Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
Pretend it is almost election time in 2040. You are on the reelection staff of President Adrian Miller. It is October 15, and Election Day (November 6) is approaching quickly. Your job is to analyze the results of polls conducted by five different companies and report the results to President Miller.
|
Poll |
Date |
Sample Size |
Result (Percent planning to vote for Miller) |
Weight |
Calculations |
|
Poll 1 |
October 1 |
2,435 |
53% |
.40 |
|
|
Poll 2 |
September 14 |
1,300 |
42% |
.08 |
|
|
Poll 3 |
July 20 |
1,100 |
55% |
.05 |
|
|
Poll 4 |
October 10 |
2,000 |
45% |
.47 |
Using your calculations, select the best answer of how you would advise President Miller.
Question 1 options:
|
|
We find the percentage to be 49%, so we advise President Miller that he has a good chance of winning the election if it were held right now. |
|
|
We find the percentage to be 47%, so we advise President Miller that he is behind so he should campaign hard in the remaining weeks. |
|
|
We find the percentage to be 49%, so we advise President Miller that he is behind so he should campaign hard in the remaining weeks. |
|
|
We find the percentage to be 48%, so we advise President Miller that he is behind so he should campaign hard in the remaining weeks. |
|
|
We find the percentage to be 47%, so we advise President Miller that he has a good chance of winning the election if it were held right now. |
|
|
We find the percentage to be 48%, so we advise President Miller that he has a good chance of winning the election if it were held right now. |
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