Procter, president of a food company, must decide whether to market a new breakfast drink which the R and D division has developed. A special meeting devoted to this topic yields the following information: The marketing vice-president has defined two possible outcomes for the success of this product; either the public will accept the product, or it will not. She believes that the product will be accepted with probability 0.1. The cost engineers believe that if the product is marketed and accepted, the company will net $100,000 yearly. If the product is rejected, however, the company will suffer a net loss of $20,000 yearly. If Procter decides not to market the product, her company will neither accrue more cost nor make any profit on this product. Procter always makes decisions based on the expected value of the outcomes. A. What is the best strategy in this case? B. Compute for EVPI.

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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1. Procter, president of a food company, must decide whether to market a new breakfast drink
which the R and D division has developed. A special meeting devoted to this topic yields the
following information:
●
The marketing vice-president has defined two possible outcomes for the success of this
product; either the public will accept the product, or it will not. She believes that the
product will be accepted with probability 0.1.
The cost engineers believe that if the product is marketed and accepted, the company
will net $100,000 yearly. If the product is rejected, however, the company will suffer a
net loss of $20,000 yearly. If Procter decides not to market the product, her company
will neither accrue more cost nor make any profit on this product.
●
Procter always makes decisions based on the expected value of the outcomes.
A. What is the best strategy in this case?
B. Compute for EVPI.
Transcribed Image Text:1. Procter, president of a food company, must decide whether to market a new breakfast drink which the R and D division has developed. A special meeting devoted to this topic yields the following information: ● The marketing vice-president has defined two possible outcomes for the success of this product; either the public will accept the product, or it will not. She believes that the product will be accepted with probability 0.1. The cost engineers believe that if the product is marketed and accepted, the company will net $100,000 yearly. If the product is rejected, however, the company will suffer a net loss of $20,000 yearly. If Procter decides not to market the product, her company will neither accrue more cost nor make any profit on this product. ● Procter always makes decisions based on the expected value of the outcomes. A. What is the best strategy in this case? B. Compute for EVPI.
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