Students in a class like to secretly use online calculators in their quizzes. There are three such online calculators favoured amongst the students: WolframAlpha (WA), Symbolab (S), and GeoGebra (GG). A student's favourite calculator changes from quiz to quiz according to the following rules: If a student likes WA best, then it is has a 50% chance of remaining their favourite for the next quiz; 25% of becoming S for the next quiz; and 25% of becoming GG for the next quiz.  If a student likes S best, then it has a 50% chance of becoming WA for the next quiz, and a 50% chance of becoming GG for the next quiz.  If a student likes GG best, then it has a 33.3% chance of becoming any of the three calculators for the next quiz.  For the first quiz, there are 120 who count WA as their favourite; 80 who count S as their favourite; and 50 who count GG as their favourite.

A First Course in Probability (10th Edition)
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Chapter1: Combinatorial Analysis
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Students in a class like to secretly use online calculators in their quizzes. There are three such online calculators favoured amongst the students: WolframAlpha (WA), Symbolab (S), and GeoGebra (GG). A student's favourite calculator changes from quiz to quiz according to the following rules:

  • If a student likes WA best, then it is has a 50% chance of remaining their favourite for the next quiz; 25% of becoming S for the next quiz; and 25% of becoming GG for the next quiz. 
  • If a student likes S best, then it has a 50% chance of becoming WA for the next quiz, and a 50% chance of becoming GG for the next quiz. 
  • If a student likes GG best, then it has a 33.3% chance of becoming any of the three calculators for the next quiz. 

For the first quiz, there are 120 who count WA as their favourite; 80 who count S as their favourite; and 50 who count GG as their favourite. 

What is true about the fourth quiz? Choose one of the following:

1. 115 students favour WA; 52 students favour S; and 83 favour GG.

2. 113 students favour WA; 55 students favour S; and 82 favour GG.

3. 111 students favour WA; 55 students favour S; and 84 favour GG.

4. 120 students favour WA; 60 students favour S; and 70 favour GG.

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