Question 2 What is the cumulative error for the WMA3 forecast? (remember. weights are 0.5. 0.33, and 0.17) O 116.0 O 28.1 O 31.6 3.4 D Question 3 What is the Bias of the Exponential Smoothing forecast, with alpha = 0.3. O 10.5 O 28.1 O 02 O 142

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Chapter1: Starting With Matlab
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Question 2
What is the cumulative error for the WMA3 forecast? (remember: weights are 0.5, 0.33, and 0.17)
O 116.0
28.1
O 31.6
3.4
Question 3
What is the Bias of the Exponential Smoothing forecast, with alpha 0.3.
O 10.5
28.1
O 02
0.2
14.2
Transcribed Image Text:Question 2 What is the cumulative error for the WMA3 forecast? (remember: weights are 0.5, 0.33, and 0.17) O 116.0 28.1 O 31.6 3.4 Question 3 What is the Bias of the Exponential Smoothing forecast, with alpha 0.3. O 10.5 28.1 O 02 0.2 14.2
From problem 15-3
alpha
0.3
0.5
beta
0.5
0.33
0,17
Year
Quarter
Demand
МАЗ
WMA
ES
Trend
AES
1
105
150
105
3.
93
118.5
6.75
125.25
4
121
116
113.85
110.85
-0.45
110.4
2
1
140 121.3333
116.69
113,895
1.2975 115.1925
2
170
118
125.74 121.7265
4.5645
126.291
3
105 143.6667
3
151.77 136.2086 9.523275 145.7318
4
150 138.3333
200 141.6667
170151.6667
4.
132.4
126.846 0.080355 126.9263
5
3.
1
138.55 133.7922
3.51328 137.3055
167.35 153.6545 11.68781 165.3423
176.5 158.5582 8.295726 166.8539
2
110 173.3333
130
160
145.1 143.9907 -3.13586 140.8549
136.6667
130.2 139.7935
-3.66654
136.127
21
22
23
24
S Q1
0.270681
year
Ann. Dem.
25
469
intercept
slope
407
26
27
Y4 Forecast
689
2
565
70,5
Y4Q1 Forec 186.4994
3.
610
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
Transcribed Image Text:From problem 15-3 alpha 0.3 0.5 beta 0.5 0.33 0,17 Year Quarter Demand МАЗ WMA ES Trend AES 1 105 150 105 3. 93 118.5 6.75 125.25 4 121 116 113.85 110.85 -0.45 110.4 2 1 140 121.3333 116.69 113,895 1.2975 115.1925 2 170 118 125.74 121.7265 4.5645 126.291 3 105 143.6667 3 151.77 136.2086 9.523275 145.7318 4 150 138.3333 200 141.6667 170151.6667 4. 132.4 126.846 0.080355 126.9263 5 3. 1 138.55 133.7922 3.51328 137.3055 167.35 153.6545 11.68781 165.3423 176.5 158.5582 8.295726 166.8539 2 110 173.3333 130 160 145.1 143.9907 -3.13586 140.8549 136.6667 130.2 139.7935 -3.66654 136.127 21 22 23 24 S Q1 0.270681 year Ann. Dem. 25 469 intercept slope 407 26 27 Y4 Forecast 689 2 565 70,5 Y4Q1 Forec 186.4994 3. 610 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38
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