The article "Approach to Confidence Interval Estimation for Curve Numbers" (R. McCuen, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 2002:43-48) discusses the relationship between rainfall depth and runoff depth at several locations. At one particular location, rainfall depth and runoff depth were recorded for 13 rainstorms. Following is MFNITAB output for a fit of the least-squares line to predict runoff depth from rainfall depth (both measured in inches). The regression equation is Runoff =-0.23 + 0.73 Rainfall Predictor Coef SE Coef тР Constant -0.23429 0.23996 -0.98 0.350 Rainfall 0.72868 0.06353 11.47 0.000 S= 0.40229 R-Sq = 92.3% R-Sq(adj) = 91.6% Analysis of Variance Source Regression 121.290 21.290131.550.000 Residual Епог SS MS F P 11 1.7800.16184 Total 1223.070 a Predict the runoff for a storm with 2.5 in. of rainfall. b. Someone claims that if two storms differ in their rainfall by 1 in, then their runoffs will differ, on the average, by 1 in. as well. Is this a plausible claim? Explain. c. It is a fact that if the rainfall is 0, the runoff is 0. Is the least-squares line consistent with this fact? Explain.

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The article "Approach to Confidence Interval Estimation for Curve Numbers" (R. McCuen,
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 2002:43-48) discusses the relationship between rainfall
depth and runoff depth at several locations. At one particular location, rainfall depth and
runoff depth were recorded for 13 rainstorms. Following is MFNITAB output for a fit of the
least-squares line to predict runoff depth from rainfall depth (both measured in inches).
The regression equation is Runoff =-0.23 + 0.73 Rainfall
Predictor
Coef SE Coef
тР
Constant
-0.23429 0.23996 -0.98 0.350
Rainfall
0.72868 0.06353 11.47 0.000
S=
0.40229
R-Sq =
92.3%
R-Sq(adj) =
91.6%
Analysis of Variance
Source
Regression 121.290 21.290131.550.000
Residual
Епог
SS MS F P
11 1.7800.16184
Total
1223.070
a Predict the runoff for a storm with 2.5 in. of rainfall.
b. Someone claims that if two storms differ in their rainfall by 1 in, then their runoffs
will differ, on the average, by 1 in. as well. Is this a plausible claim? Explain.
c. It is a fact that if the rainfall is 0, the runoff is 0. Is the least-squares line consistent
with this fact? Explain.
Transcribed Image Text:The article "Approach to Confidence Interval Estimation for Curve Numbers" (R. McCuen, Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 2002:43-48) discusses the relationship between rainfall depth and runoff depth at several locations. At one particular location, rainfall depth and runoff depth were recorded for 13 rainstorms. Following is MFNITAB output for a fit of the least-squares line to predict runoff depth from rainfall depth (both measured in inches). The regression equation is Runoff =-0.23 + 0.73 Rainfall Predictor Coef SE Coef тР Constant -0.23429 0.23996 -0.98 0.350 Rainfall 0.72868 0.06353 11.47 0.000 S= 0.40229 R-Sq = 92.3% R-Sq(adj) = 91.6% Analysis of Variance Source Regression 121.290 21.290131.550.000 Residual Епог SS MS F P 11 1.7800.16184 Total 1223.070 a Predict the runoff for a storm with 2.5 in. of rainfall. b. Someone claims that if two storms differ in their rainfall by 1 in, then their runoffs will differ, on the average, by 1 in. as well. Is this a plausible claim? Explain. c. It is a fact that if the rainfall is 0, the runoff is 0. Is the least-squares line consistent with this fact? Explain.
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