Refer to these values from the previous step. N = 13, M = 7, n = 6, k = 5, NM = 6, n - k = 1 Substitute these values into the hypergeometric probability formula, or use technology. Round your answer to four decimal places. CMC-k N-M P(x = k) = P(x = 5) = c57C₁6 13 N Therefore, the probability of selecting five brown and one red M&Ms from a candy dish containing seven brown and six red M&Ms is

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Step 5

Step 4

Using the values we have previously determined, \( N = 13 \), \( M = 7 \), \( n = 6 \), and \( k = 5 \). The remaining values needed for the formula are \( N - M \) and \( n - k \).

Find \( N - M \).

\[ N - M = 13 - 7 \]

\[ = 6 \]

Find \( n - k \).

\[ n - k = 6 - 5 \]

\[ = 1 \]

---

Step 5

Refer to these values from the previous step.

\[ N = 13, M = 7, n = 6, k = 5, N - M = 6, n - k = 1 \]

Substitute these values into the hypergeometric probability formula, or use technology. Round your answer to four decimal places.

\[ P(x = k) = \frac{\binom{M}{k} \binom{N-M}{n-k}}{\binom{N}{n}} \]

\[ P(x = 5) = \frac{\binom{7}{5} \binom{6}{1}}{\binom{13}{6}} \]

\[ = \]

Therefore, the probability of selecting five brown and one red M&Ms from a candy dish containing seven brown and six red M&Ms is \(\boxed{}\).
Transcribed Image Text:Step 4 Using the values we have previously determined, \( N = 13 \), \( M = 7 \), \( n = 6 \), and \( k = 5 \). The remaining values needed for the formula are \( N - M \) and \( n - k \). Find \( N - M \). \[ N - M = 13 - 7 \] \[ = 6 \] Find \( n - k \). \[ n - k = 6 - 5 \] \[ = 1 \] --- Step 5 Refer to these values from the previous step. \[ N = 13, M = 7, n = 6, k = 5, N - M = 6, n - k = 1 \] Substitute these values into the hypergeometric probability formula, or use technology. Round your answer to four decimal places. \[ P(x = k) = \frac{\binom{M}{k} \binom{N-M}{n-k}}{\binom{N}{n}} \] \[ P(x = 5) = \frac{\binom{7}{5} \binom{6}{1}}{\binom{13}{6}} \] \[ = \] Therefore, the probability of selecting five brown and one red M&Ms from a candy dish containing seven brown and six red M&Ms is \(\boxed{}\).
**Tutorial Exercise: Hypergeometric Distribution**

**Scenario:**
A candy dish contains seven brown and six red M&Ms. A child selects six M&Ms without checking the colors. What is the probability that there are five brown and one red M&M in the selection?

**Step 1: Determine the Appropriateness of the Hypergeometric Distribution**

- Begin by confirming that the hypergeometric distribution is appropriate for this sample.
- The proportion, \( \frac{n}{N} = \frac{6}{13} \). Calculate this value:

\[
\frac{n}{N} = 0.46
\]

- Check if \( \frac{n}{N} \geq 0.05 \), where \( n = 6 \) (the number of M&Ms being selected), and \( N = 13 \) (the total number of M&Ms).
- Since 0.46 is greater than 0.05, we can use the hypergeometric probability distribution.

**Step 2: Define Variables for the Hypergeometric Distribution**

- Recall that for a hypergeometric distribution, the population contains \( M \) successes and \( N - M \) failures.
- Brown M&M is considered a success, red M&M a failure.
- Given seven brown and six red M&Ms, the total number of M&Ms is \( N = 13 \) and successes (brown M&Ms) \( M = 7 \).

**Step 3: Calculate the Probability**

- Use the formula for the probability of exactly \( k \) successes in a sample of size \( n \):

\[
P(x = k) = \frac{C_k^M C_{n-k}^{N-M}}{C_n^N}
\]

- With seven brown M&Ms in a bowl of thirteen, \( M = 7 \), \( N = 13 \).
- For a sample size \( n = 6 \):
  - \( k = 5 \) (number of successes or brown M&Ms).

- We are calculating the probability of exactly five brown M&Ms when six are drawn.
Transcribed Image Text:**Tutorial Exercise: Hypergeometric Distribution** **Scenario:** A candy dish contains seven brown and six red M&Ms. A child selects six M&Ms without checking the colors. What is the probability that there are five brown and one red M&M in the selection? **Step 1: Determine the Appropriateness of the Hypergeometric Distribution** - Begin by confirming that the hypergeometric distribution is appropriate for this sample. - The proportion, \( \frac{n}{N} = \frac{6}{13} \). Calculate this value: \[ \frac{n}{N} = 0.46 \] - Check if \( \frac{n}{N} \geq 0.05 \), where \( n = 6 \) (the number of M&Ms being selected), and \( N = 13 \) (the total number of M&Ms). - Since 0.46 is greater than 0.05, we can use the hypergeometric probability distribution. **Step 2: Define Variables for the Hypergeometric Distribution** - Recall that for a hypergeometric distribution, the population contains \( M \) successes and \( N - M \) failures. - Brown M&M is considered a success, red M&M a failure. - Given seven brown and six red M&Ms, the total number of M&Ms is \( N = 13 \) and successes (brown M&Ms) \( M = 7 \). **Step 3: Calculate the Probability** - Use the formula for the probability of exactly \( k \) successes in a sample of size \( n \): \[ P(x = k) = \frac{C_k^M C_{n-k}^{N-M}}{C_n^N} \] - With seven brown M&Ms in a bowl of thirteen, \( M = 7 \), \( N = 13 \). - For a sample size \( n = 6 \): - \( k = 5 \) (number of successes or brown M&Ms). - We are calculating the probability of exactly five brown M&Ms when six are drawn.
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