Question 5 The following monthly sales of chocolate boxes (in thousands of AUS dollars) have been recorded for January, February, March, and April, respectively: 8.5, 8, 8, 9. Examining the forecasting accuracy for the month of April only, explain which of the following forecasting method would you recommend: the Naïve method, the Average method, or the Simple exponential smoothing method (assuming alpha=0.85 and initial state of 8)?

MATLAB: An Introduction with Applications
6th Edition
ISBN:9781119256830
Author:Amos Gilat
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Question 5
The following monthly sales of chocolate boxes (in thousands of AUS dollars) have been
recorded for January, February, March, and April, respectively: 8.5, 8, 8, 9. Examining the
forecasting accuracy for the month of April only, explain which of the following forecasting
method would you recommend: the Naïve method, the Average method, or the Simple
exponential smoothing method (assuming alpha=0.85 and initial state of 8)?
Transcribed Image Text:Question 5 The following monthly sales of chocolate boxes (in thousands of AUS dollars) have been recorded for January, February, March, and April, respectively: 8.5, 8, 8, 9. Examining the forecasting accuracy for the month of April only, explain which of the following forecasting method would you recommend: the Naïve method, the Average method, or the Simple exponential smoothing method (assuming alpha=0.85 and initial state of 8)?
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Step 1

The given data for sales of chocolate boxes are given as follows:

Month Sales (in thousands of AUS dollars)
January 8.5
February 8
March 8
April 9

 

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