Suppose the p-value for a two-tailed test equals 0.0463 and the level of significance equals 2.5%. What is the decision of the test? Suppose the p-value for a two-tailed test equals 0.0241 and the level of significance equals 2.5%. What is the decision of the test?

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**Hypothesis Testing Decisions**

When conducting hypothesis tests, the decision whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis is guided by comparing the p-value of the test to the predetermined level of significance (alpha, α). Let’s consider two scenarios to understand this better:

1. **Scenario 1: P-Value is 0.0463 and α = 2.5%**
   
   Suppose the p-value for a two-tailed test equals 0.0463 and the level of significance equals 2.5%.
   
   **Question:** What is the decision of the test?
   
   **Explanation:** 
   - The level of significance (α) is 2.5%, which is equivalent to 0.025.
   - Compare the p-value (0.0463) with α (0.025).
   - Since 0.0463 > 0.025, we fail to reject the null hypothesis.

   **Conclusion:** The p-value of 0.0463 is greater than the level of significance at 2.5%, hence we do not have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

2. **Scenario 2: P-Value is 0.0241 and α = 2.5%**

   Suppose the p-value for a two-tailed test equals 0.0241 and the level of significance equals 2.5%.
   
   **Question:** What is the decision of the test?
   
   **Explanation:** 
   - The level of significance (α) is 2.5%, which is equivalent to 0.025.
   - Compare the p-value (0.0241) with α (0.025).
   - Since 0.0241 < 0.025, we reject the null hypothesis.
   
   **Conclusion:** The p-value of 0.0241 is less than the level of significance at 2.5%, hence we have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis.

The decision in hypothesis testing hinges on this critical comparison between the p-value and the significance level. Observing whether the p-value is smaller or larger than α directly informs us of the statistical significance of our test results.
Transcribed Image Text:**Hypothesis Testing Decisions** When conducting hypothesis tests, the decision whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis is guided by comparing the p-value of the test to the predetermined level of significance (alpha, α). Let’s consider two scenarios to understand this better: 1. **Scenario 1: P-Value is 0.0463 and α = 2.5%** Suppose the p-value for a two-tailed test equals 0.0463 and the level of significance equals 2.5%. **Question:** What is the decision of the test? **Explanation:** - The level of significance (α) is 2.5%, which is equivalent to 0.025. - Compare the p-value (0.0463) with α (0.025). - Since 0.0463 > 0.025, we fail to reject the null hypothesis. **Conclusion:** The p-value of 0.0463 is greater than the level of significance at 2.5%, hence we do not have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. 2. **Scenario 2: P-Value is 0.0241 and α = 2.5%** Suppose the p-value for a two-tailed test equals 0.0241 and the level of significance equals 2.5%. **Question:** What is the decision of the test? **Explanation:** - The level of significance (α) is 2.5%, which is equivalent to 0.025. - Compare the p-value (0.0241) with α (0.025). - Since 0.0241 < 0.025, we reject the null hypothesis. **Conclusion:** The p-value of 0.0241 is less than the level of significance at 2.5%, hence we have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. The decision in hypothesis testing hinges on this critical comparison between the p-value and the significance level. Observing whether the p-value is smaller or larger than α directly informs us of the statistical significance of our test results.
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