Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
Poll
Date
Sample Size
Result (Percent planning to vote for Miller)
Weight
Calculations
Poll 1
October 1
2,435
53%
.40
Poll 2
September 14
1,300
42%
.08
Poll 3
July 20
1,100
55%
.05
Poll 4
October 10
2,000
45%
.47
Using your calculations, select the best answer of how you would advise President Miller.
Question 1 options:
We find the percentage to be 49%, so we advise President Miller that he has a good chance of winning the election if it were held right now.
We find the percentage to be 47%, so we advise President Miller that he is behind so he should campaign hard in the remaining weeks.
We find the percentage to be 49%, so we advise President Miller that he is behind so he should campaign hard in the remaining weeks.
We find the percentage to be 48%, so we advise President Miller that he is behind so he should campaign hard in the remaining weeks.
We find the percentage to be 47%, so we advise President Miller that he has a good chance of winning the election if it were held right now.
We find the percentage to be 48%, so we advise President Miller that he has a good chance of winning the election if it were held right now.
Definition Definition Number of subjects or observations included in a study. A large sample size typically provides more reliable results and better representation of the population. As sample size and width of confidence interval are inversely related, if the sample size is increased, the width of the confidence interval decreases.
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