Solve the following payoff matrix to find the best strategies and the value of the game: (Use the graphical method) B1 B2 B3 A1 1 3 10 A28 5 2
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- A manager is trying to decide whether to build a small, medium, or large facility. Demand can be low, average, or high, with the estimated probabilities being 0.40, 0.35, and 0.25, respectively. A small facility is expected to earn an after-tax net present value of just $13,000 if demand is low. If demand is average, the small facility is expected to earn $15,000; it can be increased to medium size to earn a net present value of $30,000. If demand is high, the small facility is expected to earn $25,000 and can be expanded to medium size to earn $50,000 or to large size to earn $100,000. A medium-sized facility is expected to lose an estimated $50,000 if demand is low and earn $100,000 if demand is average. If demand is high, the medium-sized facility is expected to earn a net present value of $125,000; it can be expanded to a large size for a net payoff of $175,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, earnings are expected to be $180,000. If demand is average for the large…The CrystalTip Company has a production plan. The company wants to determine which of their premium products to concentrate on producing for the next few months. The Payoff table presented below shows the decision alternatives, states of nature (level of demand) and the payoffs (profits). Payoff (profit 000) states of natureAlternatives Option Low Moderate High Putpletip $1500 $5,500 $8,000Goldtip -$150 $6,250 $10,500Silvertip…A manufacturing firm plans to expand the current distribution network. The manager of the firm considers whether to extend a long-term contract with the current company who has done business with the firm in the past and whose distribution system reaches 60% of all potential customers. The second option is to sign a one-year contract with a new distribution company. The new company used to reach only 30% of customers, but they claim that they have invested heavily over the past year in distribution resources and now expect to be able to reach 80% of customers. The manager is not that sure about the new company’s claim and give them about 50% of trust. If the new distributor still covers only 30% in year 1, however, the company can switch back to the familiar old distributor. The manager of the firm wants to develop two-scenario plans: 3-year and 10-year planning horizon. Which distributor should the manager choose for each plan? Show your analysis.
- Scenario One: An 86-year widow comes in monthly to have her blood drawn and monitored ever since her heart attack 2 years ago. Her husband has recently passed away and she has no family nearby to help her. She has Medicare but does not have supplemental insurance to cover office visits. When leaving the office today, she starts to cry and tell you that she can no longer afford her blood pressure medications, cholesterol medications, blood work, and office visits each month. She will not be able to get her medications refilled unless she sees the doctor and has blood work each month. She currently owes $180 on her account today. Scenario 2: A 19-year-old mother of 3 children, all under the age of 5, brings in all of the kids today for their recommended check-ups and vaccinations. She does not have insurance for any of the children as she was denied Medicaid based on a previous fraud. She has been diligent paying for the children’s healthcare, with assistance from a grandmother, but she…1. Kirsten is trying to decide where to go for her well-earned vacation. She would like to camp, but if the weather is bad, she will have to go to a motel. Given the costs and probabilities of bad weather given below, which destination should she choose? Camping cost Motel cost Probability of bad weather Nevada $21.2 $80.9 0.2 Oregon $15.9 $84.6 0.4 California $30 $95 0.1 a. California, because its EMV = $33.14 b. Nevada, because its EMV = $33.14 c. California, because its EMV = $36.5 d. Any of the 3 choices. e. Oregon, because its EMV = $43.38 f. Nevada, because its EMV = $43.38 g. None of the 3 choices. h. Oregon, because its EMV is $36.50.Explain with example each of the following terms of the game theory : (i)strategy (ii)Pay off table (iii) value of the game and (iv) saddle point
- 2Zaki has been thinking about starting his own petrol station. He’s problem is to decide how large his petrol station should be. The annual return that will be achieved depends on whether the economy is good, fair, or poor. A payoff table has been constructed to illustrate this situation: (Business Quantitative Analysis) Determine using the best investment using the following decision criteria: a) Maximax criterion b) Maximin criterion c) Equally Likely criterion d) Minimax Regret criterion The probabilities of good market, average market, and poor market are 0.4, 0.5, and 0.1 respectively. Construct an expected opportunity loss table. Using minimum EOL as the decision criterion, determine the best alternativeI need to solve the following excercise including the whole process and rationale behind the solution. Do not use Ai.
- Suppose you have a choice of three projects to choose from. Here the expected profits from these projects under the following economic scenarios: Project Poor/Fair Moderate/Stable Strong/Booming A -200 $400 $700 B -700 600 1200 C 100 500 900 Now suppose the probability of a Poor/Fair economy is 25%, a Moderate/Stableeconomy is 45% and there is a 30% chance for a Strong/Booming economy.A) Setup a decision tree.B) Determine the expected value (EV) for each project. What project shouldbe selected based on the expected value approach? Why?C) Determine the expected value with perfect information about the states ofnature?D) Determine the expected value without perfect information about the states ofnature?E) Determine the expected value of perfect information.The Middle East Finance Group (MEFG) is planning to set up an insurance company. TheBOD needs to make the following decisions.a. What are the Takaful models available to MEFG ?b. Which model do you suggest for MEFG? Briefly explain the model ?c. Which model is most popular in the Middle East?