year in the United States and 6.47% per year in Mexico. Currently, the nominal spot exchange rate is 19.780 Pesos per dollar and the nominal one-year forward rate is 19.790 pesos per dollar. The future spot exchange rate is 19.680 Pesos per US $1. Assess how he can construct an arbitrage portfolio based on appropriate calculations.Suppose that the current exchange rate between the Japanese yen (¥) and the U.S. dollar ($) is ¥100 = $1. A financial analyst predicts that the exchange rate will be ¥94 = $1 next year. If the analyst uses purchasing power parity as the basis of the prediction, the analyst expects that the yen willAssume that the Mexican peso currently trades at 11 pesos to the U.S. dollar. During the year U.S. inflation is expected to average 4%, while Mexican inflation is expected to average 5%. What is the current value of one peso in terms of U.S. dollars? Given the relative inflation rates, what will the exchange rates be 1 year from now? Which currency is expected to appreciate and which currency is expected to depreciate over the next year? The current value of one Mexican peso in terms of U.S. dollars, USS, is US$/MP. (Round to six decimal places.) Given the relative inflation rates, the exchange rate of one U.S. dollar in terms of Mexican pesos, MP, one year from now will be MP/US$. (Round to six decimal places.) Given the relative inflation rates, the exchange rate of one Mexican peso in terms of U.S. dollars, US$, one year from now will be US$ /MP. (Round to six decimal places.) ▼is expected to appreciate, while the is expected to depreciate over the next year. (Select from the…
- Ghana’s inflation is forecasted to be 10.2% over the coming year whilst that of South Africa is forecasted to be 6.5%. The current exchange rate between Ghana Cedi and the South African Rand is 0.32 ZAR per 1 GHS. a) How should we quote the exchange rate between Ghana Cedi and the South African Rand (ZAR) in a year’s time to avoid arbitrage? b) A Ghanaian company is importing goods worth ZAR 20m in a year’s time, how much GHS will the company require to import the goods? c) If the actual rate at the end of the year is 0.35 ZAR per 1GHS, what is theabsolute forecast error for the forecast in (a)?Suppose that a US-based company is buying Chinese goods. Current exchange rate for Chinese Yuan is 0.15 USD. The price of goods is ¥13,000 per unit. The company is buying 800 units per year with a fixed contract for the next two years. Suppose that Chinese Yuan appreciate to 0.2 USD in the next year. The US importer will respond to this by lowering the demand to 600 units in the third year. What cash flow will be reflected on the balance of payments at the end of the third year? Your Answer:a) Assume the following information: 180‑day U.S. interest rate = 8% 180‑day British interest rate = 9% 180‑day forward rate of British pound = $1.50 Spot rate of British pound = $1.48 Assume that a U.S. exporter will receive 400,000 pounds in 180 days. Would it be better off using a forward hedge or a money market hedge? Substantiate your answer with estimated revenue for each type of hedge. b) As treasurer of a U.S. exporter to Canada, you must decide how to hedge (if at all) future receivables of 250,000 Canadian dollars 90 days from now. Put options are available for a premium of $.03 per unit and an exercise price of $.80 per Canadian dollar (CA$). The forecasted spot rate of the CA$ in 90 days follows: Future Spot Rate Probability (%) $.75 50…
- Suppose you are a U.S. investor who is planning to invest $785,000 in Mexico. Your Mexican investment gains 10%. If the exchange rate moves from 12.2 pesos per dollar to 12.5 pesos per dollar over the period, what is your total return on this investment?If there is 10% inflation in Brazil, 15% inflation in Argentina, and the Argentine peso weakens by 21% relative to the Brazilian real, by how much has the peso strengthened or weakened in real terms. What effect do you expect that this change in the real exchange rate would have on trade between the two countries?A U.S. company can borrow 10,000 pounds in Great Britain for 6% interest, paying back 10,600 pounds in one year. Alternatively, the U.S. company can borrow an equivalent amount of U.S dollars in the United States and pay 13% interest. Assuming capital markets are efficient, estimate the expected inflation rate in the United States if inflation in Great Britain is expected to be zero. Select one: a. 7% b. 6.6% C. 6.2% d. 5.4%
- The spot AUD/JPY exchange rate today is 80 yen per Australian dollar. The five-year forward AUD/JPY exchange rate is 87 yen per Australian dollar, and the five-year risk- free interest rates in Australia and Japan are 4% and 6% per annum, respectively. Explain the arbitrage strategy you’d implement to take advantage of this mispricing. Assume you can borrow 1,000 units of either currency at the risk-free rate. What is the present value of your profit in AUD?Suppose a basket of goods in Paris costs €134 and the same basket purchased in New York costs $151. a. At what exchange rate between euros and dollars is the cost of the basket the same in each city? b. Now suppose that over the next year inflation in France is expected to be 3% while in the U.S. the forecast is for 7% inflation. What exchange rate do you expect a year from now?Assume that relative Purchasing Power Parity holds. Also assume that the inflation rate over the coming year is expected to be 6% in the U.S. and 2% in Norway and that the current spot rate of the Norwegian krone (NOK) is $0.11. If your company plans to import 10 million NOK of product from Norway over the coming year, how many U.S. dollars will it need to pay if it plans to convert USD to NOK one year from now?