Next Stândard Period Error Forecasting Method Used Forecast (MSE) 1.3-period UnWMA 10.42 3.24 2.4-period UnWMA 3.3-period WMA 10.38 3.51 10.83 3.03 4. Simple Exponential Smoothing 5. Trend Projection 8.24 5.04 11.43 1.16

ENGR.ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
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ISBN:9780190931919
Author:NEWNAN
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Chapter1: Making Economics Decisions
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4. Suppose we have a summary of forecasting techniques calculation results for Gundam Auto Sales
Inc. (in the prior item) as follows:
Mean
Next
Standard
Period
Error
Forecasting Method Used
Forecast
(MSE)
1.3-period UnWMA
10.42
3.24
2.4-period UnWMA
10.38
3.51
3.3-period WMA
10.83
3.03
4. Simple Exponential Smoothing
5. Trend Projection
8.24
5.04
11.43
1.16
a. Which among the techniques is the most reliable?
b. What does the result of the most reliable technique say?
Transcribed Image Text:4. Suppose we have a summary of forecasting techniques calculation results for Gundam Auto Sales Inc. (in the prior item) as follows: Mean Next Standard Period Error Forecasting Method Used Forecast (MSE) 1.3-period UnWMA 10.42 3.24 2.4-period UnWMA 10.38 3.51 3.3-period WMA 10.83 3.03 4. Simple Exponential Smoothing 5. Trend Projection 8.24 5.04 11.43 1.16 a. Which among the techniques is the most reliable? b. What does the result of the most reliable technique say?
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