Some electronic devices are better used than new: The failure rate is higher when they are new than when they are six months old. For example,  43.30% half of the personal music players of a particular brand have a flaw. If the player has the flaw, it dies in the first six months. If it does not have this flaw, then only  3.300% fail in the first six months. Yours died after you had it for three months. What are the chances that it has this flaw?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
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ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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Some electronic devices are better used than new: The failure rate is higher when they are new than when they are six months old. For example,  43.30% half of the personal music players of a particular brand have a flaw. If the player has the flaw, it dies in the first six months. If it does not have this flaw, then only  3.300% fail in the first six months. Yours died after you had it for three months. What are the chances that it has this flaw?                      

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