See the answer A local movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production. The manager feels that script #1 has a 70% chance of earning Php100 million over the long run, but a 30% chance of losing Php20 million. If this movie is successful, then a sequel could also be produced, with an 80% chance of earning Php50 million, but a 20% chance of losing Php10 million. On the other hand, she feels that script #2 has a 60 % chance of earning Php120 million, but a 40% chance of losing Php30 million. If successful, its sequel would have a 50% chance of earning $80 million and a 50% chance of losing Php40 million. As with the first script, if the original movie is a "flop," then no sequel would be produced. What is the expected payoff from selecting script #2?
See the answer A local movie studio wants to determine which of two new scripts they should select for their next major production. The manager feels that script #1 has a 70% chance of earning Php100 million over the long run, but a 30% chance of losing Php20 million. If this movie is successful, then a sequel could also be produced, with an 80% chance of earning Php50 million, but a 20% chance of losing Php10 million. On the other hand, she feels that script #2 has a 60 % chance of earning Php120 million, but a 40% chance of losing Php30 million. If successful, its sequel would have a 50% chance of earning $80 million and a 50% chance of losing Php40 million. As with the first script, if the original movie is a "flop," then no sequel would be produced. What is the expected payoff from selecting script #2?
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